Infantile-Wrinkle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$2.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-07 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

72% 100% +$1

Other

14% — —

Crypto

12% 100% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba orl atl 2026 03 16	9	$2.0K	3,559	0	+3,559	open	—	03-16 09:42
btc updown 5m 1776682500	2	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	04-20 10:58
bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	2	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	03-16 11:01
highest temperature in chengdu on april 12 2026 20c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-11 05:39
eth updown 15m 1775954700	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 00:53
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-01 06:11
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	1	$36	37	0	+37	open	—	04-17 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	05-05 07:04
highest temperature in chengdu on april 6 2026 17c	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-05 04:31
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 40 64	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-01 05:56
highest temperature in chongqing on march 22 2026 18c	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-21 12:53
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	03-17 05:34
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$25	26	0	+26	Spurs	+$1	05-13 02:07
AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	05-03 16:21
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-05 04:34
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-31 12:47
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-14 01:18
nba was cle 2026 04 12	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-11 05:37
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-14 01:17
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 9pm et	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	06-07 01:46
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-11 05:38
bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-17 09:16
xrp updown 15m 1773654300	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-16 09:49
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-20 10:56
eth updown 15m 1773725400	2	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	03-17 05:36
ethereum up or down march 17 2026 1am et	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-17 05:45
Madrid Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Hugo Gaston	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-20 10:58
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-24 09:42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 11:15
nba sac tor 2026 04 01	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	04-01 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 01:46:25	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x931958…
05-24 09:42:51	Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x104956…
05-19 11:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf7fddf…
05-13 02:07:47	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x4b1fec…
05-05 07:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x25b28d…
05-03 16:21:44	AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xe181f1…
04-27 11:15:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x652562…
04-20 10:58:48	Madrid Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Hugo Gaston	Elmer Moeller	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x202e32…
04-20 10:58:08	btc updown 5m 1776682500	Down	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x38a7b0…
04-20 10:57:12	btc updown 5m 1776682500	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x19ecd5…
04-20 10:56:26	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xf6e39d…
04-17 09:16:52	bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xeb9d88…
04-17 09:12:42	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x961e71…
04-14 01:18:25	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3eb225…
04-14 01:17:29	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0c6548…
04-12 00:53:57	eth updown 15m 1775954700	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x98a5ee…
04-11 05:39:33	highest temperature in chengdu on april 12 2026 20c	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xaca3ed…
04-11 05:38:27	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xd3fa6b…
04-11 05:37:19	nba was cle 2026 04 12	Cavaliers	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x05aaca…
04-05 04:34:25	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5488a5…
04-05 04:33:01	highest temperature in chengdu on april 5 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa641ac…
04-05 04:32:33	highest temperature in chengdu on april 5 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe631ff…
04-05 04:31:31	highest temperature in chengdu on april 6 2026 17c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf33d82…
04-05 04:24:57	mls vwh por 2026 04 04 vwh	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2d0b5c…
04-01 12:02:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf352b6…
04-01 06:11:41	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe5735e…
04-01 06:11:23	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x5bcd77…
04-01 06:04:03	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb26c9e…
04-01 06:03:19	btc updown 5m 1775023200	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7eaea8…
04-01 06:02:39	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x956d2d…
04-01 05:58:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4e0075…
04-01 05:58:07	btc updown 5m 1775022900	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x399060…
04-01 05:57:23	nba ind chi 2026 04 01	Bulls	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x376dec…
04-01 05:57:05	nba sac tor 2026 04 01	Raptors	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xbec7d6…
04-01 05:56:21	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 40 64	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfb3d43…
04-01 05:55:03	highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 25corhigher	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x10bdf8…
03-31 12:50:39	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xabb94b…
03-31 12:49:51	bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xbe2927…
