Harmless-Alpenglow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$401

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 39% $-28

Other

9% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	10	$53	55	55	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	7	$48	69	69	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$37	52	52	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 14:22
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	3	$30	19	19	+0	Casper Ruud	$-0	05-13 12:32
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$20	60	60	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$18	17	17	+0	Down	+$15	05-13 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	6	$18	45	12	+33	Down	+$4	05-13 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$17	35	0	+35	Up	$-17	05-13 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	6	$17	117	17	+100	Up	$-1	05-13 13:54
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	2	$17	13	13	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$15	15	7	+7	Down	$-5	05-13 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$14	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$13	22	22	+0	Down	$-7	05-13 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$10	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 13:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	$-2	05-13 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$8	104	4	+100	Down	$-0	05-13 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$7	15	15	+0	Up	$-3	05-13 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$6	120	20	+100	Down	$-6	05-13 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	Down	$-6	05-13 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-12 09:40
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	1	$5	41	0	+41	Down	$-5	05-13 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 12:47
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-13 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Down	+$6	05-12 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-13 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$2	200	0	+200	Up	$-2	05-13 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$2	12	0	+12	Down	$-2	05-13 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-13 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$2	17	0	+17	Down	$-2	05-13 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 14:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0xdd4e4e…
05-13 14:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xf254d3…
05-13 14:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xbeafa5…
05-13 14:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x8651c1…
05-13 14:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x7ce8d1…
05-13 14:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x4a348c…
05-13 14:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	32	68¢	$22	0x7dc8a9…
05-13 14:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0x3141c3…
05-13 14:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	52	36¢	$19	0x089098…
05-13 14:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	35¢	$18	0x3e3ea4…
05-13 14:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xb384ae…
05-13 14:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x29dd05…
05-13 14:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2b1f5e…
05-13 14:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4cc79e…
05-13 14:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x30e26d…
05-13 14:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x47e81d…
05-13 14:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf7344b…
05-13 14:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xc3a398…
05-13 14:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x04e2be…
05-13 14:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x21bea0…
05-13 14:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xc9872c…
05-13 14:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x26cdfd…
05-13 13:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1e52f0…
05-13 13:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf293e1…
05-13 13:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xe279ea…
05-13 13:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x0fe7c8…
05-13 13:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf71e65…
05-13 13:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb23bfe…
05-13 13:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x358b96…
05-13 13:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x3aa812…
05-13 13:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x5e51c7…
05-13 13:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xacce47…
05-13 13:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9ed057…
05-13 13:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x82cbae…
05-13 13:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x62c706…
05-13 13:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfa37ec…
05-13 13:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc535fe…
05-13 13:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x7a39a9…
05-13 13:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xac0a28…
05-13 13:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x94808f…
05-13 13:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x9b5d99…
05-13 13:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5dc098…
05-13 13:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x7fe998…
05-13 13:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf37107…
05-13 13:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0xe395df…
05-13 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3bcb2c…
05-13 13:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x38e5bd…
05-13 13:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x6bec29…
05-13 13:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0d6395…
05-13 13:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0xe2ce65…
05-13 13:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xaf1eba…
05-13 13:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x0e255b…
05-13 13:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xd77daf…
05-13 13:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe083fb…
05-13 13:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x4aee97…
05-13 13:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x71bf1c…
05-13 13:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x249cb6…
05-13 13:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x389940…
05-13 12:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xe3e660…
05-13 12:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xf4968f…
05-13 12:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb1f676…
05-13 12:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2cf6cc…
05-13 12:32:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x321a6d…
05-13 12:31:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xd862a0…
05-13 12:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x47a87a…
05-13 12:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x621b18…
05-13 12:12:02	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x7a7328…
05-13 12:02:01	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	13	66¢	$8	0x3f1b2c…
05-13 11:38:08	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x3e548a…
05-13 11:35:27	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0xee363c…
05-13 11:34:56	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe04cc7…
05-13 11:33:26	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0xacb7c2…
05-13 11:32:09	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xcaa799…
05-13 11:26:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdc6679…
05-13 11:15:37	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa45742…
05-13 10:42:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x48d994…
05-13 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf09215…
05-13 10:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc97d4e…
05-13 10:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x7613be…
05-13 10:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xa28e09…
05-13 10:18:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xff7b84…
05-12 09:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x295a9e…
05-12 09:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9f84be…