Thorny-Dining — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

Trades

410

lifetime

Volume

$3.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-22 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 40% $-13

Politics

9% — —

Other

5% 0% $-6

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	3	$212	457	0	+457	open	—	05-16 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	9	$154	175	163	+11	open	—	05-15 22:35
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	1	$150	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	05-16 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	12	$143	664	132	+532	open	—	05-15 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$134	306	120	+186	open	—	05-22 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	14	$133	266	130	+136	open	—	05-15 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	5	$128	214	291	-77	open	—	05-16 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	10	$118	462	95	+367	open	—	05-16 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$112	151	151	+0	open	—	05-15 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$103	136	122	+14	open	—	05-22 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	6	$103	88	88	+0	open	—	05-16 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	9	$101	106	84	+22	open	—	05-15 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	11	$94	144	65	+79	open	—	05-15 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$92	607	54	+554	open	—	05-22 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	10	$88	156	98	+58	open	—	05-15 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$82	98	61	+38	open	—	05-22 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$80	671	0	+671	open	—	05-22 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$71	86	19	+67	open	—	05-22 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	10	$68	71	71	+0	open	—	05-15 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	10	$65	208	17	+191	open	—	05-15 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	6	$64	261	261	+0	open	—	05-15 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	8	$62	177	34	+143	open	—	05-15 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	6	$61	112	50	+63	open	—	05-15 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	9	$58	101	59	+42	open	—	05-15 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	7	$58	100	63	+37	open	—	05-16 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	8	$57	141	108	+33	open	—	05-15 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$54	458	458	+0	open	—	05-22 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	6	$51	76	76	+0	Up	+$17	05-12 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	6	$51	84	45	+39	open	—	05-15 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$49	100	42	+58	open	—	05-15 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 20:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x7f9186…
05-22 20:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x87e39c…
05-22 20:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	161	12¢	$20	0x4c66d6…
05-22 20:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	66	31¢	$20	0x3830f7…
05-22 20:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x9b05d2…
05-22 20:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x9d31ba…
05-22 20:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc7047f…
05-22 20:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9adf83…
05-22 20:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	46	77¢	$36	0x49672e…
05-22 20:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x16e376…
05-22 20:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	74	66¢	$49	0x05d68f…
05-22 20:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x84ef70…
05-22 20:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7c7e5d…
05-22 20:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	67	29¢	$19	0x7635b2…
05-22 20:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	56	70¢	$39	0xa27355…
05-22 20:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x3f1c97…
05-22 20:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xb168a4…
05-22 20:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0xbbc78e…
05-22 20:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x7743be…
05-22 20:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	106	5¢	$5	0x6b0964…
05-22 20:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	227	6¢	$14	0x568fe8…
05-22 20:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x1260a4…
05-22 20:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd3476b…
05-22 20:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x03db1f…
05-22 20:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	54	23¢	$12	0x460bec…
05-22 20:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa8cd7e…
05-22 20:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x235e34…
05-22 20:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf6bf9c…
05-22 20:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	61	69¢	$42	0xd708f1…
05-22 20:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x95978d…
05-22 20:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0xec0d8b…
05-22 20:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x5f7207…
05-22 20:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8d0c27…
05-16 01:22:46	Will Trump say "Friend" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0x471c3c…
05-16 01:19:16	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xd2b9ff…
05-16 01:15:02	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x95d644…
05-16 01:13:38	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0de706…
05-16 01:12:13	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1eec12…
05-16 01:05:55	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	No	BUY	1,053	14¢	$150	0xbf7411…
05-16 00:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x2cc7cb…
05-16 00:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x3c4251…
05-16 00:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	280	7¢	$20	0x185026…
05-16 00:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0x3bc0ae…
05-16 00:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x297f07…
05-16 00:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	80	46¢	$37	0x0fbd12…
05-16 00:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x917d5e…
05-16 00:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x74540a…
05-16 00:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xb98433…
05-16 00:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xd11679…
05-16 00:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x88fcf3…
05-16 00:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x3f3385…
05-16 00:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x4f185c…
05-16 00:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfddf60…
05-16 00:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x015b25…
05-16 00:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9e0744…
05-16 00:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x00fd07…
05-16 00:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x637cb8…
05-16 00:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xd59d5b…
05-16 00:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x3b5d68…
05-16 00:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x4e1286…
05-16 00:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd59cf8…
05-16 00:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x7708e9…
05-16 00:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3b6e42…
05-16 00:34:11	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x18622d…
05-16 00:33:58	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x31a60b…
05-16 00:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	88	84¢	$74	0x2b6c01…
05-16 00:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x132ef5…
05-16 00:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xfeb0ec…
05-16 00:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xddec0d…
05-16 00:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3bb071…
05-16 00:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa64a5b…
05-16 00:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xf88787…
05-16 00:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6d00e2…
05-16 00:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7c2db9…
05-16 00:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x704bb5…
05-16 00:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x814c08…
05-16 00:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xc3f338…
05-16 00:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfd38fa…
05-16 00:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x47f39d…
05-16 00:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb16239…
05-16 00:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x296d4f…
05-16 00:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe7d37d…
05-16 00:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf8f495…
05-16 00:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x35ac30…
05-16 00:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1f5991…
05-16 00:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	63	45¢	$28	0x1b3a0f…
05-16 00:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x19bcbc…
05-16 00:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc9fd9f…
05-16 00:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc4cb44…
05-16 00:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0xcf439b…
05-16 00:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x6fe8e4…
05-16 00:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xf92ab2…
05-16 00:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd0d5f5…
05-16 00:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	291	37¢	$108	0xc6c289…
05-16 00:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc5814b…
05-16 00:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa8af61…
05-16 00:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xfd739b…
05-15 23:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x5dfe78…
05-15 23:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0xbcd448…
05-15 23:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd43890…