Intent-Misplacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$306

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 05-16 12:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 100% +$10

Crypto

23% 50% $-3

Politics

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Taro Daniel	2	$85	45	45	+0	open	—	05-16 12:48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	1	$34	44	0	+44	Jasmine Paolini	+$10	05-07 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	05-13 12:27
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-08 19:32
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	2	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	04-26 19:14
will trump say regime change during address to the nation 537	1	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	04-01 19:02
dota2 ty mouz 2026 03 08	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-08 21:59
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen	2	$12	32	0	+32	open	—	05-03 16:05
cricpsl raw isl 2026 04 04	2	$10	19	19	+0	open	—	04-04 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$6	9	4	+5	Down	$-2	05-13 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 12:11
nba det mia 2026 03 08	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-08 22:02
will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-01 19:03
cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-29 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 12:16
btc updown 15m 1768134600	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	01-11 12:45
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Rawalpindi Pindiz	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	04-18 16:39
cricpsl lah kar 2026 03 29	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	03-29 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$3	22	22	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 12:03
btc updown 15m 1768224600	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	01-12 13:32
will trump say china during monday press conference	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	03-09 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-13 12:29
cbb alcst alaam 2026 01 10	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	01-11 00:25
btc updown 5m 1773706200	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-17 00:09
btc updown 15m 1768174200	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	01-11 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-13 12:39
btc updown 5m 1773742200	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-17 09:55
btc updown 5m 1773741900	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-17 09:55
btc updown 15m 1768091400	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	01-11 00:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 12:48:09	Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Taro Daniel	Rinky Hijikata	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x6bda17…
05-16 12:15:26	Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Taro Daniel	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x44b1bc…
05-13 12:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe824c0…
05-13 12:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x792d25…
05-13 12:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x807294…
05-13 12:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9ea475…
05-13 12:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x60d5aa…
05-13 12:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x1bc6e6…
05-13 12:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe4e84a…
05-13 12:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x831c60…
05-13 12:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x99a831…
05-13 12:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xca1fed…
05-13 12:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x235cd9…
05-13 12:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x33e8af…
05-13 12:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x09fc70…
05-13 12:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc2f4e5…
05-07 12:57:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	44	77¢	$34	0x7ba434…
05-03 16:05:52	Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen	Hyderabad Kingsmen	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xae57f7…
05-03 15:44:10	Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen	Hyderabad Kingsmen	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfcf647…
04-26 19:14:22	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa68f61…
04-26 14:58:06	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xc9363e…
04-18 16:39:26	Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Rawalpindi Pindiz	Rawalpindi Pindiz	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x308e52…
04-04 15:14:07	cricpsl raw isl 2026 04 04	Rawalpindi Pindiz	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x9ebe40…
04-04 15:11:57	cricpsl raw isl 2026 04 04	Rawalpindi Pindiz	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xae1432…
04-01 19:03:41	will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4dab23…
04-01 19:02:45	will trump say regime change during address to the nation 537	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x82a9cf…
03-29 09:55:10	cricpsl lah kar 2026 03 29	Lahore Qalandars	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x329523…
03-29 09:54:58	cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	Mumbai Indians	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x63bd87…
03-17 13:40:19	btc updown 5m 1773754800	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x546b73…
03-17 13:39:07	btc updown 5m 1773754500	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa0b601…
03-17 09:55:59	btc updown 5m 1773742200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7baf36…
03-17 09:55:51	btc updown 5m 1773741900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0a1c6c…
03-17 09:55:39	btc updown 5m 1773741600	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8f5e0a…
03-17 00:10:41	btc updown 5m 1773706500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7e4fa3…
03-17 00:09:27	btc updown 5m 1773706200	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x49ee99…
03-09 22:39:03	will trump say china during monday press conference	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x9da709…
03-09 20:16:45	will trump say china during monday press conference	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7c647b…
03-08 22:02:51	nba det mia 2026 03 08	Pistons	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb49c70…
03-08 21:59:53	dota2 ty mouz 2026 03 08	Team Yandex	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0d6140…
03-08 19:37:21	dota2 ty mouz 2026 03 08	Team Yandex	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x75998f…
03-08 19:32:59	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	India	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x93ac99…
03-07 23:48:11	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	India	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1e792d…
01-12 13:32:20	btc updown 15m 1768224600	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xca2316…
01-12 13:31:36	btc updown 15m 1768224600	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaf1a96…
01-11 23:30:26	btc updown 15m 1768174200	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x869da2…
01-11 23:29:40	btc updown 15m 1768173300	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x25ab76…
01-11 12:45:16	btc updown 15m 1768134600	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9069e6…
01-11 12:24:52	btc updown 15m 1768134600	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x75df09…
01-11 00:38:20	cbb missr miss 2026 01 10	Ole Miss Rebels	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x551b8d…
01-11 00:27:36	btc updown 15m 1768091400	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xef7759…
01-11 00:25:42	cbb alcst alaam 2026 01 10	Alabama A&M Bulldogs	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xaff611…