Orderly-Ascot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$304

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-06 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 30% $-14

Tech

1% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$47	41	41	+0	Down	+$33	05-06 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$33	62	21	+41	Up	+$9	05-06 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$33	84	20	+64	Down	+$7	05-06 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$29	71	18	+54	Up	+$5	05-06 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$26	24	24	+0	Down	+$14	05-06 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$26	42	15	+28	Up	+$4	05-06 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$15	43	0	+43	Down	$-15	05-06 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$11	132	0	+132	Up	$-11	05-06 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$7	56	0	+56	Down	$-7	05-06 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$7	150	0	+150	Up	$-7	05-06 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$7	89	0	+89	Up	$-7	05-06 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$7	40	0	+40	Down	+$7	05-06 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$6	23	0	+23	Down	$-6	05-06 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	5	$6	38	0	+38	Up	$-6	05-06 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$6	55	0	+55	Down	$-6	05-06 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$6	35	0	+35	Down	$-6	05-06 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-06 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$5	22	0	+22	Down	$-5	05-06 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Up	$-5	05-06 20:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$3	131	0	+131	Up	$-3	05-06 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$3	31	0	+31	Down	$-1	05-06 18:49
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	$-2	05-02 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$2	48	0	+48	Down	$-2	05-06 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 18:36
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-29 16:55
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-29 16:55
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-29 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 22:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x69bf90…
05-06 21:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9e77ea…
05-06 21:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x227e38…
05-06 20:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1d4ba7…
05-06 20:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x55ee4b…
05-06 20:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x019970…
05-06 20:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xad08d0…
05-06 20:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8c91f2…
05-06 20:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x657224…
05-06 20:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x0b5c74…
05-06 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x758756…
05-06 19:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xd2b8b6…
05-06 19:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x922970…
05-06 19:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x642f3d…
05-06 19:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x03d5cd…
05-06 19:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe8b75a…
05-06 19:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5dc44c…
05-06 19:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc58d20…
05-06 19:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xfe9db8…
05-06 19:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe2e3e7…
05-06 19:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x03b6c8…
05-06 19:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x824363…
05-06 19:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa2ada0…
05-06 19:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd50004…
05-06 19:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x043fa0…
05-06 19:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	15¢	$6	0xdd646d…
05-06 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf35f5d…
05-06 19:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4afb73…
05-06 19:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0x8e0d21…
05-06 19:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x87231f…
05-06 19:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x01803c…
05-06 19:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xb27aaa…
05-06 19:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbc6c4e…
05-06 19:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1f917a…
05-06 19:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe5afea…
05-06 19:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x87f719…
05-06 19:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xff29b1…
05-06 19:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4ec358…
05-06 19:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x57660f…
05-06 19:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3b55fb…
05-06 19:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc48b81…
05-06 19:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x544da7…
05-06 19:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x6e90ba…
05-06 19:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x636972…
05-06 19:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x32c2af…
05-06 19:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcf631e…
05-06 19:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x5b7306…
05-06 18:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc10728…
05-06 18:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x350874…
05-06 18:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x34e7bb…
05-06 18:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc85661…
05-06 18:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb5d437…
05-06 18:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc4a7f3…
05-06 18:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe98f41…
05-06 18:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x222673…
05-06 18:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0127db…
05-06 18:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31fca3…
05-06 18:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa233c1…
05-06 18:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9c9f3e…
05-06 18:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7a53ba…
05-06 18:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x54ea00…
05-06 18:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x05e956…
05-02 14:48:06	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb71209…
05-01 16:06:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd16192…
04-29 16:55:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x06af95…
04-29 16:55:26	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x593142…
04-29 16:54:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcf1476…
04-29 16:51:06	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x577ec0…