Offbeat-Colt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.5%

Resolved

Trades

457

lifetime

Volume

$2.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-28 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 44% $-7

Other

2% 0% $-2

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$811	600	600	+0	open	—	05-19 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	6	$31	26	14	+12	open	—	05-27 01:42
acn sen egy 2026 01 14 sen	4	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-14 20:01
btc updown 5m 1776999300	3	$14	13	7	+6	open	—	04-24 02:59
eth updown 5m 1776999600	5	$14	27	7	+20	open	—	04-24 03:04
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 23:37
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-26 22:13
btc updown 15m 1776998700	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-24 02:48
btc updown 5m 1777055400	1	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	04-24 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	5	$11	17	3	+13	open	—	04-28 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-27 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 12:28
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-26 22:49
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-24 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$10	37	5	+32	open	—	04-25 04:45
btc updown 5m 1774395900	5	$9	25	16	+8	open	—	03-24 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$9	100	100	+0	open	—	05-26 22:46
btc updown 5m 1776999900	3	$7	8	1	+6	open	—	04-24 03:08
btc updown 5m 1776999600	3	$7	7	2	+6	open	—	04-24 03:04
bitcoin above 98k on january 14	3	$7	1,222	0	+1,222	open	—	01-14 16:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$7	30	0	+30	open	—	01-14 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-25 04:34
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$6	10	1	+8	open	—	04-25 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-24 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-27 23:57
eth updown 5m 1776999900	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 03:09
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	04-28 00:15
btc updown 15m 1776856500	5	$5	12	2	+9	open	—	04-22 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 12:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa08542…
05-28 12:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5a2668…
05-27 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x62fc5e…
05-27 13:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x49145b…
05-27 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe419e4…
05-27 01:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1106c1…
05-27 01:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x43095d…
05-27 01:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x0a0547…
05-27 01:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x990285…
05-27 01:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x1eea96…
05-27 01:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x56c80c…
05-26 22:49:16	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x300ee3…
05-26 22:48:35	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbfc008…
05-26 22:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	38	4¢	$2	0xb4c9a8…
05-26 22:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	62	4¢	$2	0xfee32b…
05-26 22:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb268f3…
05-26 22:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x443385…
05-26 22:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x138119…
05-19 16:18:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x3ad42b…
05-19 16:17:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x726eab…
05-19 10:50:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	66¢	$264	0xcb47a8…
05-19 04:55:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xd70ecc…
05-19 04:54:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x366eca…
05-07 17:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x757f6c…
05-05 15:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x09e6be…
05-05 15:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x265ee9…
05-04 22:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe27f32…
05-04 22:24:00	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x39da0b…
05-04 22:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x10160d…
05-04 21:54:46	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x622520…
05-04 21:53:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa18236…
05-04 21:49:14	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xee489a…
05-04 21:49:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5e3810…
05-04 21:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x10bc84…
05-04 21:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa508e1…
04-30 20:11:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x32f27c…
04-30 20:11:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb9d161…
04-30 20:11:14	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2e45a5…
04-30 20:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf61043…
04-30 20:06:12	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2df9f1…
04-30 20:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xbb1699…
04-30 20:01:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf63642…
04-30 20:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xcb5a6b…
04-30 19:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcb4ace…
04-30 19:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3ef736…
04-30 19:45:32	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5742fe…
04-30 19:41:10	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0d7159…
04-30 19:36:16	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcc77b2…
04-30 19:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa5de1f…
04-30 19:36:16	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7a490a…
04-30 19:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x352bb6…
04-30 19:33:02	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd0dc1a…
04-30 19:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1d1b33…
04-30 19:27:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa764b7…
04-30 19:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf273f8…
04-30 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd012ca…
04-30 19:12:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x792c08…
04-30 15:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xe46ca1…
04-29 20:51:12	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbea808…
04-29 20:46:14	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5b4020…
04-29 20:46:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x147e8f…
04-29 20:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x264cea…
04-29 20:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8b9ec6…
04-29 20:41:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc7c940…
04-29 20:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3f06fe…
04-29 20:41:12	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0c689e…
04-29 20:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4c372b…
04-29 20:36:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbef811…
04-29 20:36:14	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x87446d…
04-29 20:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd0c777…
04-29 20:31:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1a2867…
04-29 20:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x48d566…
04-29 20:26:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x467d0d…
04-29 20:21:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf33e01…
04-29 20:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4c51a2…
04-29 20:16:16	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa49372…
04-29 20:16:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3ea834…
04-29 20:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x8038a2…
04-29 20:16:14	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3dd442…
04-29 20:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbec476…
04-29 20:11:12	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa12da1…
04-29 20:11:12	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0c0cc1…
04-29 20:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x68f330…
04-29 20:06:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5ed7d2…
04-29 20:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x42c397…
04-29 20:01:14	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd9befc…
04-29 20:01:14	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb36ad5…
04-29 20:01:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x93da29…
04-29 19:56:12	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1de93d…
04-29 19:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xfc5b19…
04-29 19:51:14	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xdefdec…
04-29 19:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x144400…
04-29 19:46:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf26934…
04-29 19:46:14	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb4ddfe…
04-29 19:46:12	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd30fba…
04-29 19:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x14c8ca…
04-29 01:11:10	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf5a76e…
04-29 01:06:08	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf5e43f…
04-29 01:06:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x97dbb4…
04-29 01:01:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x24c6c8…