Arid-Popularity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.2%

Resolved

Trades

845

lifetime

Volume

$8.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-08 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 55% $-8

Sports

2% 0% $-47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775907000	1	$88	161	0	+161	open	—	04-11 11:30
btc updown 5m 1775893800	6	$83	151	0	+151	open	—	04-11 07:50
btc updown 5m 1775901000	9	$78	133	0	+133	open	—	04-11 09:52
btc updown 5m 1775899500	4	$73	99	0	+99	open	—	04-11 09:26
btc updown 5m 1775862600	1	$71	99	0	+99	open	—	04-10 23:11
btc updown 5m 1775907900	1	$70	106	0	+106	open	—	04-11 11:46
btc updown 5m 1775150700	2	$66	102	98	+4	open	—	04-02 17:27
btc updown 5m 1775859900	3	$65	96	0	+96	open	—	04-10 22:29
btc updown 5m 1776000600	5	$64	88	0	+88	open	—	04-12 13:31
btc updown 5m 1776009600	1	$62	108	0	+108	open	—	04-12 16:01
btc updown 5m 1775756400	1	$61	97	0	+97	open	—	04-09 17:41
btc updown 5m 1775872800	1	$61	112	0	+112	open	—	04-11 02:01
btc updown 5m 1775856300	1	$61	83	0	+83	open	—	04-10 21:26
btc updown 5m 1776008100	8	$59	87	0	+87	open	—	04-12 15:37
btc updown 5m 1775972100	1	$58	89	0	+89	open	—	04-12 05:36
btc updown 5m 1775984700	1	$58	79	0	+79	open	—	04-12 09:07
btc updown 5m 1775070300	3	$57	95	0	+95	open	—	04-01 19:09
btc updown 5m 1775868900	1	$57	80	0	+80	open	—	04-11 00:57
btc updown 5m 1775796000	1	$57	90	0	+90	open	—	04-10 04:41
btc updown 5m 1776031800	6	$56	77	0	+77	open	—	04-12 22:13
btc updown 5m 1775909100	1	$56	87	0	+87	open	—	04-11 12:06
btc updown 5m 1775999100	1	$55	105	0	+105	open	—	04-12 13:05
btc updown 5m 1776006900	1	$55	74	0	+74	open	—	04-12 15:17
btc updown 5m 1775771100	2	$54	88	0	+88	open	—	04-09 21:45
btc updown 5m 1775749200	8	$53	92	0	+92	open	—	04-09 15:41
btc updown 5m 1775840700	1	$53	95	0	+95	open	—	04-10 17:08
btc updown 5m 1775794500	2	$53	73	0	+73	open	—	04-10 04:17
btc updown 5m 1775983500	1	$53	80	0	+80	open	—	04-12 08:45
btc updown 5m 1776016200	2	$53	71	0	+71	open	—	04-12 17:51
btc updown 5m 1775893500	1	$52	88	0	+88	open	—	04-11 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 06:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0xa891ab…
05-08 06:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	75¢	$13	0x66fb6c…
05-08 06:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0x8f0bfb…
05-08 06:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xebc100…
05-08 06:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xe93e9d…
05-08 06:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x0f2e11…
05-08 06:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x247c5f…
05-08 05:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8ee4da…
05-08 05:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x9a3e39…
05-08 05:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xddac12…
05-08 05:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x99e90f…
05-08 05:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x10289c…
05-08 05:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x578859…
05-08 05:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xc7a9ac…
05-08 05:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xc6bcdd…
05-08 04:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xb5dafa…
05-07 04:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0x2c50c1…
05-07 04:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	57¢	$16	0x1c0231…
05-07 04:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0xefe491…
05-07 04:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x877d34…
05-07 04:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x4ae604…
05-07 04:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x0a6e87…
05-06 09:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x17b127…
05-06 06:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb39859…
05-06 04:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x3ee13f…
05-05 23:38:38	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	124	17¢	$21	0x872d0e…
05-05 23:05:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	63	41¢	$26	0x7e81b1…
05-05 06:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xca3415…
05-05 06:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbca87f…
05-05 05:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd2bd97…
05-05 05:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x97b877…
05-05 05:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x042377…
05-05 04:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xe3620c…
05-05 04:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9ae808…
05-05 04:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x79bf78…
05-05 04:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1ed638…
05-05 04:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7771b5…
05-04 09:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$4	0x6c1f1f…
05-04 09:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$5	0x5ed758…
05-04 00:01:48	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x3c38ad…
05-01 23:34:28	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x4af2ee…
05-01 09:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0x83d461…
