Bronze-Mill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$29.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-22 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% — —

Other

27% — —

Politics

24% 50% +$1,422

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	12	$3.7K	3,240	3,240	+0	open	—	01-15 20:44
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$3.2K	3,522	3,522	+0	open	—	05-11 10:46
btc updown 5m 1773553500	8	$1.7K	1,334	1,317	+16	open	—	03-15 05:50
btc updown 5m 1773553200	6	$839	1,291	1,277	+14	open	—	03-15 05:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$775	5,914	5,914	+0	open	—	05-10 20:31
epl not ars 2026 01 17 ars	1	$754	1,538	0	+1,538	open	—	01-17 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$750	1,161	0	+1,161	open	—	05-16 03:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$739	1,616	1,616	+0	open	—	03-02 19:32
btc updown 15m 1767654900	5	$720	1,095	625	+470	open	—	01-05 23:23
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$676	661	661	+0	open	—	03-03 19:02
btc updown 15m 1768492800	3	$637	728	77	+651	open	—	01-15 16:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$593	548	548	+0	open	—	05-10 13:31
btc updown 5m 1773552300	2	$498	306	302	+4	open	—	03-15 05:30
btc updown 15m 1768660200	3	$476	825	274	+551	open	—	01-17 14:40
btc updown 5m 1772568600	1	$386	761	0	+761	open	—	03-03 20:10
btc updown 5m 1772563200	2	$375	242	238	+4	open	—	03-03 18:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$369	5,263	5,263	+0	open	—	05-10 13:16
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	2	$346	1,249	1,249	+0	open	—	05-16 04:39
ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	8	$339	304	315	-11	open	—	05-22 08:07
btc updown 5m 1773553800	1	$319	586	0	+586	open	—	03-15 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$304	937	0	+937	open	—	05-16 04:40
btc updown 5m 1773552000	2	$281	204	201	+3	open	—	03-15 05:25
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$279	2,285	2,285	+0	open	—	05-09 21:06
btc updown 15m 1767657600	3	$269	601	254	+347	open	—	01-06 00:08
btc updown 5m 1773265500	3	$266	156	155	+1	open	—	03-11 21:47
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	4	$254	6,329	6,329	+0	open	—	01-12 06:12
btc updown 5m 1772480100	2	$253	206	205	+2	open	—	03-02 19:40
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	1	$250	70,789	0	+70,789	open	—	05-15 19:38
btc updown 5m 1772566500	2	$236	196	195	+2	open	—	03-03 19:38
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$231	144	144	+0	open	—	01-15 05:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 08:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x12737c…
05-22 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xca8aac…
05-22 08:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	83	14¢	$12	0x6213ab…
05-22 08:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x01e2ff…
05-22 08:07:02	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Patcharin Cheapchandej	SELL	93	24¢	$22	0xb6338f…
05-22 07:10:09	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Yidi Yang	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xc3d443…
05-22 07:04:07	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Patcharin Cheapchandej	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x9edfde…
05-22 07:03:25	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Patcharin Cheapchandej	SELL	116	62¢	$72	0xbe685a…
05-22 06:47:05	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Patcharin Cheapchandej	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x9e464f…
05-22 06:46:23	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Yidi Yang	SELL	105	57¢	$60	0xa37ff2…
05-22 06:46:00	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Yidi Yang	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xcf2174…
05-22 06:37:45	ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang	Yidi Yang	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xcfc37c…
05-22 06:37:28	ITF Gimcheon: Tai Leonard Sach vs Sora Fukuda	Tai Leonard Sach	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xad78e9…
05-22 05:19:32	ITF Gimcheon: Tai Leonard Sach vs Sora Fukuda	Tai Leonard Sach	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x3e4d5d…
05-22 05:03:05	ITF Gimcheon: Tai Leonard Sach vs Sora Fukuda	Tai Leonard Sach	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x9ef5ac…
05-22 04:53:38	ITF Gimcheon: Dong Ju Kim vs Keisuke Saitoh	Keisuke Saitoh	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x14b25c…
05-22 04:34:44	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x9e09aa…
05-22 04:32:43	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x15783f…
05-21 21:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x12988c…
05-21 21:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x74fa5f…
05-21 21:48:30	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	SELL	70	67¢	$47	0x844205…
05-21 21:25:27	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x9fd36b…
05-21 21:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x299039…
05-21 21:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0xea00f6…
05-21 21:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x370a5f…
05-21 20:22:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	26	71¢	$19	0x3aba22…
05-21 19:15:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0x6a3493…
05-21 19:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x786839…
05-21 19:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x70a704…
05-21 18:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x952df8…
05-21 18:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x381cd4…
