Small-Headlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$60.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.05K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-14 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% — —

Other

0% 75% +$8

Politics

0% 0% $-8

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	6	$60.0K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	01-05 12:44
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-16 03:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	$-8	05-07 22:13
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-09 22:08
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	5	$5	8	0	+8	Natus Vincere	+$3	05-11 20:00
negative gdp growth in 2025	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-04 19:07
will gta 6 cost 100	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-02 17:39
will 2025 be the hottest year on record	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-02 17:39
another us strike on venezuela on january 5	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-04 12:03
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-18 11:34
taylor swift pregnant by march 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-02 17:39
another us strike on venezuela on january 4	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-04 12:03
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 20:45
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)	2	$3	4	0	+4	Team Falcons	+$1	05-09 09:39
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)	1	$2	3	0	+3	PARIVISION	+$0	05-10 09:08
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)	1	$2	3	0	+3	Vitality	+$1	05-11 11:04
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	2	$2	5	0	+5	GamerLegion	$-2	05-12 16:28
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)	2	$2	5	0	+5	FURIA	+$3	05-10 09:24
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-13 00:28
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-13 00:29
will juan carlos hidalgo bogantes win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-22 00:14
bitcoin above 90k on january 30	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-29 18:54
will so easy to fall in love olivia dean be the 1 song on spotify this week 912	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-25 23:10
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-07 12:02
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-18 11:34
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-29 18:54
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	1	$2	2	0	+2	BetBoom Team	$-2	05-12 16:20
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)	1	$1	3	0	+3	TheMongolz	+$1	05-09 00:44
cs2 g2 mnte 2026 06 06	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-06 16:46
cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12 map handicap home 1pt5	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-12 17:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 12:57:24	cs2 mglz mnte 2026 06 14	TheMongolz	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc5266f…
06-12 17:24:37	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12 map handicap home 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6bab4a…
06-06 16:46:03	cs2 g2 mnte 2026 06 06	G2	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x042ef5…
05-21 07:45:14	Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	TheMongolz	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3360ce…
05-16 03:21:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b1149…
05-15 20:50:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4f9a39…
05-15 20:45:38	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x852316…
05-15 20:45:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7a4ded…
05-15 20:20:08	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3a63f7…
05-15 09:09:11	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaf979e…
05-12 16:28:09	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x11b5aa…
05-12 16:20:13	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb90bb8…
05-12 16:20:03	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xaea35c…
05-12 07:56:36	Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)	Monte	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x62ec46…
05-11 20:00:30	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x325f1e…
05-11 13:00:14	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x03b13c…
05-11 13:00:09	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf8f716…
05-11 13:00:09	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc07efe…
05-11 13:00:04	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x01a225…
05-11 11:04:00	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1f714d…
05-10 09:24:21	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc369c2…
05-10 09:24:18	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xf572e2…
05-10 09:08:59	Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)	PARIVISION	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x047729…
05-10 08:28:37	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x40072c…
05-09 22:08:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07989a…
05-09 21:37:21	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf7c3b3…
05-09 12:21:02	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x165b42…
05-09 09:39:13	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)	Team Falcons	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd906e2…
05-09 09:39:09	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)	Team Falcons	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x6023c1…
05-09 00:44:25	Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)	TheMongolz	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x429e09…
05-07 22:13:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xc1faf4…
05-04 20:01:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7fb87c…
05-02 14:46:02	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x836d94…
05-02 02:41:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x508d69…
05-02 01:35:32	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x64e562…
01-29 18:54:52	Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2b9e90…
01-29 18:54:36	bitcoin above 90k on january 30	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbbb071…
01-25 23:10:18	will so easy to fall in love olivia dean be the 1 song on spotify this week 912	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x92fe81…
01-22 00:14:26	will juan carlos hidalgo bogantes win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xec8b34…
01-18 11:34:26	Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6027de…
01-18 11:34:20	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3dd592…
01-13 00:29:23	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1c9991…
01-13 00:28:23	will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2d3ad3…
01-07 12:02:35	new stranger things episode released by wednesday	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe8ba19…
01-05 12:44:35	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Down	SELL	4,581	100¢	$4,577	0xc9e3df…
01-05 12:44:05	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Down	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x780cc0…
01-05 12:38:21	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Down	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x42d79e…
01-05 12:38:19	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf48ac8…
01-05 12:38:11	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Down	SELL	35,138	100¢	$35,102	0x62a919…
01-04 19:07:25	negative gdp growth in 2025	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xef54f5…
01-04 19:05:15	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Down	BUY	40,000	50¢	$20,000	0x210efc…
01-04 12:03:35	another us strike on venezuela on january 5	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x66e97b…
01-04 12:03:33	another us strike on venezuela on january 4	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x149590…
01-02 17:39:57	taylor swift pregnant by march 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb654ea…
01-02 17:39:53	negative gdp growth in 2025	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd7ef65…
01-02 17:39:49	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd0d8fa…
01-02 17:39:43	will 2025 be the hottest year on record	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf0c7a6…