05-01 09:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xaa3b11…
05-01 09:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0xa59925…
05-01 09:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x09aa04…
05-01 06:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x0dc331…
05-01 06:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x6b6be2…
05-01 06:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x3af067…
04-30 09:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x53d028…
04-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xf3dc3e…
04-30 09:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x69f8f3…
04-30 06:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xc901bd…
04-30 04:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x7aa100…
04-30 04:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xe98bcb…
04-30 04:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe07b80…
04-29 06:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x37861f…
04-29 06:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x01b74e…
04-29 05:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6d227e…
04-29 04:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd3eb3e…
04-28 17:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x230e3d…
04-28 17:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x637af2…
04-28 15:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x62e2dd…
04-28 15:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x5b1242…
04-28 12:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x289b11…
04-28 12:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x487e2d…
04-26 23:47:40	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	227	9¢	$20	0xbbb8a3…
04-26 23:06:56	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	94	33¢	$31	0x0841fd…
04-25 11:43:10	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x263694…
04-23 08:41:14	btc updown 5m 1776933600	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xcfca4a…
04-23 08:38:18	btc updown 5m 1776933300	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x1a7d85…
04-23 08:37:08	btc updown 5m 1776933300	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x99c41a…
04-23 08:22:10	btc updown 5m 1776932400	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf165c8…
04-23 08:21:06	btc updown 5m 1776932400	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc0ec67…
04-23 07:09:56	btc updown 5m 1776927900	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xe2a25b…
04-23 07:07:08	btc updown 5m 1776927900	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb36a5b…
04-23 06:01:06	btc updown 5m 1776924000	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x91adda…
04-23 05:51:06	btc updown 5m 1776923400	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x14dee4…
04-23 05:31:08	btc updown 5m 1776922200	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc7c800…
04-23 04:24:28	btc updown 5m 1776918000	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x55d599…
04-23 04:21:06	btc updown 5m 1776918000	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbde30a…
04-22 14:37:08	btc updown 5m 1776868500	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe673fa…
04-22 14:28:28	btc updown 5m 1776867900	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x352056…
04-22 14:27:08	btc updown 5m 1776867900	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdf3968…
04-22 13:17:12	btc updown 5m 1776863700	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbd206a…
04-22 12:18:02	btc updown 5m 1776860100	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x030320…
04-22 12:17:06	btc updown 5m 1776860100	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6a82b5…
04-22 11:53:26	btc updown 5m 1776858600	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x111783…
04-22 11:53:06	btc updown 5m 1776858600	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1e2512…
04-22 09:57:06	btc updown 5m 1776851700	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa47c8d…
04-22 09:01:06	btc updown 5m 1776848400	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd30436…
04-22 07:57:08	btc updown 5m 1776844500	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6ba725…
04-22 07:49:10	btc updown 5m 1776843900	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xbd7770…
04-22 07:47:06	btc updown 5m 1776843900	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbb7c0e…
04-21 18:29:52	btc updown 5m 1776795900	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x17afd9…
04-21 18:25:10	btc updown 5m 1776795900	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xf9eee0…
04-21 18:25:10	btc updown 5m 1776795900	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xda010b…
04-21 17:03:18	btc updown 5m 1776790800	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x6451c8…
04-21 17:01:06	btc updown 5m 1776790800	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0984a3…
04-21 16:37:06	btc updown 5m 1776789300	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xada333…
04-21 11:47:08	btc updown 5m 1776771900	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdf1c9c…