Pleased-Brow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$452

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

Trades

366

lifetime

Volume

$304.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$831

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

76% 100% +$856

Crypto

12% 100% +$37

Politics

8% 80% $-461

Tech

4% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$17.0K	8,781	8,781	+0	Yes	$-509	03-04 16:07
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	11	$11.7K	11,489	250	+11,239	No	+$46	01-13 07:30
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 440 459	10	$11.6K	11,565	113	+11,452	No	+$101	01-23 07:34
bitcoin above 88k on january 21	17	$11.4K	11,444	0	+11,444	No	+$11	01-21 17:02
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 580 599	2	$11.4K	11,433	0	+11,433	No	+$11	01-20 15:51
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	9	$11.4K	11,422	0	+11,422	No	+$23	01-20 10:53
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 420 439	61	$11.3K	11,360	0	+11,360	No	+$11	01-23 03:54
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	9	$11.3K	11,385	0	+11,385	No	+$102	03-12 20:28
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 440 459	1	$11.3K	11,285	0	+11,285	No	+$11	01-15 16:32
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	1	$11.3K	11,269	0	+11,269	No	+$11	01-13 17:05
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 480 499	1	$11.2K	11,203	0	+11,203	No	+$11	01-12 08:11
bitcoin above 88k on january 3	6	$11.0K	11,021	0	+11,021	Yes	+$11	01-03 17:50
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 440 459	1	$11.0K	11,010	0	+11,010	No	+$11	01-02 08:14
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2025 818 596 821 318 841	19	$11.0K	10,997	0	+10,997	No	+$11	01-01 04:21
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	9	$10.8K	10,613	200	+10,413	No	+$31	03-24 11:54
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	18	$10.2K	10,021	200	+9,821	No	+$11	01-16 16:48
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 600 619	29	$10.1K	8,378	1,817	+6,561	No	+$58	01-06 14:48
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	6	$9.5K	9,521	0	+9,521	No	+$50	01-09 16:56
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	3	$9.1K	9,119	0	+9,119	No	+$9	01-09 08:24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	3	$8.9K	4,464	4,464	+0	Yes	+$13	06-12 14:51
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 460 479	5	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$18	01-16 03:12
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	1	$6.7K	6,683	0	+6,683	Yes	+$7	01-23 16:56
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	13	$6.7K	6,711	0	+6,711	No	+$50	01-28 14:57
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 480 499	11	$5.9K	3,435	2,670	+764	No	+$76	01-16 05:57
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 500 519	7	$4.8K	4,792	0	+4,792	No	+$16	01-23 16:35
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	6	$4.5K	4,554	0	+4,554	No	+$14	04-29 16:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 14	1	$3.6K	3,632	0	+3,632	Yes	+$4	01-14 17:00
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$3.0K	3,036	0	+3,036	No	+$33	02-01 16:58
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 440 459	3	$3.0K	3,002	0	+3,002	No	+$3	01-30 16:03
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026 472 372 198 219 761 197	1	$3.0K	2,999	0	+2,999	Yes	+$3	01-30 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 14:51:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	3,960	100¢	$3,948	0xc27a34…
06-12 14:50:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	503	100¢	$502	0xc21173…
06-06 05:07:54	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0xa8df1d…
06-06 05:05:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	4,464	99¢	$4,437	0x161311…
05-11 14:29:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	935	99¢	$926	0x3b6051…
05-11 14:28:17	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	591	99¢	$588	0xa06051…
04-29 16:18:22	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,984	100¢	$3,972	0x47c17f…
04-29 12:51:38	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x0a8dc9…
04-29 07:18:00	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$320	0x48ea81…
04-29 06:23:30	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xcc19b3…
04-29 06:23:22	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x322b02…
04-29 06:23:06	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x840842…
04-10 13:51:59	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xfeb29d…
04-10 13:50:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x537d1f…
03-25 04:07:09	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 0 39	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x02d095…
03-25 03:01:19	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 0 39	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa8a4e9…
03-24 11:54:13	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	No	BUY	2,264	100¢	$2,261	0x4a1a9c…
03-24 11:54:09	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	No	BUY	228	100¢	$227	0x3b337d…
03-24 11:54:09	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	No	BUY	6,882	100¢	$6,875	0x174260…
03-24 11:54:07	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	No	BUY	833	100¢	$832	0x62a9b9…
03-24 11:54:07	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x24bc02…
03-24 10:24:59	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xf65245…
03-24 08:27:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xc03124…
03-24 07:45:31	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	No	BUY	189	91¢	$173	0xf71dc4…
03-24 07:45:17	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x78476f…
03-23 17:11:37	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	800	100¢	$797	0xb29e65…
03-23 17:09:33	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	800	100¢	$798	0x535c60…
03-23 16:07:35	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	No	BUY	446	100¢	$444	0xac4d1f…
03-23 16:06:37	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	No	BUY	354	100¢	$353	0x86b29c…
