Substantial-Patrol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$152

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-10 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$0

Tech

30% — —

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	8	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	01-28 04:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-13 02:26
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-20 08:21
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-24 13:36
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-29 07:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 08:25
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-02 06:14
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-21 02:16
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-26 09:39
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-18 07:17
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-19 13:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-03 23:04
will mrbeasts next video get less than 40 million views on day 2	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-09 08:20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-02 00:25
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-08 12:10
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-07 08:20
GTA VI released before June 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-15 11:48
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 20 above $360?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-24 08:25
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-25 01:29
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-16 01:21
bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-14 05:18
highest temperature in toronto on march 31 2026 neg 2corbelow	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-30 05:23
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:59
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-04 14:23
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-18 08:14
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-28 08:58
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-11 06:57
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-12 14:28
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 02:46
tfx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 3pt74	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-26 08:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 01:59:29	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd5c380…
07-01 07:43:52	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf81d01…
06-25 02:11:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf9e533…
06-04 04:07:54	will donald trump publicly insult kaitlan collins by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7d6f99…
06-02 00:25:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x90aff1…
05-12 03:59:09	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc3995e…
05-07 14:37:32	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x40360c…
05-04 13:55:22	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf63e7e…
04-30 02:30:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3fedea…
04-28 02:46:02	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xac5a2d…
04-24 08:25:54	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 20 above $360?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd3cd1e…
04-24 08:25:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x693fef…
04-24 08:25:04	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdaec3d…
04-20 11:06:20	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6364f0…
04-18 08:14:44	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9e8c0a…
04-13 02:26:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe28b06…
04-10 05:14:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd8bb48…
04-10 05:13:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9134c2…
04-08 07:48:29	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1cae7c…
04-07 08:20:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x85343e…
04-03 23:04:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaafaa6…
04-02 23:15:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x97c4ec…
03-31 05:31:15	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x44f1c3…
03-30 05:23:20	highest temperature in toronto on march 31 2026 neg 2corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x16aca4…
03-29 07:51:00	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x25deb9…
03-26 09:39:23	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2f59bb…
03-25 01:29:01	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd9d387…
03-22 09:35:45	will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 28	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x31a176…
03-20 08:25:59	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xdaf049…
03-20 08:21:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xab01ee…
03-18 07:17:49	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xfc5ad7…
03-16 13:32:53	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa056dd…
03-15 11:48:55	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa38996…
03-14 05:18:15	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x406a78…
03-11 09:55:19	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8324d0…
03-10 05:51:17	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 9 be less than 60	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x892a19…
03-08 12:10:23	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xae3dd4…
03-05 13:43:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x298368…
03-01 13:02:07	will the cash initiative or counter proposal be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x85ffea…
02-28 08:58:43	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2f21ca…
02-26 08:06:10	tfx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 3pt74	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbd8cbf…
02-24 12:20:42	will john g roberts attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xafb775…
02-20 15:32:58	march fed derivative 25bps cut flips pause by feb 28	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xed2b93…
02-19 13:12:58	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x90efed…
02-13 14:33:13	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3b97f5…
02-12 14:28:39	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3492b8…
02-11 06:57:21	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5cfa3f…
02-09 08:20:57	will mrbeasts next video get less than 40 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x56190b…
02-04 14:23:30	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4e194d…
02-02 06:14:30	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x795e12…
01-31 13:05:12	Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe267d3…
01-28 04:39:59	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5c3b25…
01-27 02:57:03	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x929cd9…
01-26 08:45:41	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb88860…
01-24 13:36:14	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb31226…
01-22 07:17:52	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x566cce…
01-21 02:16:30	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x846784…
01-20 05:04:46	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xbee258…
01-19 11:49:50	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x371fba…
01-16 01:21:56	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x399418…
01-15 02:33:52	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x14ffb7…
01-14 11:01:54	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x40adf4…
01-13 10:34:51	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa7447f…
01-12 13:35:40	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0678e3…
01-11 07:49:58	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x863b30…
01-08 12:55:21	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2048aa…
01-07 05:00:15	clavicular charged by jan 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc318d4…
01-06 01:53:33	will a white spoon win season 2 of culinary class wars	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0c877f…
01-03 07:56:19	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by january 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8a8516…
01-01 05:17:39	will eleven die in stranger things season 5	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x529e4f…
01-01 05:16:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x96a220…