Bowed-Semester — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$28.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.17K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-15 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% 0% $-0

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$27.1K	13,637	13,637	+0	open	—	01-02 19:29
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$194	98	98	+0	open	—	02-27 04:10
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$129	65	65	+0	No	$-0	04-19 06:17
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$125	63	62	+0	No	$-0	04-22 11:53
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$124	62	62	+0	open	—	04-19 12:48
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	04-11 02:47
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	02-27 14:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$95	97	0	+97	open	—	01-06 16:42
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-08 05:46
lal bil bet 2026 03 22 bil	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	03-22 05:14
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	1	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	04-07 07:17
nba phi sas 2026 04 06	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-06 03:49
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	1	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	04-08 04:05
nba mia tor 2026 04 07	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-07 05:54
nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	1	$7	18	0	+18	open	—	04-06 05:37
mlb kc wsh 2026 06 15	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	06-15 03:51
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-28 09:28
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$2	13	0	+13	Thunder	$-2	05-11 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 03:51:30	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 15	Washington Nationals	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x23844e…
05-11 04:56:08	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0xacf49e…
04-22 11:53:04	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xe16c85…
04-22 10:28:02	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$62	0xef319b…
04-19 12:48:36	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x34dc1a…
04-19 11:51:04	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x4f0207…
04-19 06:17:44	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xe1462a…
04-19 04:40:40	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x6e5fe0…
04-11 02:47:51	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$53	0x19ba38…
04-08 04:05:05	nba atl cle 2026 04 08	Cavaliers	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x4881cf…
04-07 07:17:05	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x6658a7…
04-07 05:54:07	nba mia tor 2026 04 07	Heat	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xb09213…
04-06 05:37:45	nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	Blackhawks	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x0a4a38…
04-06 03:49:29	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	Spurs	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x4518a6…
03-22 05:14:59	lal bil bet 2026 03 22 bil	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x018c38…
03-08 05:46:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xadd1b5…
03-07 06:17:37	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0xdbb7b8…
02-28 09:28:37	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb7431f…
02-27 14:03:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x86baa2…
02-27 04:10:02	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x7ab8b6…
02-14 08:09:49	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0xa867e2…
01-06 16:42:21	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	97	97¢	$95	0x393a29…
01-02 19:29:55	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	13,637	99¢	$13,528	0x2ee01c…
01-02 19:28:45	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	13,637	99¢	$13,542	0x657743…