05-21 18:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0xb47292…
05-21 18:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x495db6…
05-16 04:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	937	32¢	$304	0x31cf84…
05-16 04:39:58	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,249	12¢	$146	0x1096bc…
05-16 04:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0xbf7cc8…
05-16 04:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x472fee…
05-16 04:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	70	55¢	$39	0x89799a…
05-16 04:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0xacb586…
05-16 03:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	181	35¢	$63	0xacc49c…
05-16 03:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	181	13¢	$23	0x908634…
05-16 03:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,161	65¢	$750	0xd62e4f…
05-15 21:20:50	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,249	16¢	$200	0x66800a…
05-15 20:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xff0dea…
05-15 20:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xb2b197…
05-15 20:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x96292c…
05-15 20:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	27	64¢	$17	0x86d5ac…
05-15 20:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x51b8e1…
05-15 19:38:06	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	70,789	0¢	$250	0xe9025b…
05-11 10:46:04	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	2,180	29¢	$632	0x5978e7…
05-11 08:59:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x3c0cf2…
05-11 08:39:55	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	1,763	23¢	$400	0x18ec12…
05-11 08:30:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x450e54…
05-11 08:29:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1,326	80¢	$1,059	0x74f404…
05-11 05:28:37	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,342	74¢	$1,000	0xb452f1…
05-10 20:31:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,914	6¢	$375	0x152e00…
05-10 20:24:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,914	7¢	$400	0x4959f2…
05-10 13:31:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	548	53¢	$293	0xcdd8f8…
05-10 13:30:09	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	133	76¢	$101	0x205754…
05-10 13:29:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	133	68¢	$91	0xfaa901…
05-10 13:29:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	130	77¢	$100	0x042cdb…
05-10 13:16:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	5,263	3¢	$169	0x7eb474…
05-09 21:19:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	548	55¢	$300	0x84d2d8…
05-09 21:06:05	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,285	3¢	$79	0xeddd38…
05-09 20:30:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x123287…
05-09 20:29:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x9d4ed6…
05-09 20:28:26	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x678099…
05-09 19:43:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,285	9¢	$200	0xc4bef5…
05-09 18:12:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	5,263	4¢	$200	0xe785ed…
05-04 19:53:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	575	6¢	$35	0x1bb6f0…
05-04 19:53:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	28¢	$37	0xfbf1ef…
05-04 19:05:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	444	7¢	$32	0x63c226…
05-04 19:02:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	507	7¢	$36	0x63edaf…
05-04 18:26:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	29¢	$38	0x40b6bf…
04-30 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	30¢	$14	0x2173ca…
04-30 12:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x47d194…
04-30 09:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	45	89¢	$41	0x2d7021…
04-30 09:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x3fa495…
04-30 09:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x06fe34…
04-30 09:03:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$10	0xd76dde…
04-29 22:32:44	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0x5f2f1d…
04-29 20:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x2b7579…
04-29 20:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x4b9a49…
04-29 19:13:04	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xce89c7…
04-29 19:07:22	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	156	6¢	$10	0x8da5bd…
04-29 19:03:26	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	SELL	99	52¢	$52	0x7c94a9…
04-29 18:40:44	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	BUY	99	20¢	$20	0x42555e…
04-26 07:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x75536d…
04-26 07:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	109	2¢	$2	0xe37073…
04-26 07:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	113	43¢	$49	0x9e4860…
04-26 07:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	87	58¢	$50	0xd202d8…
04-26 07:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	90	47¢	$42	0x7a8d5d…
04-26 07:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x798221…
04-26 07:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x804635…
04-26 07:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x2cebd1…
04-26 06:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x47ce33…
04-26 06:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xdcb4a3…
04-26 06:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0x336c3c…
04-26 06:53:36	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	43¢	$30	0x45eab7…
04-25 23:17:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	77¢	$54	0x5bf213…