Guilty-Nation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$37.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$888

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-01 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 100% +$10

Politics

18% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	30	$10.2K	6,866	3,432	+3,434	open	—	05-29 03:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 21?	1	$3.4K	3,394	0	+3,394	open	—	05-18 08:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 17?	1	$3.4K	3,391	0	+3,391	open	—	05-16 09:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$3.4K	3,388	0	+3,388	open	—	05-15 07:10
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$3.3K	3,380	0	+3,380	open	—	05-11 02:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?	1	$3.3K	3,352	0	+3,352	Yes	+$3	05-09 00:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$3.3K	3,349	0	+3,349	Yes	+$3	05-07 01:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 6?	1	$3.3K	3,346	0	+3,346	Yes	+$3	05-04 01:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	1	$3.3K	3,342	0	+3,342	open	—	05-02 01:43
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	2	$84	77	77	+0	open	—	06-14 07:34
will epic games valuation hit high 13pt5 by july 31 20260629184732965	1	$45	86	0	+86	open	—	07-01 08:01
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-19 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 08:01:55	will epic games valuation hit high 13pt5 by july 31 20260629184732965	Yes	BUY	86	53¢	$45	0xa53932…
06-14 07:34:15	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	77	53¢	$41	0x848071…
06-08 04:42:04	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	77	56¢	$43	0x1230fd…
05-29 03:59:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	3,434	100¢	$3,420	0x33fa5d…
05-28 15:05:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,270	100¢	$1,265	0x2f0184…
05-28 03:20:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	283	100¢	$281	0xc54b4f…
05-27 22:14:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xca816f…
05-27 22:06:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,064	100¢	$1,060	0x6489e6…
05-27 22:04:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x6d2460…
05-27 21:50:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x1d805a…
05-27 21:50:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf07b28…
05-27 21:26:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0xa7807b…
05-27 20:30:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$170	0x63d883…
05-27 20:27:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x34ea6c…
05-27 20:21:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x26b0cf…
05-27 20:13:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xd2ea58…
05-27 19:24:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$67	0x3e0d45…
05-27 19:06:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$8	0x00b71a…
05-27 18:55:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf4be6c…
05-27 18:47:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xfd3ed4…
05-27 18:19:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x43943b…
05-27 18:12:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xe15ebc…
05-27 18:11:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x394927…
05-27 18:04:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6fcaad…
05-27 17:56:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x42f3b5…
05-27 17:27:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x35d40f…
05-27 17:19:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x2b65fe…
05-27 13:40:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x98f362…
05-27 12:54:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x6b21b3…
05-27 12:51:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x28f023…
05-27 12:49:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x03f48e…
05-27 12:43:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x335144…
05-24 15:25:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	3,432	99¢	$3,391	0x0b1436…
05-18 08:17:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	3,394	100¢	$3,391	0x743c76…
05-16 09:14:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	3,391	100¢	$3,388	0x793847…
05-15 07:10:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,388	100¢	$3,381	0x86e517…
05-11 02:37:40	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,380	99¢	$3,350	0xb7d59c…
05-09 00:32:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3,352	100¢	$3,348	0x6428c5…
05-07 01:49:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	3,349	100¢	$3,345	0x792597…
05-04 01:12:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3,346	100¢	$3,342	0x6468ca…
05-02 01:43:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	3,342	100¢	$3,339	0xafe548…
03-19 08:53:39	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x3f10e1…