03-31 12:47:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x621760…
03-31 12:45:55	nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	Hornets	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xaf00ec…
03-30 08:46:58	Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52f7f5…
03-30 08:44:08	ethereum up or down march 30 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf08fd9…
03-30 08:43:40	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x034dfc…
03-30 08:42:34	btc updown 5m 1774860000	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcd6092…
03-30 08:42:24	atp basilas michals 2026 03 29	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xac9cd8…
03-30 08:41:58	nba chi sas 2026 03 30	Spurs	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x72c4e2…
03-21 12:53:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xab512e…
03-21 12:53:03	highest temperature in chongqing on march 22 2026 18c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6ea702…
03-21 12:52:11	nba ind sas 2026 03 21	Spurs	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb2f070…
03-17 05:45:55	ethereum up or down march 17 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x609507…
03-17 05:36:07	eth updown 15m 1773725400	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x04e6be…
03-17 05:35:27	eth updown 15m 1773725400	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4f1ce1…
03-17 05:34:51	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x78fc78…
03-16 11:01:11	bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xfeb95a…
03-16 09:50:01	ethereum up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xafbf1e…
03-16 09:49:45	bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x7933e5…
03-16 09:49:11	xrp updown 15m 1773654300	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x58183b…
03-16 09:48:53	sol updown 15m 1773654300	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xfb71f4…
03-16 09:48:13	eth updown 15m 1773654300	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9e44c2…
03-16 09:42:13	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Hawks	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x197c01…
03-16 09:41:31	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Hawks	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0xbe8042…
03-16 09:39:03	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Hawks	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x3038e6…
03-16 09:38:51	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Hawks	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcdf4ee…
03-16 09:38:45	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Hawks	BUY	178	55¢	$98	0x42b935…
03-16 09:35:25	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Hawks	BUY	1,100	55¢	$605	0xa23edb…
03-16 09:35:21	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Hawks	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0x1fcbb8…
03-16 09:35:19	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Hawks	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0x7de4f9…
03-16 09:35:07	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Hawks	BUY	1,354	55¢	$745	0x16734d…
03-14 23:53:43	btc updown 5m 1773532200	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9566b5…
03-14 23:53:15	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 15 2026 32corhigher	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf4e32c…
03-14 23:51:57	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf0f1e6…
03-14 23:51:19	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x60fd0b…
03-14 23:49:51	nba orl mia 2026 03 14	Magic	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x53321d…
03-14 23:47:55	ethereum up or down march 14 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6538cb…
03-14 23:47:21	xrp up or down march 14 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb6708c…
03-14 23:46:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc71fe5…
03-14 23:45:09	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x53529f…
03-14 13:39:55	eth updown 5m 1773495300	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x806128…
03-14 13:38:45	ethereum up or down march 14 9am et	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc9f867…
03-14 13:34:35	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x228262…
03-14 13:34:05	will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xdf9b54…
03-14 13:33:41	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1211d9…
03-14 13:33:01	nhl col wpg 2026 03 14	Avalanche	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc6b1a2…
03-14 13:32:37	nhl nyr min 2026 03 14	Wild	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4ae2de…
03-14 13:32:25	nhl ana ott 2026 03 14	Senators	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x27502e…
03-14 13:31:55	chi xin jin 2026 03 14 draw	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3a3e4c…
03-14 13:31:11	cs2 navij1 aaa 2026 03 14	NAVI Junior	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x90c790…
03-14 13:30:57	bl2 bra dus 2026 03 14 dus	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc3e623…
03-14 13:30:43	lal gir bil 2026 03 14 bil	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x9cf72a…
03-14 13:30:29	elc mid bri 2026 03 14 bri	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7c32d9…
03-14 13:13:59	eth updown 5m 1773493800	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x231cd3…
03-14 13:09:59	btc updown 5m 1773493500	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0d8977…
03-14 13:09:39	btc updown 5m 1773493500	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc88305…
03-14 13:04:15	btc updown 5m 1773493200	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x93ac96…
03-14 13:01:37	btc updown 5m 1773493200	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4bf739…
03-14 12:58:41	btc updown 5m 1773492900	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9bf5dd…
03-14 12:54:59	btc updown 5m 1773492600	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x611e32…
03-14 12:53:03	btc updown 5m 1773492600	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x193b58…
03-14 12:51:19	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 bog1	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xec034d…
03-14 12:51:03	nba cha sas 2026 03 14	Spurs	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x28f9b2…