Bronze-Mill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

431

lifetime

Volume

$31.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-22 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

47% — —

Other

28% — —

Politics

24% 50% +$1,422

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	12	$3.7K	3,240	3,240	+0	open	—	01-15 20:44
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$3.2K	3,522	3,522	+0	open	—	05-11 10:46
btc updown 5m 1773553500	8	$1.7K	1,334	1,317	+16	open	—	03-15 05:50
btc updown 5m 1773553200	6	$839	1,291	1,277	+14	open	—	03-15 05:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$775	5,914	5,914	+0	open	—	05-10 20:31
epl not ars 2026 01 17 ars	1	$754	1,538	0	+1,538	open	—	01-17 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$750	1,161	0	+1,161	open	—	05-16 03:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$739	1,616	1,616	+0	open	—	03-02 19:32
btc updown 15m 1767654900	5	$720	1,095	625	+470	open	—	01-05 23:23
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$676	661	661	+0	open	—	03-03 19:02
btc updown 15m 1768492800	3	$637	728	77	+651	open	—	01-15 16:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$593	548	548	+0	open	—	05-10 13:31
btc updown 5m 1773552300	2	$498	306	302	+4	open	—	03-15 05:30
btc updown 15m 1768660200	3	$476	825	274	+551	open	—	01-17 14:40
btc updown 5m 1772568600	1	$386	761	0	+761	open	—	03-03 20:10
btc updown 5m 1772563200	2	$375	242	238	+4	open	—	03-03 18:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$369	5,263	5,263	+0	open	—	05-10 13:16
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	2	$346	1,249	1,249	+0	open	—	05-16 04:39
ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	8	$339	304	315	-11	open	—	05-22 08:07
btc updown 5m 1773553800	1	$319	586	0	+586	open	—	03-15 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$304	937	0	+937	open	—	05-16 04:40
btc updown 5m 1773552000	2	$281	204	201	+3	open	—	03-15 05:25
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$279	2,285	2,285	+0	open	—	05-09 21:06
btc updown 15m 1767657600	3	$269	601	254	+347	open	—	01-06 00:08
btc updown 5m 1773265500	3	$266	156	155	+1	open	—	03-11 21:47
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	4	$254	6,329	6,329	+0	open	—	01-12 06:12
btc updown 5m 1772480100	2	$253	206	205	+2	open	—	03-02 19:40
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	1	$250	70,789	0	+70,789	open	—	05-15 19:38
btc updown 5m 1772566500	2	$236	196	195	+2	open	—	03-03 19:38
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$231	144	144	+0	open	—	01-15 05:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 08:51:50	btc updown 5m 1782118200	Up	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0x407e5e…
06-22 08:44:52	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	154	11¢	$17	0x6fc1c5…
06-22 08:11:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	721	0¢	$4	0xa2d91c…
06-22 08:10:02	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	196	10¢	$20	0xb262d5…
06-21 23:02:35	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	71	18¢	$13	0x68f782…
06-21 23:01:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	721	1¢	$10	0xe24e60…
06-21 23:00:13	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x2cdc0d…
06-21 22:33:34	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x1214e6…
06-21 21:18:50	btc updown 5m 1782076500	Up	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x744ec6…
06-21 21:18:08	btc updown 5m 1782076500	Down	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xed0b63…
06-21 21:17:49	btc updown 5m 1782076500	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc805ca…
06-21 21:16:38	btc updown 5m 1782076500	Down	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x12fac3…
06-21 21:15:41	btc updown 5m 1782076500	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x9845ba…
06-21 21:13:34	btc updown 5m 1782076200	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x4d8a71…
06-21 21:06:26	btc updown 5m 1782075900	Up	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x899752…
06-21 21:05:29	btc updown 5m 1782075900	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa999a9…
06-21 21:04:50	btc updown 5m 1782075600	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x1b7a60…
06-21 21:03:43	btc updown 5m 1782075600	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x6e4b8a…
06-21 21:03:25	btc updown 5m 1782075600	Up	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x7703bf…
06-21 21:01:55	btc updown 5m 1782075600	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x5a8820…
06-21 21:01:23	btc updown 5m 1782075600	Down	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xfbdf50…
06-21 21:00:55	btc updown 5m 1782075600	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x2ab453…
06-21 20:59:38	btc updown 5m 1782075300	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x81c9d7…
06-21 20:58:04	btc updown 5m 1782075300	Up	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x1ea327…
06-21 20:57:49	btc updown 5m 1782075300	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x8e9e7f…
06-21 20:56:50	btc updown 5m 1782075300	Down	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x78761d…
06-21 20:55:35	btc updown 5m 1782075300	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb0d32a…
06-21 20:54:31	btc updown 5m 1782075000	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x92aa5f…
06-21 20:50:40	btc updown 5m 1782075000	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6c918e…
06-21 20:34:04	btc updown 5m 1782073800	Up	SELL	42	15¢	$6	0x2c9705…
06-21 20:32:28	btc updown 5m 1782073800	Up	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0x1a4181…
06-21 20:29:32	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 21	New York Yankees	SELL	163	4¢	$6	0x9ed00e…
06-21 19:22:37	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 21	New York Yankees	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x4b7bd6…
06-21 19:15:52	val pr1 lev1 2026 06 21	Leviatán Esports	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0a8da7…
06-21 18:54:08	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 21	New York Yankees	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd145c0…
06-21 18:39:23	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 21	New York Yankees	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x448379…
