Verifiable-Hut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$1.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-12 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

32% — —

Crypto

29% 70% +$7

Politics

24% — —

Tech

11% — —

Pop-Culture

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	7	$72	65	65	+0	open	—	04-17 18:55
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	04-22 17:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$54	50	50	+0	open	—	05-21 01:16
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	3	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	06-05 01:39
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	5	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	05-16 23:58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 25 2026?	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	05-26 17:57
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	4	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	04-20 18:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	5	$44	44	44	+0	open	—	04-21 01:36
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$43	44	43	+1	open	—	04-21 01:36
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	4	$38	43	43	+0	open	—	04-20 18:05
Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 20:39
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 02:23
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	2	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	06-05 01:38
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?	4	$30	39	38	+0	open	—	04-23 00:35
will trump say iran or oil 13 times during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	2	$29	55	0	+55	open	—	04-21 12:39
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 22?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-22 17:41
will britney win at hustler casino on friday	6	$25	50	16	+34	open	—	04-18 03:05
will trump say make america great again during tpusa events on april 17	4	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	04-17 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$15	32	0	+32	open	—	05-20 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-27 15:30
will mrbeasts video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3	1	$11	50	0	+50	open	—	04-21 02:55
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$11	29	29	+0	open	—	04-20 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	05-13 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	05-20 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-27 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-20 16:31
btc updown 5m 1781140500	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	06-11 01:16
btc updown 5m 1781142300	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	06-11 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-19 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-29 01:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 19:00:58	btc updown 5m 1781290800	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1965d2…
06-12 18:02:19	btc updown 5m 1781287200	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x26515c…
06-12 03:28:10	btc updown 5m 1781234700	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf00f77…
06-12 02:14:27	btc updown 5m 1781230200	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x252e7d…
06-11 01:47:42	btc updown 5m 1781142300	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x27f291…
06-11 01:16:45	btc updown 5m 1781140500	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x8665e4…
06-09 02:35:01	btc updown 5m 1780972200	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xca8ce8…
06-08 17:27:10	btc updown 5m 1780939500	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2aa8cf…
06-06 22:31:10	btc updown 5m 1780785000	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa3a030…
06-06 21:11:40	btc updown 5m 1780780200	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1ae966…
06-05 01:39:10	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xd11a0d…
06-05 01:38:30	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x8bfd97…
06-04 18:08:27	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	No	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xa6f36a…
06-04 18:05:31	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x6e2ef1…
06-04 18:01:46	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xf553c0…
06-04 17:36:30	btc updown 5m 1780594500	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7b0fb9…
06-04 02:36:16	btc updown 5m 1780540500	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x8bda33…
06-03 17:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x4f2893…
06-03 16:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x68745c…
06-03 15:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x874ae2…
05-29 01:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4f9bbf…
05-29 01:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x724247…
05-28 18:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x942e15…
05-27 15:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x413f17…
05-27 15:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x86f4f0…
05-26 17:57:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 25 2026?	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xb874f6…
05-26 17:52:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x9ace0a…
05-21 01:16:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x695b4b…
05-20 16:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x531771…
05-20 16:06:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x129374…
05-20 02:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x35cb05…
05-20 01:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x29f35d…
05-20 01:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xccceea…
05-20 00:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x4a218f…
05-20 00:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4d3bcc…
05-19 03:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xa0437f…
05-17 00:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x60b3d3…
05-16 23:58:07	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x343162…
05-16 23:57:53	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0x2391ef…
05-16 23:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x30bf91…
05-16 22:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x137514…
05-16 19:44:25	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x02f215…
05-16 19:43:21	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	24	56¢	$14	0x2adc4a…
05-16 18:56:58	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x269f41…
05-16 18:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1638c5…
05-16 18:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5b4ffa…
05-15 03:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x299f05…
05-15 02:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x00ff34…
05-14 01:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0xdebc1c…
05-13 18:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x344bbd…
05-13 03:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2425eb…
05-13 03:07:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x97f746…
05-13 03:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x684b7f…
05-13 02:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x028c65…
05-13 02:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2681fa…
05-09 17:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x974f55…
05-09 17:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc8e719…
05-09 02:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf871a2…
05-08 15:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x64beb5…
05-01 02:23:42	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xb71c12…
04-30 20:39:36	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x5b41dd…
04-30 20:34:12	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xdf4602…
04-29 00:54:16	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xfc362f…
04-23 00:35:04	Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x57ba1a…
04-23 00:34:50	Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x8f4011…
04-22 20:05:34	Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x3b767e…
04-22 19:33:26	Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x6beaa3…
04-22 17:42:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x1145a3…
04-22 17:41:48	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 22?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x424679…
04-22 02:46:28	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2d5727…
04-22 02:39:52	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6f7035…
04-21 12:39:58	will trump say iran or oil 13 times during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xa2935c…
04-21 02:55:34	will mrbeasts video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xe37372…
04-21 02:02:48	will trump say iran or oil 13 times during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xa7ea83…
04-21 01:36:56	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0xf6d968…
04-21 01:36:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	No	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x14a1a4…
04-21 01:36:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0x3f055c…
04-21 01:35:52	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0xc8d876…
04-20 18:24:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x4f206d…
04-20 18:23:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd7018c…
04-20 18:23:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	No	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xb479e9…
04-20 18:20:56	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x8e3ced…
04-20 18:17:48	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x5d57e3…
04-20 18:05:44	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	No	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x722714…
04-20 18:05:26	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0x9423f1…
04-20 18:05:10	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x3442df…
04-20 18:04:46	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xa3c8e8…
04-20 18:04:24	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0x2b877e…
04-19 16:15:58	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x936e7d…
04-19 14:26:08	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x99b066…
04-19 13:48:02	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xb578ec…
04-19 09:29:32	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	No	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x3f5dc5…
04-19 02:19:42	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0xb1f460…
04-18 03:05:02	will britney win at hustler casino on friday	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x480e0a…
04-18 01:39:40	will britney win at hustler casino on friday	No	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xc9865f…
04-18 01:18:24	will britney win at hustler casino on friday	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x40730e…
04-18 01:10:52	will britney win at hustler casino on friday	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5eafda…
04-18 00:49:02	will britney win at hustler casino on friday	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3ad9da…
04-17 23:37:06	will britney win at hustler casino on friday	Yes	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x443947…
04-17 21:30:54	will trump say make america great again during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0xb34eb5…