Superior-Nitrogen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$370

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-29 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

95% — —

Other

4% 0% $-1

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$5.5K	2,853	2,853	+0	open	—	06-06 06:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$4.7K	2,658	2,658	+0	open	—	06-01 05:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$3.1K	2,865	800	+2,065	open	—	05-25 02:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$2.8K	3,042	0	+3,042	open	—	06-06 06:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$2.4K	3,005	0	+3,005	open	—	06-14 13:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$2.2K	1,285	1,285	+0	open	—	05-24 10:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,901	0	+1,901	open	—	05-22 06:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$1.8K	1,856	0	+1,856	open	—	05-21 00:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,625	0	+1,625	open	—	05-15 01:21
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	2	$323	166	166	+0	open	—	05-21 00:54
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$305	156	156	+0	open	—	04-28 02:46
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$83	44	44	+0	Yes	+$1	04-15 03:06
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	03-09 05:19
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	04-28 02:46
will google have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	01-28 09:33
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$50	28	28	+0	open	—	02-03 11:42
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	04-06 03:23
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$46	230	0	+230	open	—	06-07 00:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-06 03:23
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	05-13 01:54
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	06-01 05:38
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	06-15 00:54
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	03-09 05:19
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	1	$27	0	28	-28	open	—	01-14 11:00
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$24	33	0	+33	open	—	04-05 03:03
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 196	1	$23	26	0	+26	open	—	03-01 01:04
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	2	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	03-09 05:19
Will Solana reach $140 in May?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	06-01 05:38
will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-09 05:20
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$21	27	0	+27	open	—	01-08 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 06:16:28	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7f834d…
06-23 13:23:32	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd9558c…
06-23 13:23:02	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x91e55b…
06-15 00:54:19	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xb3db5d…
06-14 13:28:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	1,105	72¢	$800	0x9b87a4…
06-13 11:50:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	1,900	84¢	$1,600	0x38fa92…
06-07 00:49:13	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	230	20¢	$46	0xf42673…
06-07 00:48:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x7b1bf7…
06-06 06:49:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,042	93¢	$2,829	0x8b73b8…
06-06 06:49:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	2,853	99¢	$2,819	0xeacf25…
06-01 05:39:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,853	94¢	$2,682	0x9d3ee9…
06-01 05:38:59	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0530e4…
06-01 05:38:50	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0054bf…
06-01 05:38:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,658	100¢	$2,655	0xfb87ab…
05-27 06:53:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,658	78¢	$2,073	0xeb5cc7…
05-25 02:27:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2,065	93¢	$1,920	0xee889f…
05-24 10:17:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,285	86¢	$1,105	0x80f6ab…
05-24 09:55:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	800	75¢	$600	0x04d0c4…
05-24 03:50:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1,285	86¢	$1,100	0x3886f3…
05-24 03:50:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	800	71¢	$568	0x3994b9…
05-22 06:40:03	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3a4350…
05-22 06:39:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,901	97¢	$1,850	0x169a41…
05-21 00:55:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1,856	97¢	$1,800	0x3a6fb5…
05-21 00:54:56	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	166	98¢	$163	0x070cf2…
05-19 05:04:48	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x4e12b9…
05-19 02:49:49	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	166	96¢	$160	0x87f323…
05-17 11:47:57	Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xf98130…
05-15 01:21:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,625	100¢	$1,620	0x062177…
05-13 01:54:46	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8b1bfe…
05-03 02:38:08	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x1acddb…
04-28 02:49:42	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xe53cb2…
04-28 02:49:08	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x0b5191…
04-28 02:48:22	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x9d990c…
04-28 02:47:46	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x66ac7d…
04-28 02:46:46	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x3ed61d…
04-28 02:46:36	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xa4ba93…
04-28 02:46:18	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	100¢	$155	0x1c07fe…
04-20 09:46:04	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x4d5445…
04-15 03:08:34	will elisa win the legend trade series	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x8bcc34…
04-15 03:08:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x65fc2c…
04-15 03:08:02	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0x19b43f…
04-15 03:06:18	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0x4afcb4…
04-06 03:23:19	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x3f8fd9…
04-06 03:23:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x77a97c…
04-05 03:03:11	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xeeb341…
04-05 03:02:37	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xe19004…
04-02 07:55:45	will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x813aad…
04-02 07:54:59	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xd024e2…
04-02 07:54:45	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x97ff39…
04-02 07:54:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x0c7ca3…
03-26 02:55:17	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x39655e…
03-26 02:54:59	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x2d1e63…
03-14 02:40:23	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0x8fd991…
03-14 02:40:05	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0xf84f60…
03-09 05:20:23	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x651281…
03-09 05:19:31	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x4ba5a4…
03-09 05:19:19	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	24	46¢	$11	0xb62fb7…
03-09 05:19:13	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x05569a…
03-01 01:07:37	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x317a8d…
03-01 01:06:19	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	24	72¢	$18	0x586628…
03-01 01:04:39	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 196	Yes	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x6d021f…
03-01 01:02:53	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	11	75¢	$9	0xdfae74…
02-17 12:19:31	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x3f8fb9…
02-17 12:18:31	will israel strike gaza on february 16 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0318a5…
02-13 05:37:31	will israel strike lebanon on february 13 2026	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x9257bb…
02-13 05:36:53	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf0070a…
02-03 11:44:22	spx opens up or down on february 3 2026	Up	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xc946d9…
02-03 11:44:10	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xeb48a0…
02-03 11:42:46	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	28	86¢	$24	0x06e2a9…
01-28 09:33:09	will google have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x083c9a…
01-28 09:30:45	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xa44a4b…
01-22 02:29:38	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x58cba2…
01-14 11:00:48	will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x05157d…
01-08 12:46:03	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	27	79¢	$21	0x65efc6…
01-08 12:45:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xdafcd6…