Insubstantial-Ease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 05-28 00:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-0

Sports

30% — —

Crypto

19% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	4	$292	146	146	+0	open	—	05-28 00:25
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$292	146	146	+0	No	$-0	03-25 14:20
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$286	143	143	+0	open	—	03-19 19:48
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	4	$270	135	135	+0	open	—	03-26 03:34
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$266	133	133	+0	open	—	04-20 03:48
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$255	82	173	-91	open	—	02-26 11:06
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	02-21 05:15
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	03-14 10:18
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$174	87	87	+0	open	—	04-04 06:22
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$172	86	86	+0	open	—	04-18 01:36
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$162	82	82	+0	open	—	04-22 06:35
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	03-18 20:22
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	04-08 21:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	04-17 02:24
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$158	79	79	+0	open	—	03-22 22:06
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$158	79	79	+0	open	—	03-27 05:33
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$158	79	79	+0	open	—	04-08 03:11
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	02-24 04:31
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$153	77	77	+0	No	$-0	03-29 23:51
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	04-01 23:45
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	02-13 01:49
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	03-25 07:56
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$148	74	74	+0	No	$-0	03-13 08:30
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$146	73	73	+0	open	—	03-23 11:00
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$144	72	72	+0	No	$-0	03-22 09:17
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	04-12 04:53
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	03-29 04:15
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	03-26 23:04
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	03-03 04:17
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	04-16 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 00:25:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x4945ac…
05-25 21:54:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xe9489c…
05-24 18:25:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x6f0dfb…
05-24 08:31:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x35fb9b…
05-17 02:39:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x3f74f7…
05-16 19:34:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x608828…
04-22 10:41:02	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x1b6ad4…
04-22 06:35:34	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x334267…
04-22 06:35:14	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	82	98¢	$81	0x2a2f6e…
04-22 00:34:14	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x046af4…
04-21 05:04:40	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x0c8b09…
04-21 01:33:44	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x46b3d3…
04-20 03:48:56	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xebfd56…
04-19 19:38:40	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x479f04…
04-18 01:36:24	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x9e12cd…
04-17 23:31:14	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xa1efe0…
04-17 02:24:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x9e96a4…
04-16 20:57:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x74b411…
04-16 13:51:28	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x240c0f…
04-16 10:09:08	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xb275e3…
04-12 04:53:59	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xb1a854…
04-11 23:05:47	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6e3a8e…
04-08 21:09:59	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xfe476d…
04-08 17:34:49	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x79267b…
04-08 03:11:05	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x04a4dd…
04-07 21:55:37	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xa348be…
04-04 06:22:35	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x2e8cda…
04-03 23:10:05	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x7fcaa4…
04-01 23:45:41	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xa50c26…
04-01 18:44:25	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xc27703…
04-01 00:01:51	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x6ed06c…
03-31 20:05:49	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x4aac25…
03-31 14:21:57	Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xabe10e…
03-29 23:51:22	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	77	99¢	$77	0xb14838…
03-29 21:36:40	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xe9318f…
03-29 04:15:44	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xbb4a8d…
03-28 23:27:34	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x90e6ef…
03-27 05:33:45	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x485831…
03-26 23:04:29	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xe82d04…
03-26 23:04:15	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x1a992f…
03-26 16:34:33	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xbb1908…
03-26 03:34:13	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x510636…
03-25 21:01:05	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xb28831…
03-25 14:20:17	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xefc13d…
03-25 07:56:19	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb9fdcf…
03-25 07:56:01	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x6ed5b3…
03-25 01:31:59	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xe306bd…
03-24 12:45:03	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xa6c5b7…
03-24 06:14:29	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x917209…
03-23 11:00:11	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x374bb4…
03-23 04:34:09	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xfa008a…
03-22 22:06:07	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x5b111e…
03-22 15:38:13	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xc5ccdc…
03-22 09:17:33	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xb20869…
03-22 02:53:43	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xc2952d…
03-19 19:48:07	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x1b42cd…
03-19 12:04:15	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7a58d7…
03-18 20:22:39	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x114c18…
03-18 12:30:03	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x67dc2c…
03-16 23:12:59	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x70409b…
03-16 15:28:35	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xf866e5…
03-15 01:03:43	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xa69d7c…
03-14 17:17:47	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xb90c8a…
03-14 10:18:09	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x19d4f9…
03-14 04:14:27	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x2037ce…
03-13 08:30:41	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xe75e57…
03-12 18:09:11	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xb4d366…
03-06 02:31:03	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5008c6…
03-05 19:45:11	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4dc77f…
03-03 20:12:37	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Cavaliers	BUY	48	43¢	$21	0x97edfe…
03-03 20:12:01	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xeabb87…
03-03 12:32:21	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Grizzlies	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x10a9e3…
03-03 12:31:49	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xc73721…
03-03 04:17:11	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xe23fc5…
03-02 21:29:17	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x01b6c9…
02-27 04:01:50	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xfb4bd2…
02-26 11:06:22	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x329bc7…
02-26 11:06:06	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xb3a506…
02-25 07:22:10	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x766502…
02-24 13:45:38	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x195fb2…
02-24 04:31:54	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x6f5272…
02-22 11:11:54	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x77d798…
02-21 21:18:50	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xc4153d…
02-21 05:15:20	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x4b1833…
02-21 00:38:38	nba mia atl 2026 02 20	Heat	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xa8b04e…
02-14 18:56:51	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xb6d020…
02-13 01:49:51	Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x6bf66b…
02-12 10:12:47	Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x0b5ef9…