Muted-Snakebite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$304

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

Trades

386

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-26 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 50% $-299

Other

12% — —

Sports

6% — —

Politics

1% 0% $-5

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$1.5K	1,103	1,073	+30	open	—	04-26 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$1.0K	1,309	0	+1,309	open	—	04-26 02:58
btc updown 5m 1776822300	1	$999	1,027	0	+1,027	open	—	04-22 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	14	$790	419	419	+0	open	—	05-02 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	15	$612	354	354	+0	Up	+$62	05-09 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	17	$530	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	05-02 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	7	$475	797	0	+797	open	—	05-02 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$471	305	298	+8	open	—	04-26 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	6	$450	596	0	+596	open	—	05-02 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$400	461	0	+461	Up	$-400	05-06 06:17
btc updown 5m 1776302700	8	$398	472	0	+472	open	—	04-16 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	9	$372	631	129	+502	open	—	05-02 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$325	501	0	+501	Up	+$176	05-09 02:28
btc updown 5m 1776819900	1	$304	739	0	+739	open	—	04-22 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$265	565	0	+565	open	—	05-02 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	5	$257	436	0	+436	open	—	05-02 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$225	389	0	+389	open	—	05-02 01:54
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$196	253	253	+0	open	—	04-12 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	11	$194	564	100	+464	open	—	04-26 01:09
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	17	$186	870	781	+89	open	—	04-12 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$125	223	0	+223	Down	$-125	05-09 02:22
highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 64 65f	11	$111	480	378	+101	open	—	03-12 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$104	142	0	+142	Down	+$38	05-08 14:27
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	14	$103	868	868	+0	open	—	04-12 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$100	417	0	+417	open	—	05-02 01:55
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$80	459	459	+0	open	—	04-12 22:31
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	2	$74	46	46	+0	open	—	04-26 15:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$61	107	107	+0	open	—	04-11 20:48
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	2	$61	34	33	+1	open	—	05-03 14:47
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$60	714	713	+1	open	—	04-11 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 09:49:04	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	6¢	$7	0xc73943…
05-26 09:43:24	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	3¢	$4	0xf4a872…
05-09 02:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x74dad6…
05-09 02:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0xf67a95…
05-09 02:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xd8f94a…
05-09 02:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc84019…
05-09 02:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa04d08…
05-09 02:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x8413fa…
05-09 02:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x55d6c7…
05-09 02:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4b70ec…
05-09 02:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0xf94837…
05-09 02:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	216	95¢	$205	0xeb63be…
05-09 02:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xf37453…
05-09 02:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x689b37…
05-09 02:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x540805…
05-09 02:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x6b0628…
05-09 02:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xf9d1db…
05-09 02:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x416c94…
05-09 02:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xa7b73e…
05-09 02:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xe0c2be…
05-09 02:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xa37bf4…
05-09 02:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xed9e7f…
05-09 02:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xf440d7…
05-08 15:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xa19351…
05-08 14:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5a7210…
05-08 14:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x71eb9c…
05-08 14:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xd9a289…
05-08 14:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5629c2…
05-06 08:01:58	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	53	22¢	$12	0xaa9de8…
05-06 06:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xcbcacf…
05-06 06:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x6830af…
05-06 06:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x99b6d7…
05-06 06:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x1a5150…
05-04 22:37:52	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	66	29¢	$19	0xfcfa5f…
05-03 14:47:56	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0xb85828…
05-02 02:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x4d69b8…
05-02 02:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xcc0322…
05-02 02:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x1f3946…
05-02 02:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x8e66a7…
05-02 02:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xde7e94…
05-02 02:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x0fe249…
05-02 02:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xbde8de…
05-02 02:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa3a3f3…
05-02 02:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0xdca40b…
05-02 02:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x8ba34a…
05-02 02:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x46cf4e…
05-02 02:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x48eaa5…
05-02 02:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8726f1…
05-02 02:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x7211ec…
05-02 02:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc8802f…
05-02 02:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x5b93f9…
05-02 02:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0x6efcc2…
05-02 02:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x521a4f…
05-02 02:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xcccb6e…
05-02 02:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xc53737…
05-02 02:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xac15bb…
05-02 02:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x74846f…
05-02 02:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x626f0e…
05-02 02:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	307	99¢	$304	0x4b3c80…
05-02 02:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x46de81…
05-02 02:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xf6f4be…
05-02 02:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdce528…
05-02 02:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x59612d…
05-02 02:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x8ed340…
05-02 02:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x2e19df…
05-02 02:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x08c9c9…
05-02 02:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xe0d515…
05-02 02:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x810e6f…
05-02 02:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x183350…
05-02 02:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x475450…
05-02 02:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7b3122…
05-02 02:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1b3360…
05-02 02:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xbfa972…
05-02 02:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4b3ac5…
05-02 02:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x92433c…
05-02 02:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4367c6…
05-02 02:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0ed6d8…
05-02 02:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	152	16¢	$25	0x4a0af5…
05-02 02:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x9534c0…
05-02 02:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	157	16¢	$25	0x054455…
05-02 02:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x4db4f7…
05-02 02:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x7667b3…
05-02 02:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x669fac…
05-02 02:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6891b3…
05-02 02:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x70bdb4…
05-02 02:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xaacf31…
05-02 02:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xb7c75f…
05-02 02:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	129	48¢	$62	0x8d1eb6…
05-02 02:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf3e1e1…
05-02 02:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5ffdba…
05-02 02:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x0a0fc6…
05-02 02:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xfcbebf…
05-02 02:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x04525b…
05-02 02:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x000c30…
05-02 02:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xc41d58…
05-02 02:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0x5e262e…
05-02 02:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xec9b0e…
05-02 02:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xfe8d2f…
05-02 02:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x0e9f00…
05-02 02:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	44¢	$10	0xd4e27f…