Decisive-Shadowbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$127

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-15 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 75% $-1

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 11:55
btc updown 15m 1773423000	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-13 17:38
btc updown 15m 1773435600	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 01:56
btc updown 15m 1773355500	4	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-12 23:00
btc updown 15m 1774012500	4	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-20 13:29
btc updown 15m 1774441800	4	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 12:43
btc updown 15m 1774359000	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$2	3	2	+1	Down	$-0	05-08 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 14:45
btc updown 15m 1773424800	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 18:10
btc updown 15m 1773365400	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 01:35
btc updown 15m 1774013400	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 13:30
btc updown 15m 1773364500	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 20:10
btc updown 15m 1773359100	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-12 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 20:14
btc updown 15m 1773361800	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 00:40
btc updown 15m 1773446400	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 12:54:06	btc updown 5m 1781527800	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5ecf1d…
06-14 21:56:31	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x0f607c…
06-14 21:44:07	btc updown 5m 1781473200	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xca81d4…
06-14 21:43:13	btc updown 5m 1781473200	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeb6b56…
06-14 21:34:22	btc updown 5m 1781472600	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x196cf1…
05-09 01:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xe9ee20…
05-09 01:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc3d2e7…
05-08 15:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x428ded…
05-08 15:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0xc7fdd7…
05-08 15:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe3b316…
05-08 15:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x747599…
05-08 15:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6805ba…
05-08 15:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1f4e11…
05-08 01:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x513af9…
05-07 20:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0de6e6…
05-07 20:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73951d…
05-07 19:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3d4656…
05-07 19:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4cad03…
05-07 19:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe2b436…
05-07 19:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x046776…
05-07 19:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x014861…
05-07 18:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x16c0f6…
05-07 02:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaf15e3…
05-06 02:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x340083…
05-06 02:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa57131…
05-04 16:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x96c259…
05-04 16:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb62909…
05-04 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7a5b47…
05-04 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcd9c26…
05-04 14:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x78abc6…
05-04 14:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8ea3db…
05-04 14:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93b8c7…
05-04 14:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb67d55…
05-04 12:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x7b0652…
05-04 12:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb5bb17…
05-04 11:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x02c78f…
05-04 11:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf47b99…
05-04 11:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3a5027…
05-04 11:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x255520…
05-04 11:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc2308d…
05-04 02:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x4e1a33…
05-04 02:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x74f709…
05-04 02:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xbf58f1…
05-04 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc925c8…
05-04 02:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x038353…
05-04 02:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1c7156…
05-04 02:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x3c6351…
05-04 01:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd12ed1…
05-04 01:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x3ea7f8…
05-04 01:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x947585…
05-04 01:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xae214e…
05-04 01:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa1ab2a…
05-04 01:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc61658…
05-04 01:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xf42bb9…
05-04 01:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3ae5d2…
05-04 01:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xb028af…
05-04 01:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb9aada…
05-04 00:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xb1290f…
05-04 00:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x65f2ea…
05-03 23:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x2e07a6…
05-03 23:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1c6777…
05-03 20:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6fa1bf…
05-03 20:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc60d3f…
05-03 20:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$1	0x9b4a94…
05-03 20:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x955721…
05-02 21:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98aa76…
05-02 21:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x556a0b…
05-02 20:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf91271…
05-02 20:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8d4484…
05-02 20:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe8a2d6…
05-02 20:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd59b5c…
05-02 20:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x51a827…
05-02 20:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x908a3e…
05-02 20:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa3b741…
05-02 20:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1fa071…
05-02 16:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x2aeb32…
05-02 16:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1096a8…
05-02 16:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x5d77a7…
05-02 16:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8671d6…
03-25 12:43:07	btc updown 15m 1774441800	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x210f4b…
03-25 12:42:29	btc updown 15m 1774441800	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa065ce…
03-25 12:41:31	btc updown 15m 1774441800	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xb6ff56…
03-25 12:31:59	btc updown 15m 1774441800	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbdfbbb…
03-24 13:40:37	btc updown 15m 1774359000	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xf9faa5…
03-24 13:28:57	btc updown 15m 1774359000	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x360d25…
03-20 13:30:51	btc updown 15m 1774013400	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8d3ad5…
03-20 13:29:57	btc updown 15m 1774013400	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfb8e56…
03-20 13:29:19	btc updown 15m 1774012500	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4040a8…
03-20 13:22:25	btc updown 15m 1774012500	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb08a8f…
03-20 13:21:11	btc updown 15m 1774012500	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x65bbf8…
03-20 13:15:35	btc updown 15m 1774012500	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1e4a92…
03-19 12:24:09	btc updown 15m 1773922500	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x43c053…
03-19 12:18:19	btc updown 15m 1773922500	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x281419…
03-18 12:02:03	btc updown 15m 1773835200	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x32f2ee…
03-14 00:05:47	btc updown 15m 1773446400	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf72286…
03-14 00:01:57	btc updown 15m 1773446400	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x067b4b…
03-13 21:10:57	btc updown 15m 1773435600	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcbcc27…
03-13 21:09:07	btc updown 15m 1773435600	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x157656…
03-13 21:07:29	btc updown 15m 1773435600	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc84394…
03-13 21:07:01	btc updown 15m 1773435600	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x592b96…