Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

458

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-15 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

72% 63% +$19

Politics

24% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		-5	$-5	84¢	$-5	+$0	06-02 03:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-2	$-1	84¢	$-1	$-0	06-15 15:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	59	$232	121	121	+0	open	—	05-29 00:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$192	591	591	+0	open	—	06-13 09:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	23	$165	84	84	+0	open	—	05-12 05:46
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	22	$81	78	8	+70	Yes	+$3	05-12 17:17
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	17	$27	52	52	+0	open	—	04-16 18:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$22	0	22	-22	open	—	06-01 17:08
val fut1 nrg 2026 06 10	2	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	06-10 15:29
val fut1 nrg 2026 06 10 game2	2	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	06-10 15:22
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	4	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 21:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	19	$18	27	27	+0	open	—	04-22 09:28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-22 22:16
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-18 05:49
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	14	$14	33	0	+33	Team Vitality	+$19	05-08 17:58
Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	5	$12	29	0	+29	open	—	05-04 06:32
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	12	$12	24	0	+24	Global Esports	$-12	05-07 07:52
Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	12	$12	22	0	+22	Joblife	$-12	05-04 17:35
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	11	$11	25	0	+25	Division One	+$10	05-04 21:48
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	4	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	05-03 23:12
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	4	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 00:48
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	10	$10	20	0	+20	Dragon Ranger Gaming	$-10	05-08 11:34
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	5	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-02 16:36
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	9	$9	24	0	+24	M80	+$15	05-05 20:33
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 1 Winner	8	$8	11	0	+11	Galions	+$3	05-07 16:07
val th1 vit 2026 06 12	4	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	06-12 15:59
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	4	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	05-03 17:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	05-07 05:07
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	6	$6	13	0	+13	All Gamers	+$0	05-05 13:09
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	6	$6	10	0	+10	Team Vitality	$-2	05-07 19:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	6	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-19 22:12
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	3	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	05-02 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 15:14:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x626dda…
06-13 09:00:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	591	16¢	$92	0x2d55e5…
06-12 20:18:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	295	17¢	$50	0x718d1c…
06-12 20:18:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	296	17¢	$50	0xb1a140…
06-12 19:54:34	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc67e34…
06-12 15:59:45	val th1 vit 2026 06 12	Team Heretics	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfdb857…
06-12 15:59:31	val th1 vit 2026 06 12	Team Heretics	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x699f75…
06-12 15:51:24	val th1 vit 2026 06 12	Team Heretics	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd2a7d3…
06-12 08:29:24	val th1 vit 2026 06 12	Team Heretics	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x71feb0…
06-11 07:56:03	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11	PARIVISION	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xfb3e90…
06-10 15:29:58	val fut1 nrg 2026 06 10	NRG	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xfaeac9…
06-10 15:26:42	val fut1 nrg 2026 06 10	NRG	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xfcd212…
06-10 15:22:33	val fut1 nrg 2026 06 10 game2	NRG	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7d8999…
06-10 13:55:27	val fut1 nrg 2026 06 10 game2	NRG	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x377a56…
06-02 03:07:03	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xdea268…
06-02 03:06:50	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xb7bc7c…
06-01 17:08:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x13869a…
05-29 00:34:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd25273…
05-29 00:29:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xc49c43…
05-29 00:17:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x22cbee…
05-28 08:15:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x909d2b…
05-28 08:10:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1d15cd…
05-28 07:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa9b102…
05-28 07:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9e7ad2…
05-28 06:54:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x8bc853…
05-28 06:54:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb82303…
05-28 06:51:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8b7bf5…
05-28 06:41:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe2e411…
05-28 06:39:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x463ccb…
05-28 04:52:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcc7b34…
05-28 04:29:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdad21d…
05-28 04:09:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe1999f…
05-28 02:39:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2cd1f2…
05-28 02:08:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd8d490…
05-28 01:28:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdfbd81…
05-28 01:11:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xada65b…
05-28 00:58:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3c6030…
05-28 00:49:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa005a0…
05-27 19:25:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x39e463…
05-27 19:24:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x523298…
05-22 22:16:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9eacc4…
05-22 22:16:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4f2646…
05-22 17:05:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2298b1…
05-20 09:42:21	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xcde312…
05-16 21:01:15	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7b689b…
05-16 20:55:55	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x886304…
05-16 20:53:54	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7fbbba…
05-16 20:53:52	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf0c7f9…
05-15 14:31:01	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb7098a…
05-15 13:22:42	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd93c44…
05-15 08:00:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe6dd86…
05-15 07:58:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd6af1f…
05-15 07:22:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3ecf65…
05-15 07:11:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf520f1…
05-15 06:56:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1722ee…
05-15 06:51:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x24fcb0…
05-15 06:49:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xeb5b8f…
05-15 06:27:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb1f294…
05-15 05:56:27	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x37a6f7…
05-15 05:47:28	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x8a08ee…
05-15 05:46:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xba240e…
05-15 05:45:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8468dd…
05-15 01:13:25	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfe7d05…
05-13 11:02:26	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x334b57…
05-13 10:45:33	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x52d496…
05-12 19:32:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x650f99…
05-12 19:21:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x30c090…
05-12 19:15:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x63f8f9…
05-12 19:00:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x41c3da…
05-12 18:54:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xbdcbdc…
05-12 18:33:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x817bc3…
05-12 18:32:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x865d7e…
05-12 18:24:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x510255…
05-12 18:18:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9ce335…
05-12 18:11:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3f185b…
05-12 17:56:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdefcac…
05-12 17:42:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5e0e1d…
05-12 17:35:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8f2b9a…
05-12 17:23:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1b6893…
05-12 17:22:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x428730…
05-12 17:17:53	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68d7a4…
05-12 17:07:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc4f5f1…
05-12 16:51:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xe4ba1a…
05-12 16:46:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x13413d…
05-12 16:32:47	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc28116…
05-12 16:27:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x81e1a1…
05-12 16:26:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaa7a57…
05-12 16:07:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x878560…
05-12 16:02:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xfad56c…
05-12 16:02:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3ab8f0…
05-12 15:55:43	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe81569…
05-12 05:46:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x29ec3c…
05-11 18:02:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2b0460…
05-11 17:48:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x55b15b…
05-11 17:26:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x40af56…
05-10 19:43:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24aa1f…
05-10 17:09:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x55daea…
05-10 17:02:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa9a321…
05-10 16:03:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe68609…
05-10 15:58:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb25d99…