Sticky-Tolerance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$94

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-14 03:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 55% +$2

Sports

9% — —

Politics

2% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-14 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$7	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	05-14 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	05-14 01:49
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-09 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-14 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 00:59
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	02-03 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 02:27
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	02-08 23:20
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	01-13 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$2	12	0	+12	Up	$-2	05-11 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-11 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-14 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Down	$-1	05-14 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-11 17:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-28 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-14 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-14 01:58
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	02-08 23:28
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-14 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 03:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x0276c7…
05-14 03:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8eff0a…
05-14 02:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0x47a4b4…
05-14 02:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xee9870…
05-14 02:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7a2f42…
05-14 02:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2c9fde…
05-14 02:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2a0649…
05-14 02:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8af77f…
05-14 02:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xbefe2e…
05-14 02:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x28ec27…
05-14 02:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x91fb5b…
05-14 02:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x434e40…
05-14 02:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xdb4343…
05-14 02:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x610bc9…
05-14 02:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x41e96c…
05-14 02:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x72cd29…
05-14 02:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x604987…
05-14 01:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd7b9d5…
05-14 01:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x61a3d6…
05-14 01:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2ad994…
05-14 01:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa24a15…
05-14 01:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xee2dcd…
05-14 01:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x1060f0…
05-14 01:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb8a55a…
05-14 01:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x05126a…
05-14 01:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x2c8c69…
05-14 01:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe9b4a8…
05-14 01:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4be147…
05-14 01:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9484fe…
05-14 01:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb3c662…
05-14 01:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x6f4c39…
05-14 01:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf6780f…
05-14 01:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0xee6441…
05-14 01:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe33fb5…
05-14 01:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd20d1c…
05-14 01:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xb1c597…
05-14 01:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x969ed3…
05-14 00:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x067b9b…
05-14 00:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1b35e1…
05-12 03:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x66a543…
05-12 03:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc01405…
05-12 03:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x649462…
05-12 03:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6c22d2…
05-11 17:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x00a85c…
05-11 17:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa5e8a3…
05-11 17:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc0f2cf…
05-11 17:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xeffe8d…
05-11 17:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5da7f7…
04-28 13:10:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9755c7…
04-28 13:08:26	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd35a98…
02-09 00:57:13	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x5e7c2f…
02-08 23:54:39	will jaxon smith njigba win the super bowl lx mvp	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x35222a…
02-08 23:46:21	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8efa49…
02-08 23:28:37	will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x31c47d…
02-08 23:27:45	will drake maye win the super bowl lx mvp	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9e9de6…
02-08 23:24:49	super bowl lx coin toss	Tails	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb52507…
02-08 23:20:53	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x17551c…
02-03 23:38:58	will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0d1536…
01-13 18:11:11	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x513af6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	29	$23.4K	2,483	05-14 03:03
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	29	$14.6K	681	05-30 15:12
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	29	$6.20K	941	05-14 03:02
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	29	$5.96K	1,637	05-14 03:02
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	29	$5.93K	230	05-14 03:01
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	29	$5.84K	1,091	05-14 03:03
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	29	$5.77K	708	05-14 03:03
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	29	$5.32K	993	05-14 03:02