Married-Morsel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$833

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-31 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

47% 100% +$0

Other

37% 100% +$4

Crypto

12% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$102	694	694	+0	open	—	03-18 10:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$71	56	56	+0	open	—	04-04 21:50
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$70	300	0	+300	open	—	03-18 08:13
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	11	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	03-07 06:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$39	488	488	+0	open	—	03-18 10:08
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$26	47	47	+0	open	—	03-18 10:08
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$24	28	0	+28	open	—	03-27 14:04
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$24	26	0	+26	open	—	03-27 14:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$22	38	38	+0	open	—	03-12 20:16
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	4	$19	22	22	+0	open	—	03-15 20:52
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	03-12 20:16
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$17	42	42	+0	open	—	03-12 20:16
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$16	28	28	+0	open	—	03-12 20:16
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$16	43	43	+0	open	—	03-12 20:16
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and lose the 2026 Texas Senate General Election?	1	$15	51	0	+51	open	—	02-28 21:19
will uae strike iran by march 31	5	$15	29	29	+0	open	—	03-22 22:14
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$14	34	34	+0	open	—	03-12 20:16
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$13	63	63	+0	open	—	03-12 20:16
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$13	43	43	+0	open	—	03-02 05:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$12	26	0	+26	open	—	04-30 07:24
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	3	$11	5	5	+0	open	—	03-07 06:28
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$10	19	3	+16	open	—	03-24 15:32
will gerb sds win between 60 64 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	04-12 07:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 14:06
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	04-07 15:05
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 20:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	03-18 20:28
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	05-22 09:04
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-23 22:19
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	05-20 19:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 06:29:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x81bfb0…
05-28 09:41:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x39bcf6…
05-28 09:41:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x25abf3…
05-28 09:41:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x359fa2…
05-28 09:41:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xa63c51…
05-27 02:19:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x111a38…
05-27 02:19:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xa76fb6…
05-27 02:19:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x9d7653…
05-26 13:35:01	Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x6a75e7…
05-26 13:34:58	Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xd08db8…
05-26 13:34:52	Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Alexander Bublik	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x24f6fb…
05-23 22:19:23	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x3e4f89…
05-23 18:05:45	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x4e9bad…
05-22 09:04:14	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x7b53d9…
05-20 19:05:42	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x9fb1ef…
05-19 20:37:39	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x20efe1…
05-19 07:11:37	Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x370fb9…
05-17 04:45:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x18f2af…
05-16 12:11:17	Geneva Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Tyler Zink	Raul Brancaccio	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa4d043…
05-15 06:53:39	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens	Habs	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8ea4c5…
05-12 10:38:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x704a63…
05-11 20:02:43	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd6b2c0…
05-11 20:02:20	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3eeaa5…
05-11 20:02:13	Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x09f7a7…
05-11 05:04:53	Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	The Huns Esports	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9ea0f9…
05-10 19:43:30	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x9e7cca…
05-08 06:18:20	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 8?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe53c1a…
05-08 06:18:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xef136a…
05-08 06:18:01	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xadfabd…
05-08 06:09:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xad6b5f…
05-04 05:22:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x638a1e…
04-30 07:24:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x38232f…
04-29 20:44:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x48b313…
04-12 07:36:59	will gerb sds win between 60 64 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xbf906f…
04-07 15:05:57	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x48d696…
04-07 14:06:11	atp monfils bublik 2026 04 08	Alexander Bublik	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xebabfa…
04-07 14:06:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x8b9d41…
04-07 12:06:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x956c5f…
04-07 12:06:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x98aa25…
04-07 12:06:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x207aba…
04-04 21:50:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5f90b2…
04-02 22:34:05	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$7	0xb7cc99…
03-27 14:04:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xe65f2c…
03-27 14:04:43	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0xd50c12…
03-27 14:04:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x12ab91…
03-24 15:32:59	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xc1c3ec…
03-22 22:14:33	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x31f01e…
03-22 22:14:11	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xeb1a63…
03-18 20:29:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x554a25…
03-18 20:29:05	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc82a61…
03-18 20:29:03	will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x49cae2…
03-18 20:29:01	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa0af0f…
03-18 20:28:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x337dda…
03-18 10:08:53	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	47	16¢	$8	0x3e3e1b…
03-18 10:08:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	488	4¢	$19	0x35fa79…
03-18 10:08:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	694	6¢	$42	0x0e659c…
03-18 08:13:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	488	4¢	$20	0x555c23…
03-18 08:13:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xf2fd22…
03-18 08:13:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x137820…
03-16 12:36:57	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x1f8d18…
03-16 12:36:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x044921…
03-16 12:24:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xea3461…
03-16 12:24:09	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xc450b5…
03-16 12:09:03	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0xd66be6…
03-15 20:52:11	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x60e99f…
03-15 20:52:11	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x4f7093…
03-15 20:52:09	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x7d2b02…
03-15 20:51:11	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x9d968b…
03-15 20:51:11	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x5fa187…
03-15 20:50:37	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x9f6f1b…
03-12 20:16:39	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0xe8df78…
03-12 20:16:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	38	19¢	$7	0xdc9e3b…
03-12 20:16:37	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0x872ee2…
03-12 20:16:37	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	28	23¢	$6	0x760d5b…
03-12 20:16:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0x1ee06f…
03-12 20:16:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0x0875de…
03-12 20:16:35	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	63	4¢	$3	0xf0f718…
03-12 20:16:35	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	43	14¢	$6	0x469406…
03-09 21:14:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xbb54c6…
03-09 21:14:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x24976f…
03-09 07:57:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	26	40¢	$11	0x90d22c…
03-09 07:57:49	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x8d007f…
03-09 07:57:29	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	63	17¢	$11	0xe37d90…
03-09 07:57:07	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	37¢	$11	0xca6281…
03-08 11:41:51	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5ffddf…
03-08 11:41:47	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xe376bf…
03-07 19:44:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x96fdf6…
03-07 19:44:37	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x699d12…
03-07 19:43:45	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0xccd336…
03-07 13:29:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd84460…
03-07 06:29:07	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x815fa7…
03-07 06:28:55	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb72c02…
03-07 06:28:51	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1488ef…
03-07 04:10:43	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x2f756f…
03-05 11:00:11	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcfcfca…
03-05 11:00:09	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe9686a…
03-05 11:00:07	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe6eac3…
03-05 09:00:11	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd8baa6…
03-05 09:00:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe75c0b…
03-05 07:30:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x59a442…