06-21 18:38:55	mlb mil atl 2026 06 21	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0xd718fa…
06-21 18:37:41	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 21	New York Yankees	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x496a43…
06-21 18:22:41	val pr1 lev1 2026 06 21	Leviatán Esports	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x759227…
06-21 18:10:23	mlb mil atl 2026 06 21	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xa48f94…
06-21 18:07:32	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x4dbf73…
06-21 18:06:55	wta osaka frech 2026 06 21	Naomi Osaka	SELL	12	72¢	$8	0xa7f2c3…
06-21 17:02:31	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x9039bb…
06-21 17:02:11	wta pegula noskova 2026 06 21	Linda Noskova	SELL	17	33¢	$5	0x0749a7…
06-21 15:55:34	wta pegula noskova 2026 06 21	Linda Noskova	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x0abc27…
06-21 15:53:35	atp navone sonego 2026 06 21	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x262928…
06-21 15:53:04	wta marcink snigur 2026 06 21	Daria Snigur	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xba70f6…
06-21 15:52:43	wta osaka frech 2026 06 21	Naomi Osaka	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xdac5d2…
06-21 15:51:31	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xb74f79…
06-21 14:20:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	446	14¢	$64	0x0c4e7d…
06-21 13:57:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	325	17¢	$54	0x2df243…
06-21 13:55:11	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	121	17¢	$20	0x7f6ce2…
06-21 13:49:59	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	259	13¢	$34	0xdad4c3…
06-21 13:30:22	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	259	17¢	$44	0x1d18ab…
06-21 13:14:52	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0xcfcdf1…
06-21 12:52:53	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xac7b57…
06-21 12:49:07	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	SELL	884	10¢	$85	0x11fb6d…
06-21 12:45:19	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	884	11¢	$100	0x2dadb9…
06-19 11:20:22	btc updown 5m 1781868000	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x73f741…
06-19 11:15:37	btc updown 5m 1781867700	Up	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x40bc5e…
06-19 11:14:29	btc updown 5m 1781867400	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xd3b19d…
06-19 11:14:20	btc updown 5m 1781867400	Up	SELL	42	16¢	$7	0x716b31…
06-19 11:12:47	btc updown 5m 1781867400	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xe2fabd…
06-19 11:12:02	btc updown 5m 1781867400	Up	SELL	68	56¢	$38	0xdc3532…
06-19 11:11:49	btc updown 5m 1781867400	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xfd71a8…
06-19 10:57:22	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	777	9¢	$73	0x68a875…
06-19 10:51:56	btc updown 5m 1781866200	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xfe69f6…
06-19 10:12:49	btc updown 5m 1781863800	Up	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xce5080…
06-19 10:10:38	btc updown 5m 1781863800	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4f5f74…
06-18 22:36:50	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	777	13¢	$100	0x1eefef…
05-22 08:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x12737c…
05-22 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xca8aac…
05-22 08:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	83	14¢	$12	0x6213ab…
05-22 08:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x01e2ff…
05-22 08:07:02	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Patcharin Cheapchandej	SELL	93	24¢	$22	0xb6338f…
05-22 07:10:09	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Yidi Yang	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xc3d443…
05-22 07:04:07	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Patcharin Cheapchandej	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x9edfde…
05-22 07:03:25	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Patcharin Cheapchandej	SELL	116	62¢	$72	0xbe685a…
05-22 06:47:05	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Patcharin Cheapchandej	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x9e464f…
05-22 06:46:23	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Yidi Yang	SELL	105	57¢	$60	0xa37ff2…
05-22 06:46:00	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Yidi Yang	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xcf2174…
05-22 06:37:45	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Yidi Yang	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xcfc37c…
05-22 06:37:28	ITF Gimcheon: Tai Leonard Sach vs Sora Fukuda	Tai Leonard Sach	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xad78e9…
05-22 05:19:32	ITF Gimcheon: Tai Leonard Sach vs Sora Fukuda	Tai Leonard Sach	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x3e4d5d…
05-22 05:03:05	ITF Gimcheon: Tai Leonard Sach vs Sora Fukuda	Tai Leonard Sach	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x9ef5ac…
05-22 04:53:38	ITF Gimcheon: Dong Ju Kim vs Keisuke Saitoh	Keisuke Saitoh	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x14b25c…
05-22 04:34:44	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x9e09aa…
05-22 04:32:43	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x15783f…
05-21 21:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x12988c…
05-21 21:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x74fa5f…
05-21 21:48:30	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	SELL	70	67¢	$47	0x844205…
05-21 21:25:27	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x9fd36b…
05-21 21:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x299039…
05-21 21:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0xea00f6…
05-21 21:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x370a5f…
05-21 20:22:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	26	71¢	$19	0x3aba22…
05-21 19:15:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0x6a3493…
05-21 19:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x786839…
05-21 19:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x70a704…
05-21 18:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x952df8…