Misguided-Overload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$566

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

169

Trades

1,424

lifetime

Volume

$27.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-05 11:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 62% $-566

Sports

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 352 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-14	$-1	5¢	$-1	+$0	06-05 07:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	9	$1.0K	766	476	+290	Down	+$98	05-11 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$652	559	559	+0	Up	+$52	05-11 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	7	$596	10,462	220	+10,242	Down	$-281	05-11 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	5	$548	589	407	+182	Up	+$130	05-11 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$506	503	200	+303	Down	+$9	05-11 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	6	$504	400	400	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$479	349	349	+0	Down	+$29	05-11 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$471	411	226	+185	Down	$-129	05-11 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$465	340	340	+0	Up	+$115	05-11 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$459	353	187	+166	Down	+$25	05-11 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	5	$454	443	331	+112	Down	$-35	05-11 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$444	277	277	+0	Down	+$44	05-11 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$437	289	289	+0	Up	+$37	05-11 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$421	392	157	+235	Up	+$56	05-11 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	9	$411	311	205	+106	Up	+$7	05-11 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$400	517	0	+517	Up	+$117	05-11 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$396	300	300	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$393	273	273	+0	Down	$-7	05-11 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	6	$372	349	212	+136	Up	+$8	05-11 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	7	$358	430	177	+254	Down	$-192	05-12 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	5	$320	291	184	+106	Down	$-24	05-11 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$317	208	208	+0	Down	+$17	05-11 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	5	$287	183	155	+28	Up	+$15	05-11 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	5	$281	237	189	+47	Down	$-19	05-11 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	7	$279	261	197	+64	Up	+$24	05-11 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$273	212	158	+54	Down	$-27	05-11 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	7	$272	184	184	+0	Up	+$22	05-11 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$269	179	179	+0	Down	+$19	05-11 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$269	185	185	+0	Up	+$19	05-11 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$265	162	162	+0	Up	+$15	05-11 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 11:21:49	sol updown 15m 1780659000	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbf1f65…
06-05 08:00:03	sol updown 15m 1780646400	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x5811aa…
06-05 07:47:27	sol updown 15m 1780646400	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x068f33…
06-05 07:46:15	sol updown 15m 1780645500	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xe8b05e…
06-05 07:43:15	sol updown 15m 1780645500	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x80334f…
06-05 07:41:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x0269e7…
06-04 05:18:31	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa8be22…
06-03 22:25:22	sol updown 15m 1780524900	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xa3dd41…
06-03 22:15:12	sol updown 15m 1780524900	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xfbd4fe…
06-03 22:15:09	sol updown 15m 1780524900	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x46f33f…
06-03 22:14:54	sol updown 15m 1780524900	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x84bc92…
06-03 22:10:09	sol updown 15m 1780524000	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xdd4c43…
06-03 22:09:40	sol updown 15m 1780524000	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x871706…
06-03 22:08:51	sol updown 15m 1780524000	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb35c39…
06-03 22:07:46	sol updown 15m 1780524900	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x23f157…
06-03 22:06:57	sol updown 15m 1780524900	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9e0dd7…
06-03 22:05:52	sol updown 15m 1780524000	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xe2a9d3…
06-03 22:05:22	sol updown 15m 1780524000	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x25bae5…
06-03 22:01:09	sol updown 5m 1780524000	Up	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x570d33…
06-03 22:00:45	sol updown 5m 1780524000	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x5a7c41…
06-03 22:00:37	sol updown 5m 1780524000	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa4bfae…
06-03 21:58:55	sol updown 5m 1780523700	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x451a09…
06-03 21:58:33	sol updown 5m 1780523700	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x30fc4d…
06-03 21:50:42	sol updown 5m 1780523400	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x71c37a…
06-03 21:50:34	sol updown 5m 1780523400	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb65e75…
06-02 16:03:54	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4e3e3a…
06-02 16:03:08	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xdb700f…
06-02 16:02:02	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc07139…
06-02 16:01:53	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xffba3f…
06-02 15:55:51	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x9491f3…
06-02 15:54:43	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3fb536…
06-02 15:52:59	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x3ffc2f…
06-02 15:50:43	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7d115b…
06-02 15:44:23	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd94397…
06-02 15:44:18	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x79dbb4…
06-02 15:43:39	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x89c894…
06-02 15:43:31	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5619f1…
06-02 15:43:06	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0x20c945…
06-02 15:42:52	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5cc3c5…
06-02 15:27:35	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x83ca20…
06-02 15:25:40	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x02f0c3…
06-02 15:24:37	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x4988ff…
06-02 15:23:56	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x29acf7…
06-02 15:22:27	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	27	58¢	$16	0xb4dad4…
06-02 15:22:10	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe041ec…
06-02 15:22:06	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa2027e…
06-02 15:21:49	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x2ffb99…
06-02 15:21:33	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x37599d…
06-02 15:21:00	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x7b32a7…
06-02 15:20:39	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa79c0f…
06-02 15:19:50	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4af826…
06-02 15:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x977064…
06-02 15:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xac418d…
06-02 12:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x8c41f7…
06-02 12:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2dc3c3…
06-02 12:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa5b8ca…
06-02 12:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x3bd126…
06-02 12:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9f17ec…
06-02 08:49:28	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xcfec32…
06-02 08:48:05	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0xc00036…
06-02 08:47:50	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x09d6d9…
06-02 08:47:46	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x48609e…
06-02 08:47:30	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x2e9b26…
06-02 08:47:01	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5ce50d…
06-02 08:46:20	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc5f9cb…
06-02 08:44:41	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd3371e…
06-02 08:44:20	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x04750d…
06-02 08:43:17	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x56847d…
06-02 08:35:38	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xd4bcc2…
06-02 08:35:38	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x19d801…
06-02 08:33:55	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x728c0e…
06-02 08:33:48	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x20aa4f…
06-02 08:31:21	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3d6509…
06-02 08:31:00	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x0fa24a…
06-02 08:29:50	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x8a0ae7…
06-02 08:28:10	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0xbd6ae0…
06-02 08:27:49	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x97d0c3…
06-02 08:26:43	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x2aef88…
06-02 08:21:54	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x4d2ba9…
06-02 08:21:40	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x10e0c8…
06-02 08:18:13	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0d39aa…
06-02 08:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xad150d…
06-02 08:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x352ec5…
06-02 08:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x65e1a2…
06-02 08:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x995120…
06-02 00:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0x6a8a1b…
06-02 00:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5f51c9…
06-02 00:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x79d315…
06-01 21:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x6f6f8d…
06-01 21:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xa5c75a…
06-01 21:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x63cec7…
06-01 21:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1c8554…
06-01 21:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x12f46a…
06-01 21:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x7f1dc2…
06-01 21:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x34ecf1…
06-01 21:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xda8839…
06-01 21:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf0df4c…
06-01 21:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf32a99…
06-01 20:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xa2b2df…
06-01 20:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5e408c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	388	$364.6K	14,529	06-07 05:00
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	370	$218.2K	33,358	06-05 11:40
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	365	$66.0K	12,014	06-04 05:19
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	361	$714	2,154	06-05 11:41
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	360	$977	2,976	06-04 05:19
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	359	$117.8K	17,945	06-04 05:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	357	$103.1K	28,644	06-04 05:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	356	$105.0K	28,808	06-04 05:19