Firm-Diffuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

172

Trades

772

lifetime

Volume

$9.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-31 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-40

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$127	95	95	+0	open	—	05-26 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$116	148	0	+148	open	—	04-27 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	5	$114	138	126	+11	open	—	05-23 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$94	105	105	+0	open	—	05-26 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$90	434	0	+434	open	—	04-27 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$90	111	0	+111	open	—	04-27 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$88	278	111	+167	open	—	05-26 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$82	90	0	+90	open	—	04-27 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$82	91	91	+0	open	—	05-26 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$80	111	0	+111	open	—	04-28 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	4	$80	71	71	+0	open	—	05-26 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$79	68	68	+0	open	—	05-24 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$75	95	0	+95	open	—	04-28 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$74	54	54	+0	open	—	05-24 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$73	79	79	+0	open	—	05-26 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$73	57	57	+0	open	—	05-24 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$70	106	0	+106	Up	$-70	05-11 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$70	204	0	+204	open	—	04-28 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$62	58	58	+0	open	—	05-23 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$61	43	43	+0	open	—	05-24 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$60	80	0	+80	open	—	04-28 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$60	72	0	+72	open	—	04-28 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$60	73	0	+73	open	—	04-28 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	5	$60	74	0	+74	open	—	04-27 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$60	71	0	+71	open	—	04-28 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	05-24 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$59	62	62	+0	open	—	05-25 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$57	65	65	+0	open	—	05-30 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$55	64	0	+64	open	—	04-28 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$55	68	0	+68	open	—	04-27 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 22:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x537ea9…
05-31 22:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9314c4…
05-31 22:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4c06e2…
05-31 22:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x88dae2…
05-31 21:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1c4bd9…
05-31 21:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	72¢	$8	0x1c4749…
05-31 21:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1fce93…
05-31 21:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x667a51…
05-31 17:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xf7adcd…
05-31 17:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	23	59¢	$13	0xb30df5…
05-31 17:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x727dfe…
05-31 16:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa2f25e…
05-31 16:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbdc722…
05-31 12:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xa5fdac…
05-31 12:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x750ed9…
05-31 11:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd13ce7…
05-31 11:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x91438c…
05-31 11:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x34f87b…
05-31 11:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x26c101…
05-31 11:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb76ba1…
05-31 11:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x22e4e5…
05-31 11:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x586ed2…
05-31 11:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xca1814…
05-31 11:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x87aacd…
05-31 10:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x29f985…
05-31 10:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x432b69…
05-30 15:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2b2463…
05-30 15:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x31244f…
05-30 15:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x880a74…
05-30 15:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1202a4…
05-30 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xd1dc20…
05-30 15:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x695f1b…
05-30 15:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x41fde5…
05-30 15:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb2ffcd…
05-30 15:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x3bb773…
05-30 15:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfb3eeb…
05-30 15:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x46e62b…
05-30 15:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x33c92d…
05-30 15:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$9	0x4fa17a…
05-30 14:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf2364d…
05-30 14:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0x1b977a…
05-30 14:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2d0648…
05-30 14:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	42	48¢	$20	0xe0adf0…
05-30 14:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x74fa8f…
05-30 14:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xde5705…
05-30 14:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0x3900ce…
05-30 14:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x15f80f…
05-30 14:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x6735a2…
05-30 14:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc1fde6…
05-30 14:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x50e48a…
05-30 14:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xda8028…
05-30 14:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0x1585c9…
05-30 14:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x10dfeb…
05-30 14:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf88dd6…
05-30 14:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2501c9…
05-30 14:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xfb16d1…
05-30 14:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2fb11d…
05-30 14:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x0399c7…
05-30 14:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x171a4e…
05-30 09:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0xac8a7a…
05-30 09:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf1d3a0…
05-30 09:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x326be2…
05-30 09:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2a95d1…
05-30 09:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x246af8…
05-30 09:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x65279d…
05-30 09:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	31	47¢	$15	0x6ee823…
05-30 09:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x39145d…
05-30 09:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x15e4c6…
05-30 09:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x302859…
05-30 09:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xef2f4b…
05-30 09:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xeb0d46…
05-30 09:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0x4a54d5…
05-30 09:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xadee24…
05-30 00:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x64c939…
05-30 00:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x95682c…
05-30 00:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	36	51¢	$18	0x1bffb3…
05-30 00:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8ebcfd…
05-30 00:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x592dab…
05-29 09:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4c76e7…
05-29 09:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x133bbe…
05-29 09:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x678bca…
05-29 08:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xb7551b…
05-29 08:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xd117b2…
05-29 08:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaf7d1b…
05-27 21:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x5bfea3…
05-27 21:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xfedf03…
05-27 21:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xa52451…
05-27 21:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x97e779…
05-27 21:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x1da47e…
05-27 21:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb86ae9…
05-27 20:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd5787f…
05-26 21:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x7d3077…
05-26 21:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0xd70968…
05-26 21:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xaf84bb…
05-26 21:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	73	3¢	$2	0x4c233d…
05-26 21:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x728db1…
05-26 14:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x463e60…
05-26 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xfa6157…
05-26 14:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x991849…
05-26 14:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	111	34¢	$38	0xa73e95…