03-23 13:00:45	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x11b0c4…
03-23 13:00:41	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xf9554b…
03-23 13:00:35	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4245a0…
03-23 13:00:31	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x48ed09…
03-23 13:00:19	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x00ff3b…
03-23 13:00:09	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd68f99…
03-23 13:00:09	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x125c72…
03-23 13:00:01	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe8ae1b…
03-23 13:00:01	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8d4243…
03-23 12:59:59	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x85e75d…
03-23 12:59:59	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4bbf11…
03-23 12:59:57	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf27121…
03-23 12:59:55	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xb2288c…
03-23 12:59:55	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x30b7c3…
03-23 12:57:59	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x69fc00…
03-12 20:28:35	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2,104	99¢	$2,086	0xbb956c…
03-12 19:55:55	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,549	99¢	$1,535	0xb526f1…
03-12 15:27:59	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2,810	99¢	$2,785	0x91e694…
03-12 05:05:55	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,479	99¢	$1,466	0x0b913b…
03-11 21:05:21	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xbbdde1…
03-11 18:53:19	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	333	99¢	$330	0x900479…
03-11 18:52:37	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,111	99¢	$1,101	0xb44a6c…
03-11 18:40:27	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,777	99¢	$1,761	0x2222da…
03-11 16:53:01	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xb9e04f…
03-10 13:26:41	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	819	99¢	$812	0xf967b3…
03-10 13:26:25	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	270	99¢	$267	0xb445a9…
03-10 13:24:33	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xa1fc55…
03-10 13:24:15	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x144dc2…
03-10 13:24:15	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	224	99¢	$223	0x06f67e…
03-10 13:24:03	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x571be0…
03-10 13:23:45	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	589	99¢	$585	0x3d641c…
03-10 13:16:01	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 420 439	No	BUY	2,383	100¢	$2,381	0x9a0fbf…
03-04 16:07:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	4,391	94¢	$4,127	0xa7fcce…
03-01 01:48:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	4,391	93¢	$4,101	0xe5b774…
02-01 16:58:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	3,036	99¢	$3,002	0x07439d…
01-30 16:03:22	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 440 459	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,002	0x2b2d04…
01-30 16:03:20	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 440 459	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0x51c735…
01-30 16:03:18	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 440 459	No	BUY	899	100¢	$898	0x0ba4aa…
01-30 13:15:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	8,781	100¢	$8,737	0x2cb90b…
01-30 10:45:36	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026 472 372 198 219 761 197	Yes	BUY	2,999	100¢	$2,996	0xfa7a43…
01-28 14:57:19	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	853	99¢	$846	0x3d2654…
01-28 10:38:29	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	3,367	99¢	$3,343	0x37ff0e…
01-28 09:16:37	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfce0f3…
01-28 07:17:51	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x23b2cd…
01-28 07:13:13	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6701c3…
01-28 03:24:51	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x45c679…
01-28 03:04:41	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	214	99¢	$213	0xf48d62…
01-28 02:34:39	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	253	99¢	$251	0x9cfe02…
01-28 02:23:49	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	848	99¢	$843	0x62b3b1…
01-28 00:57:07	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	1,111	99¢	$1,101	0xb91034…
01-27 23:43:51	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xabe7bb…
01-27 23:42:11	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbe7cd9…
01-27 23:42:09	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x64b65a…
01-27 16:40:37	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x85bc0d…
01-27 16:16:45	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xded411…
01-27 16:07:21	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x76cfc4…
01-27 16:06:59	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xb94a9f…
01-27 16:06:57	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb91bb3…
01-27 16:06:21	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	No	BUY	170	99¢	$169	0xc6ec21…
01-27 16:06:05	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xde78a1…
01-27 16:01:23	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	No	BUY	211	99¢	$210	0x6120da…
01-27 12:53:27	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	No	SELL	41	96¢	$40	0xccdaa4…
01-27 12:53:25	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xfc4803…
01-27 12:53:25	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xed5fbd…
01-27 12:53:25	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xb72715…
01-27 12:53:25	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xacbdb8…
01-27 12:53:25	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa9b4e7…
01-27 12:53:25	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x696da0…
01-27 12:53:23	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	No	SELL	404	96¢	$388	0x4eab32…
01-27 06:28:13	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 480 499	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x21f07a…
01-27 06:26:15	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x0203ed…