Noisy-Watcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$35.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$266

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-18 05:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

68% 94% +$132

Crypto

19% 100% +$5

Politics

8% 50% -$17

Tech

6% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	4	$2.1K	1,060	1,060	+0	No	+$13	07-14 20:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	7	$2.1K	1,070	1,070	+0	No	+$34	05-25 09:29
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	4	$2.1K	1,043	1,043	+0	No	+$1	06-05 06:23
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,038	1,038	+0	No	+$2	05-31 16:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.0K	1,035	1,035	+0	Yes	+$18	04-25 13:59
will bitcoin reach 76k march 30 april 5	2	$2.0K	1,016	1,016	+0	No	+$1	04-05 00:57
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	31	$1.9K	1,015	893	+121	No	+$2	03-30 17:52
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	15	$1.6K	808	808	+0	No	+$3	06-22 19:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$1.6K	804	804	+0	No	+$2	06-11 14:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	4	$1.6K	795	795	+0	No	+$2	06-26 08:07
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	6	$1.6K	795	795	+0	No	+$2	06-29 17:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.3K	657	657	+0	No	-$1	03-17 01:56
will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	3	$1.3K	633	633	+0	No	+$11	02-26 05:09
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	2	$1.2K	623	623	+0	No	+$2	02-22 01:58
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.2K	586	586	+0	No	+$2	03-06 21:53
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	4	$1.1K	553	553	+0	No	+$11	09-18 05:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$1.1K	544	544	+0	No	+$8	09-13 12:30
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$1.1K	536	536	+0	No	+$12	03-25 04:44
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	3	$1.0K	1,033	0	+1,033	No	+$1	04-27 10:26
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	2	$949	477	477	+0	No	+$4	03-25 11:55
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$942	474	474	+0	No	+$3	03-23 14:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$924	464	464	+0	No	+$2	07-29 18:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$920	463	463	+0	No	+$2	07-23 12:42
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	1	$620	0	651	-651	No	-$31	01-02 22:41
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	4	$462	234	234	+0	No	+$5	06-29 19:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	1	$199	0	200	-200	No	-$1	06-15 16:44
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	06-30 11:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$135	70	70	+0	Yes	+$5	07-29 18:51
will xauusd reach 4900 in june 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-30 11:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	2	$76	38	38	+0	No	+$0	06-26 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 05:40:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	413	100¢	$411	0x68d179…
09-13 12:30:45	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	413	98¢	$406	0x3fb400…
09-13 12:30:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	408	100¢	$406	0xbb829d…
08-04 00:03:41	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	141	95¢	$134	0xe326f2…
08-02 17:58:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa89e38…
08-02 17:58:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x4ba903…
08-02 17:58:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x3db465…
08-02 17:58:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x266673…
07-29 18:51:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	544	98¢	$533	0x19f95c…
07-29 18:51:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xaf9405…
07-29 18:00:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	464	100¢	$463	0xb1392c…
07-23 12:42:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	464	99¢	$461	0xa3ffc1…
07-23 12:42:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	463	100¢	$461	0x59ef93…
07-15 03:09:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x822fc8…
07-14 20:06:43	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0xe33322…
07-08 03:14:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	463	99¢	$459	0xa34b94…
07-06 11:46:41	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	460	100¢	$458	0x7d77f6…
07-01 12:09:01	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	460	98¢	$452	0xcd9d76…
06-30 11:24:11	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	600	99¢	$592	0x048226…
06-30 11:23:46	Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x66de9d…
06-30 11:22:50	will xauusd reach 4900 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5908c3…
06-30 11:22:46	will xauusd reach 5000 in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7ddae1…
06-30 11:21:52	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf54265…
06-29 19:05:13	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xa24493…
06-29 17:18:08	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	645	100¢	$644	0x827d50…
06-29 08:45:58	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x7f4e9c…
06-29 08:45:35	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7ab001…
06-29 08:26:07	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	100	100¢	$99	0x0e4e2a…
06-29 00:45:58	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0xf4d3b8…
06-29 00:45:44	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	645	100¢	$643	0x0289ce…
06-26 08:08:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xe07b54…
