Ill-Informed-Description — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$437

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 07-03 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

33% — —

Crypto

32% 81% $-6

Tech

30% — —

Politics

4% 0% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$100	103	+103	open	—	02-26 05:10
will coinbase be accused of insider trading	1	$100	101	+101	open	—	02-26 04:36
will company j be accused of insider trading	1	$100	101	+101	open	—	02-26 04:35
spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	2	$11	26	+26	open	—	02-26 04:56
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	02-26 04:34
trump out as president by march 31	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	03-06 08:18
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	03-06 05:30
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-06 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$4	5	+5	Down	$-4	05-07 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$4	5	+5	Up	$-4	05-07 08:23
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	4	$4	5	+5	open	—	07-03 03:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$4	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-07 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$4	4	+4	Up	+$0	05-07 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$3	4	+4	Down	+$1	05-07 08:19
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	3	+3	open	—	07-03 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-07 07:49
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	3	+3	open	—	07-03 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-08 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-07 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-07 08:08
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	07-03 03:54
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	07-03 03:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-30 02:10
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	07-01 02:15
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	07-01 02:16
lol jdg al 2026 02 26	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	02-26 04:58
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-16 02:53
will openai ipo by july 31 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-11 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 03:54:01	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xffe3d7…
07-03 03:53:53	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc1ce7c…
07-03 03:53:46	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x06fb36…
07-03 03:53:40	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x43d5fa…
07-03 03:53:34	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe8dd7d…
07-02 02:11:55	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf919ac…
07-02 02:11:49	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x92e8c3…
07-02 02:11:43	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd6f761…
07-02 02:11:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf483e8…
07-02 02:11:31	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6a9eea…
07-01 02:16:14	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb0d76f…
07-01 02:16:07	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf5cf81…
07-01 02:16:01	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x153614…
07-01 02:15:56	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x589f7e…
06-30 02:15:10	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9bb432…
06-30 02:15:04	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x932795…
06-30 02:14:55	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6c639f…
06-30 02:14:49	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x89401c…
06-30 02:14:41	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6dba21…
06-30 02:14:32	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa19c56…
06-30 02:14:26	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x53c2c1…
06-30 02:13:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe7a351…
06-30 02:10:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf3d29e…
06-29 03:03:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x93784c…
06-29 03:03:41	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbb2b1f…
06-29 03:01:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1e7059…
06-17 05:23:20	will egypt reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134493	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xaba7b0…
06-17 05:23:13	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x046910…
06-16 03:02:12	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdc3434…
06-16 03:01:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbeba11…
06-16 02:53:34	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb1fa8d…
06-11 02:37:28	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x46157a…
06-11 02:36:57	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf4232c…
06-11 02:36:28	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf6cf76…
06-11 02:35:57	Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xae8ff6…
06-11 02:35:18	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd73c17…
06-11 02:34:52	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4564c1…
06-03 08:33:58	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb9b2ef…
06-03 08:28:11	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0943b2…
06-02 07:29:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x363295…
05-08 07:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcacb8f…
05-08 07:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6304e…
05-08 07:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3f18fd…
05-08 07:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0308dd…
05-08 07:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x55375b…
05-08 07:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2c0368…
05-08 07:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x62e5d0…
05-07 08:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x522010…
05-07 08:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3cca62…
05-07 08:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe1d04e…
05-07 08:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf52c65…
05-07 08:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8da27d…
05-07 08:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f799f…
05-07 08:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xda2b4e…
05-07 08:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3cc97f…
05-07 08:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d130e…
05-07 08:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x145c00…
05-07 08:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6a54fa…
05-07 08:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2f9417…
05-07 08:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf925a3…
05-07 08:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd94f6…
05-07 08:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x75ef7a…
05-07 08:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5489a5…
05-07 08:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd713bc…
05-07 07:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x58f2fc…
05-07 07:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x32e0fd…
05-07 07:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb48b2b…
05-07 07:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xefb59b…
05-07 07:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xce2a8b…
05-07 07:28:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x17188f…
05-07 07:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xac1508…
05-07 07:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xad1b62…
05-07 07:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x4c5d1d…
05-06 07:54:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x56ba16…
05-06 07:52:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbba1e1…
03-06 08:18:07	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbd6764…
03-06 08:17:07	ndx up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd69cd5…
03-06 05:32:17	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc2a850…
03-06 05:30:55	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdbe5d0…
03-06 05:30:23	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb69ecf…
03-06 05:29:23	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x95070f…
03-06 05:28:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0d06c3…
03-06 05:26:57	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbe2246…
02-26 05:10:04	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2da4b5…
02-26 04:58:04	lol jdg al 2026 02 26	JD Gaming	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4540ba…
02-26 04:56:52	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xeaef1b…
02-26 04:55:06	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x96bade…
02-26 04:36:14	will coinbase be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb6dd57…
02-26 04:35:50	will company j be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xb1211c…
02-26 04:34:44	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa1eafe…
02-26 04:28:48	will axiom be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6b6ceb…