Green-Baggie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$84

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$180

Open exposure

$148

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-30 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$41

Other

20% 100% +$43

Sports

9% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No		-164	$-149	90¢	$-148	+$2	05-30 16:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775353500	2	$507	286	283	+3	open	—	04-05 01:59
btc updown 15m 1775352600	2	$489	253	252	+1	open	—	04-05 01:45
btc updown 5m 1775353800	2	$484	297	293	+4	open	—	04-05 01:53
btc updown 5m 1775352900	2	$449	245	243	+3	open	—	04-05 01:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	3	$421	257	257	+0	open	—	05-29 11:33
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$400	784	0	+784	open	—	04-26 03:11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	1	$300	366	0	+366	open	—	04-25 16:50
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$275	151	151	+0	open	—	03-02 04:32
btc updown 5m 1775354100	1	$265	671	0	+671	open	—	04-05 02:00
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	2	$243	143	143	+0	Under	+$43	05-09 16:26
Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$200	241	0	+241	No	+$41	04-25 03:46
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	1	$149	0	164	-164	open	—	05-30 16:09
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	1	$100	128	0	+128	open	—	02-05 16:11
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	1	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	05-19 03:39
btc updown 5m 1775353500	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	04-05 01:46
btc updown 5m 1775355000	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-05 02:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 16:09:20	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	164	91¢	$149	0x4bf39b…
05-29 11:33:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	257	90¢	$231	0x1271e2…
05-26 13:40:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	74¢	$90	0xc09187…
05-26 13:40:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x3eea10…
05-19 03:39:51	Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xe7dc97…
05-09 16:26:21	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x50563e…
05-09 14:37:00	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xa68517…
04-26 03:11:12	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	784	51¢	$400	0x028920…
04-25 16:50:38	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0x8ee880…
04-25 03:46:46	Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x02ac51…
04-05 02:13:07	btc updown 5m 1775355000	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf70e46…
04-05 02:00:11	btc updown 5m 1775354100	Up	BUY	671	39¢	$265	0xcc29d5…
04-05 01:59:37	btc updown 15m 1775353500	Up	SELL	283	94¢	$266	0x9fefb2…
04-05 01:57:49	btc updown 15m 1775353500	Up	BUY	286	84¢	$241	0xcdc6a1…
04-05 01:53:37	btc updown 5m 1775353800	Up	SELL	293	83¢	$245	0x115116…
04-05 01:53:17	btc updown 5m 1775353800	Up	BUY	297	80¢	$239	0xe6e171…
04-05 01:46:05	btc updown 5m 1775353500	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xcf2cfa…
04-05 01:45:25	btc updown 15m 1775352600	Down	SELL	252	99¢	$249	0x495c5e…
04-05 01:42:35	btc updown 15m 1775352600	Down	BUY	253	95¢	$240	0x69cc54…
04-05 01:40:21	btc updown 5m 1775352900	Down	SELL	243	99¢	$240	0xe1cd82…
04-05 01:36:23	btc updown 5m 1775352900	Down	BUY	245	85¢	$209	0xbadd70…
03-02 04:32:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	151	97¢	$147	0x899261…
02-10 15:01:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	151	85¢	$128	0x0c9304…
02-05 16:11:57	will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x0ce07e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	10	$5.64K	110	05-31 05:55
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	10	$2.31K	314	05-24 14:50
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	10	$1.34K	162	05-24 14:50
Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5	7	$18.8K	140	04-05 02:16
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	7	$12.1K	30	04-05 02:15
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$11.1K	515	04-05 02:14
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	7	$9.64K	3,111	04-05 02:15
(anonymous) 0x0428…85b1	7	$7.47K	260	04-05 02:13