Ruddy-Stair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-01 11:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 100% +$1

Other

39% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the drama opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	2	$284	142	142	+0	open	—	04-11 08:09
ethereum above 2200 on april 22	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	04-22 11:34
solana above 30 on march 13	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	03-11 13:56
ethereum above 2100 on april 11	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	04-11 08:10
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 165 189	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	03-24 13:28
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 165 189	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	03-21 06:21
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	04-02 11:32
bitcoin above 66k on april 16	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	04-15 12:29
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 20	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	03-19 10:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	06-01 11:34
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	04-30 13:47
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	1	$141	141	0	+141	No	+$0	05-10 13:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	05-21 10:21
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	03-14 13:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	05-24 12:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	05-09 12:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	05-06 13:45
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 240plus	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	02-01 13:08
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 460 479	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	01-11 07:04
bitcoin above 94k on january 18	1	$138	140	0	+140	open	—	01-18 12:42
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 260 279	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	02-26 10:06
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$104	104	0	+104	open	—	01-30 13:17
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 6	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	03-05 11:46
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 15	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-14 13:48
highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 10c	1	$99	99	0	+99	open	—	03-16 12:48
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	04-18 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 25?	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	04-24 12:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	1	$82	82	0	+82	open	—	05-04 07:51
elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 40 49	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	01-03 11:26
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 5	1	$58	58	0	+58	open	—	01-05 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 11:34:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x8da359…
05-24 12:48:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x7b823a…
05-21 10:21:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xb52d5f…
05-10 13:13:54	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xf3d7a5…
05-09 12:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xe16331…
05-06 13:45:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xf0211a…
05-04 07:51:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x9298bc…
04-30 13:47:38	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x02a42f…
04-24 12:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 25?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x33380a…
04-24 12:10:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 25?	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0xdba8c7…
04-24 12:10:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on April 25?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xfc92b5…
04-22 11:34:22	ethereum above 2200 on april 22	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x397e50…
04-18 09:19:50	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x5e5edd…
04-18 09:07:28	ethereum above 2700 on april 19	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0af64d…
04-18 09:05:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 20	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x69d68b…
04-15 12:29:50	bitcoin above 66k on april 16	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xdf8313…
04-11 08:10:13	ethereum above 2100 on april 11	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xec486b…
04-11 08:09:49	will the drama opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x529a39…
04-07 13:50:09	ethereum above 2200 on april 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb02ef…
04-05 07:17:45	will the drama opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x879f5a…
04-02 11:32:49	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x83670e…
04-02 11:32:41	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x48fef5…
03-24 13:28:35	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 165 189	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x68562a…
03-21 06:21:05	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 165 189	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xd2a4c9…
03-19 10:29:49	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 20	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xc594d8…
03-16 12:59:05	ethereum above 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x337857…
03-16 12:49:13	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 380 399	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0xf461e4…
03-16 12:48:23	highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 10c	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xae3b11…
03-14 13:25:35	bitcoin above 60k on march 16	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1875b3…
03-14 13:25:23	bitcoin above 68k on march 14	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xd858e2…
03-11 13:56:01	solana above 30 on march 13	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x1a2e61…
03-05 12:01:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 5	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xb1686b…
03-05 11:47:49	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 320 339	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0xeda194…
03-05 11:46:43	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 6	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x5de3de…
02-26 10:20:14	bitcoin above 58k on february 27	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1922d5…
02-26 10:06:42	ethereum above 1800 on february 26	No	BUY	450	0¢	$2	0x7d818a…
02-26 10:06:02	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 260 279	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x36fecc…
02-04 13:58:40	dota2 avl aur1 2026 02 04	Aurora	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x1fc128…
02-04 13:56:56	solana above 120 on february 5	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x42df54…
02-04 13:51:52	solana above 110 on february 4	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x47aa52…
02-04 13:45:40	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 140 164	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xe6f7ca…
02-01 13:08:30	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 240plus	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xe4eaeb…
01-30 13:17:44	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x20c370…
01-30 12:35:14	will deepseek have the 2 ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x2ea0c2…
01-18 12:42:34	bitcoin above 94k on january 18	Yes	BUY	140	98¢	$138	0x7582bb…
01-14 13:48:46	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 15	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3f04d4…
01-14 13:42:18	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on january 14	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf88c18…
01-14 13:41:56	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 380 399	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xdb1f08…
01-11 07:04:24	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 460 479	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xfb90cc…
01-05 11:50:53	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 5	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x1e2975…
01-03 11:26:01	elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 40 49	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3c6198…
01-03 11:23:33	will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be greater than 50m	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x49db8d…