06-26 08:07:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	773	100¢	$772	0xa306f8…
06-25 03:54:08	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xdea9bc…
06-25 02:56:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x32efea…
06-23 14:41:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x723e52…
06-23 10:52:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	773	100¢	$771	0x573358…
06-23 10:52:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb10fe2…
06-22 19:23:01	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	341	100¢	$340	0x99928f…
06-22 19:17:52	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3f67c0…
06-22 16:57:37	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x19ab63…
06-22 15:29:29	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb91320…
06-22 12:58:56	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x95702b…
06-22 12:55:26	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe5feb5…
06-22 12:36:44	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	319	100¢	$318	0x784bfc…
06-22 12:03:29	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcc5764…
06-22 09:14:46	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfcecd9…
06-22 08:26:11	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xac3345…
06-22 07:56:38	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe56eb7…
06-22 07:50:26	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x9c33ab…
06-22 07:24:19	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6c5a04…
06-22 04:43:19	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8ff62b…
06-18 03:15:05	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x5536e9…
06-15 16:44:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xa7e0a4…
06-13 12:29:06	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	808	99¢	$803	0x20d2d4…
06-11 14:56:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	804	100¢	$803	0x94a62b…
06-08 03:36:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x76ea84…
06-08 03:36:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x814a97…
06-05 09:53:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x17e8e6…
06-05 06:24:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	804	100¢	$801	0x72cd5d…
06-05 06:23:57	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	782	100¢	$778	0xc9a526…
06-03 11:42:05	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x804b92…
06-03 07:00:59	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xe75f47…
06-03 02:22:51	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,043	99¢	$1,037	0xcbe3c6…
05-31 16:00:55	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	1,038	100¢	$1,037	0xd3bfa7…
05-25 13:02:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1,038	100¢	$1,035	0x400c7b…
05-25 13:01:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x093149…
05-25 09:29:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0xa2e283…
05-25 02:05:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5abbc2…
05-25 01:41:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaa7ce5…
05-25 01:35:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4878f0…
05-25 01:31:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	271	100¢	$270	0xd2790b…
05-24 13:21:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	611	100¢	$608	0xfd8366…
05-07 08:40:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1,070	96¢	$1,031	0x894f0c…
04-27 10:26:36	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$160	0xc88c68…
04-27 09:24:06	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc89628…
04-27 05:30:10	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	868	100¢	$867	0x85080d…
04-25 13:59:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,035	100¢	$1,032	0xe32b58…
04-08 01:29:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,035	98¢	$1,015	0xe5d7ca…
04-05 00:57:39	will bitcoin reach 76k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	1,016	100¢	$1,015	0xcefe45…
04-04 08:40:07	will bitcoin reach 76k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1,016	100¢	$1,014	0xc4b1e9…
03-30 17:52:03	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa9a3be…
03-30 17:52:03	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x772165…
03-30 17:50:27	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x936e06…
03-30 17:50:11	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x87fa89…
03-30 17:47:41	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xaf34b4…
03-30 17:45:01	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xe7fe99…
03-30 17:42:49	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xffabb4…
03-30 17:42:39	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x25e8b7…
03-30 17:39:31	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x351ddd…
03-30 17:38:21	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x68ede5…
03-30 17:38:01	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf7f7fb…
03-30 17:37:17	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xea19ff…
03-30 17:37:07	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa48443…
03-30 17:35:43	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb3c150…
03-30 17:35:13	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd68f85…
03-30 17:34:09	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xfadad8…
03-30 17:34:05	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x20fcff…
03-30 17:30:43	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0fe359…
03-30 17:29:49	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x58adcb…
03-30 17:24:03	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaa95cb…