Insecure-Dragon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$306

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-06 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-306

Politics

31% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	10	$932	550	550	+0	open	—	04-14 07:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$792	435	435	+0	open	—	04-22 13:07
will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	4	$569	320	320	+0	open	—	04-19 19:33
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	2	$523	280	280	+0	open	—	04-18 15:34
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	11	$495	527	527	+0	Yes	$-306	05-06 20:52
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	23	$449	677	597	+80	open	—	04-15 17:52
will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	5	$305	478	0	+478	open	—	04-02 06:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$298	200	200	+0	open	—	04-18 20:40
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	3	$244	131	131	+0	open	—	04-21 16:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$130	200	200	+0	open	—	05-03 16:49
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	2	$122	150	0	+150	open	—	04-22 04:56
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$116	65	65	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 19:56
btc updown 5m 1774306800	2	$110	244	0	+244	open	—	03-23 23:03
btc updown 5m 1774306500	1	$100	149	0	+149	open	—	03-23 22:57
btc updown 5m 1774307400	1	$96	165	0	+165	open	—	03-23 23:10
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-15 14:22
btc updown 5m 1776163500	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-14 10:51
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$3	214	0	+214	open	—	03-23 15:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 20:52:35	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	527	18¢	$95	0x2b2a24…
05-06 12:52:48	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	408	76¢	$310	0x65a9bc…
05-06 12:28:30	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x9f1457…
05-06 12:28:28	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0xe17456…
05-06 12:28:28	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0xc890ed…
05-06 12:28:28	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x34a74d…
05-06 12:28:26	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x502e5f…
05-06 12:28:24	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x249a65…
05-06 12:28:24	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x0f80ba…
05-06 12:28:16	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xdf0b3a…
05-06 12:28:16	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0xde8f27…
05-03 16:49:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x623b44…
04-22 13:07:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0x5cc224…
04-22 13:07:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0x413f4e…
04-22 13:07:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x88ea49…
04-22 04:56:30	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	Yes	BUY	77	81¢	$62	0xe5e9b0…
04-21 21:19:20	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	Yes	BUY	73	81¢	$59	0xee0af1…
04-21 16:38:16	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	SELL	131	96¢	$126	0x652b4d…
04-20 06:48:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	395	83¢	$328	0x8ea3c9…
04-19 19:33:04	will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	Yes	SELL	320	100¢	$319	0x46ff55…
04-19 19:14:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x29fda0…
04-19 19:14:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x6a63ce…
04-19 04:18:42	will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	Yes	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0x5c8c17…
04-19 04:11:50	will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x40d2b6…
04-19 00:31:12	will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	Yes	BUY	254	78¢	$198	0x6523be…
04-18 20:40:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0xb8ce80…
04-18 16:55:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x879f9d…
04-18 15:34:54	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	Yes	SELL	280	100¢	$280	0xa338d3…
04-18 07:56:52	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	Yes	BUY	280	87¢	$244	0xc6a82c…
04-17 11:33:38	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	BUY	130	90¢	$117	0xb3fc10…
04-15 17:52:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	80	42¢	$33	0xb509d4…
04-15 14:22:46	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x853622…
04-15 13:22:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	162	65¢	$104	0x8c4293…
04-15 13:22:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x9b4052…
04-15 13:22:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x51609d…
04-15 13:21:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	140	45¢	$63	0x2d7dd8…
04-15 13:21:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	39	45¢	$18	0xdf662d…
04-15 13:21:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x154fed…
04-14 19:56:22	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	65	89¢	$58	0xe63bca…
04-14 10:51:59	btc updown 5m 1776163500	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0dca3b…
04-14 10:49:31	btc updown 5m 1776163500	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc738f2…
04-14 10:35:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	44¢	$39	0xd38797…
04-14 10:21:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xbfcba0…
04-14 10:15:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0xf479b9…
04-14 10:06:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x89a160…
04-14 09:54:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xc1b554…
04-14 09:48:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x392954…
04-14 09:12:13	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd1ac43…
04-14 07:23:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	193	99¢	$192	0x86495f…
04-14 07:06:05	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8e7860…
04-14 06:59:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x51fa2f…
04-14 06:37:29	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	89¢	$55	0xe155aa…
04-13 23:13:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x3b0d6c…
04-12 22:10:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x343055…
04-12 22:09:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xd1f349…
04-11 21:48:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xaf4455…
04-11 21:42:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x4f60e2…
04-11 21:38:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x206f7c…
04-11 19:13:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0xe6b3db…
04-11 19:10:55	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	366	14¢	$51	0xa26cc7…
04-11 19:09:47	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xc42a3a…
04-11 19:09:47	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xb47af6…
04-11 19:09:47	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xaafeed…
04-11 19:09:47	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x92a639…
04-11 19:06:59	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x6ae5fc…
04-11 19:06:55	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xd0ec18…
04-11 19:06:55	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xbd1630…
04-11 19:06:55	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x652f9c…
04-11 19:06:55	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x335f3d…
04-10 20:12:43	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	129	36¢	$46	0xdeac61…
04-10 20:12:27	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x6d8572…
04-10 20:12:27	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	143	36¢	$52	0x65e180…
04-10 20:12:27	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0x107360…
04-10 18:23:31	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xdcfcbd…
04-10 18:18:41	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x25beb1…
04-10 17:12:47	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdb1477…
04-10 11:08:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	350	70¢	$245	0x39db53…
04-02 06:44:31	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x621026…
04-01 22:00:13	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf6b14b…
04-01 13:45:11	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xdb9748…
03-29 15:33:04	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	BUY	424	63¢	$267	0x311cb0…
03-29 15:31:04	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	BUY	26	63¢	$16	0xee31db…
03-23 23:10:17	btc updown 5m 1774307400	Up	BUY	165	58¢	$96	0xb33c7b…
03-23 23:03:01	btc updown 5m 1774306800	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xd9a02b…
03-23 23:01:45	btc updown 5m 1774306800	Up	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0x9373b0…
03-23 22:57:51	btc updown 5m 1774306500	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x5bb094…
03-23 15:37:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x7351a7…
03-23 15:35:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	169	1¢	$2	0x9d983d…
03-23 15:34:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xde0e3b…
03-23 15:32:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xd6d9d7…
03-23 15:32:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb0cbb7…