Ordinary-Bin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$499

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-15 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

75% 0% $-497

Crypto

25% 50% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	3	$434	254	574	-321	No	$-132	05-07 16:07
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	2	$166	5,294	0	+5,294	Up	$-166	05-05 15:58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$101	262	0	+262	Yes	$-101	05-06 15:12
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 20-26?	1	$101	1,646	0	+1,646	open	—	04-24 14:37
will ethereum reach 2450 on april 22	2	$77	385	0	+385	open	—	04-22 18:32
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	15	$75	958	0	+958	No	$-75	05-08 18:38
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	1	$73	812	0	+812	open	—	04-16 19:39
spy closes above 710 on april 22 2026	3	$63	122	117	+4	open	—	04-22 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$38	27	27	+0	Down	+$16	05-12 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$23	96	96	+0	Up	+$11	05-12 16:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	2	$18	263	263	+0	open	—	05-15 12:54
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	1	$16	105	0	+105	Yes	$-16	05-08 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	8	$15	235	0	+235	Up	$-15	05-12 17:16
spy up or down on april 22 2026	2	$14	218	210	+8	open	—	04-22 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$12	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$12	99	0	+99	Up	$-12	05-12 17:23
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 8?	2	$11	237	237	+0	Yes	$-6	05-08 19:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	3	$7	21	0	+21	open	—	05-15 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Up	$-5	05-12 17:03
will ethereum reach 2500 on april 22	1	$5	78	0	+78	open	—	04-22 17:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 13:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x36bf9a…
05-15 13:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x72ed52…
05-15 13:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x51aaa9…
05-15 12:54:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	263	3¢	$8	0x295d1d…
05-14 18:11:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0x9c78fd…
05-12 17:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6a2c72…
05-12 17:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xaa8c07…
05-12 17:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe45d32…
05-12 17:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb62ac8…
05-12 17:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc3cdb6…
05-12 17:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbf85fb…
05-12 17:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x296b42…
05-12 17:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xeaba6f…
05-12 17:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8f7284…
05-12 17:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x50311d…
05-12 17:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x87c100…
05-12 17:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xdd6c25…
05-12 17:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xe6ec8e…
05-12 17:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1c5df7…
05-12 17:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x464b41…
05-12 17:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x45c431…
05-12 17:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5142af…
05-12 16:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	96	18¢	$17	0x08b839…
05-12 16:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2ffbef…
05-12 16:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xfab261…
05-12 16:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	23	33¢	$7	0xdff47d…
05-12 16:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x474638…
05-08 19:11:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	No	BUY	105	15¢	$16	0xdf4d78…
05-08 19:11:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 8?	No	SELL	237	1¢	$2	0x4f8122…
05-08 18:38:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x2badfc…
05-08 18:02:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xfb1921…
05-08 18:00:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	4¢	$5	0x4ad1b9…
05-08 18:00:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x89751e…
05-08 17:59:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf2e1e9…
05-08 17:56:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xbcb683…
05-08 17:56:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0xc72129…
05-08 17:55:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd3ef91…
05-08 17:53:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0xdbaf85…
05-08 17:53:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x6404d2…
05-08 17:39:41	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 8?	No	BUY	237	4¢	$9	0x3aea6d…
05-08 17:36:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd080fb…
05-08 17:36:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x87e0ac…
05-08 17:36:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x1454a0…
05-08 17:34:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	12¢	$9	0x96e575…
05-08 17:29:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	12¢	$21	0x67704f…
05-07 16:07:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	No	SELL	254	72¢	$183	0xf0f23b…
05-07 15:12:41	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	No	BUY	254	48¢	$123	0x3568fb…
05-07 15:08:27	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	No	SELL	320	40¢	$128	0x61ccac…
05-06 15:12:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	262	39¢	$101	0xa97857…
05-05 15:58:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	2,273	3¢	$66	0x0a35ff…
05-05 15:48:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	3,021	3¢	$100	0xb8136b…
04-24 14:37:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1,646	6¢	$101	0x9b29c5…
04-22 18:32:26	will ethereum reach 2450 on april 22	Yes	BUY	235	20¢	$47	0x339cce…
04-22 18:11:56	spy closes above 710 on april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	117	41¢	$48	0x7cd5f7…
04-22 17:30:10	will ethereum reach 2450 on april 22	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xec9ddc…
04-22 17:28:00	will ethereum reach 2500 on april 22	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0xc760eb…
04-22 17:25:18	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	210	2¢	$5	0x990ac2…
04-22 16:25:12	spy closes above 710 on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcc7e29…
04-22 16:06:20	spy closes above 710 on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x917eeb…
04-22 16:00:52	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	218	4¢	$9	0x011671…
04-16 19:39:58	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	No	BUY	812	9¢	$73	0x804748…