Sudden-Senator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-17 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

35% 100% +$3

Sports

34% 100% +$36

Politics

24% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+23	$19	100¢	$23	+$4	06-17 10:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol al tes 2026 03 30	1	$80	118	0	+118	open	—	03-30 07:56
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	1	$79	132	0	+132	open	—	01-31 10:46
nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	1	$76	109	0	+109	open	—	04-10 12:04
nba det okc 2026 03 30	1	$73	84	0	+84	open	—	03-30 09:21
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$52	62	0	+62	open	—	02-20 10:57
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$51	64	0	+64	open	—	05-28 07:16
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$49	51	0	+51	open	—	06-17 09:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$45	48	0	+48	No	+$3	05-07 17:36
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	1	$42	94	0	+94	open	—	02-16 08:42
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$40	133	0	+133	open	—	04-10 09:39
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	06-17 10:37
nba chi bkn 2026 02 09	1	$39	98	0	+98	open	—	02-09 13:33
nba det cha 2026 04 10	1	$36	90	0	+90	open	—	04-10 09:37
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	1	$35	37	0	+37	open	—	06-11 08:08
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	1	$35	37	0	+37	open	—	06-11 08:08
lol wb blg 2026 02 27	1	$33	42	0	+42	open	—	02-27 09:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	1	$32	34	0	+34	open	—	06-11 08:08
nba lal det 2026 03 23	1	$31	67	0	+67	open	—	03-23 04:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	04-21 12:47
bitcoin above 76k on april 18	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	04-18 09:06
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	1	$28	82	0	+82	open	—	04-18 09:04
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	03-23 04:38
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$28	32	0	+32	Thunder	+$4	05-07 14:01
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 ast	1	$27	56	0	+56	open	—	02-27 09:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$27	29	0	+29	open	—	04-21 12:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	05-20 03:52
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	05-13 03:30
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$24	56	0	+56	Colorado Rockies	+$32	05-07 14:07
lol navi fnc 2026 02 16	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	02-16 09:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	05-13 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 10:38:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x4231bd…
06-17 10:37:44	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x61b675…
06-17 10:37:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x64d518…
06-17 09:12:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x4dfb00…
06-17 09:08:32	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x9f67aa…
06-11 08:08:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0xcf794d…
06-11 08:08:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	37	93¢	$35	0x83ef79…
06-11 08:08:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xd9d4ab…
05-28 07:16:11	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	34	79¢	$27	0xd282e1…
05-28 05:58:19	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x5bbd99…
05-20 06:49:13	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x7d927a…
05-20 03:53:08	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xd46057…
05-20 03:52:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xb1f45f…
05-13 03:32:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x054423…
05-13 03:30:26	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xd4cb58…
05-07 17:36:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0xda6ce6…
05-07 14:07:07	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0x422212…
05-07 14:01:21	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0x2a4064…
04-21 12:54:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x07bc8a…
04-21 12:47:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x3ba62f…
04-18 09:06:24	bitcoin above 76k on april 18	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x6c39eb…
04-18 09:04:16	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Lakers	BUY	82	34¢	$28	0x388fc6…
04-10 12:04:19	nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	Knicks	BUY	109	70¢	$76	0x85baf3…
04-10 09:39:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x70707e…
04-10 09:37:53	nba det cha 2026 04 10	Pistons	BUY	90	40¢	$36	0x40ad01…
03-30 09:21:48	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Thunder	BUY	84	87¢	$73	0x852687…
03-30 07:56:22	lol al tes 2026 03 30	Anyone's Legend	BUY	118	68¢	$80	0x6d59ff…
03-23 04:38:09	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x3dca5b…
03-23 04:35:39	nba lal det 2026 03 23	Pistons	BUY	67	46¢	$31	0x6f0af2…
02-27 09:07:49	epl wol ast 2026 02 27 ast	No	BUY	56	48¢	$27	0x2b6a57…
02-27 09:05:41	lol wb blg 2026 02 27	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	42	79¢	$33	0xb9cf94…
02-20 10:57:46	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	62	83¢	$52	0xe2480e…
02-16 09:04:21	lol navi fnc 2026 02 16	Natus Vincere	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xd3daed…
02-16 08:42:39	spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	Down	BUY	94	45¢	$42	0x7457d2…
02-09 13:33:43	nba chi bkn 2026 02 09	Nets	BUY	98	40¢	$39	0x60f92c…
01-31 10:46:38	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	132	60¢	$79	0x603656…