Purple-Cable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$9.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-15 18:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

48% 45% $-1,163

Crypto

32% 70% +$120

Other

20% 30% $-367

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$946	873	873	+0	Yes	$-412	04-19 22:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$581	1,140	0	+1,140	Yes	$-581	02-28 16:36
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	3	$453	275	275	+0	Yes	+$51	03-22 19:49
will solana dip to 80 in march 2026	2	$352	533	0	+533	Yes	$-352	03-27 08:55
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 510	6	$282	914	914	+0	Yes	$-103	03-22 19:56
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	2	$280	175	175	+0	No	+$31	03-23 13:54
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	2	$231	858	858	+0	No	+$111	03-17 11:11
will ethereum reach 2250 on march 23	2	$221	129	128	+1	No	+$17	03-23 18:22
white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 180 199	3	$207	149	149	+0	Yes	+$86	03-24 15:12
ethereum above 2100 on march 29	2	$205	145	144	+2	No	+$2	03-25 13:13
will ethereum reach 2200 on march 23	2	$201	153	152	+1	No	$-34	03-23 18:55
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$198	121	121	+0	No	+$5	03-25 08:11
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	5	$194	211	211	+0	No	$-24	03-16 17:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$194	637	0	+637	Yes	$-194	04-19 22:12
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 5	2	$190	158	158	+0	No	+$15	03-22 19:45
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$183	264	131	+133	No	$-50	03-02 11:53
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 16 22	1	$176	247	0	+247	No	+$71	03-22 21:20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$170	185	185	+0	No	$-30	03-30 07:34
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$165	838	838	+0	No	$-19	03-20 12:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 20	2	$158	188	187	+1	Yes	+$99	03-20 14:57
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 8	2	$155	89	88	+2	Yes	+$22	04-08 16:20
will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	2	$153	119	119	+0	Yes	+$53	03-27 08:54
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 18	2	$145	135	134	+1	Yes	+$86	03-18 15:38
will trump say regime change this week march 29	2	$133	103	103	+0	Yes	+$73	03-23 15:22
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	3	$132	444	0	+444	No	$-132	03-30 07:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 12	2	$127	149	147	+2	No	+$32	03-12 13:56
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$119	107	107	+0	No	$-9	04-15 13:42
bitcoin above 72k on march 25	2	$111	73	72	+1	No	+$33	03-25 15:19
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	2	$107	106	106	+0	Yes	+$24	03-24 12:58
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	2	$104	66	65	+1	Yes	+$25	03-23 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 18:33:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	20¢	$23	0xcb2187…
05-07 22:32:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x78cc63…
04-19 22:12:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	637	30¢	$194	0x0fab7e…
04-19 22:11:34	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	284	68¢	$194	0x002bcc…
04-15 13:43:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	284	88¢	$251	0xa3c6ec…
04-15 13:43:04	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	268	13¢	$34	0x60b43f…
04-15 13:42:52	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	321	12¢	$39	0x4872ac…
04-15 13:42:46	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	107	51¢	$55	0x9dce91…
04-13 10:10:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	125	77¢	$96	0xa473eb…
04-09 20:42:33	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	107	60¢	$64	0x87138b…
04-09 20:39:01	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbd37b3…
04-09 13:59:15	bitcoin above 70k on april 9	Yes	BUY	115	89¢	$102	0x04a9f1…
04-08 16:22:49	will bitcoin dip to 70k on april 8	No	BUY	103	85¢	$88	0xea1cd6…
04-08 16:20:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 8	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xa5c094…
04-08 07:09:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 8	Yes	BUY	89	75¢	$67	0xd4a109…
04-08 07:05:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0x73bb7b…
04-07 21:49:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	380	86¢	$328	0x2aea31…
03-30 07:34:56	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	Yes	BUY	229	31¢	$70	0xd5394f…
03-30 07:34:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	185	38¢	$70	0xe83b41…
03-30 07:30:18	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	Yes	BUY	87	30¢	$26	0x5040fc…
03-30 07:29:44	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	Yes	SELL	135	2¢	$2	0x2a4fa3…
03-27 08:55:01	will solana dip to 80 in march 2026	No	BUY	185	55¢	$103	0x6eb15d…
03-27 08:54:41	will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	Yes	SELL	119	86¢	$103	0x63197f…
03-27 07:04:03	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	Yes	BUY	127	28¢	$36	0xabc242…
03-27 06:58:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 27	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xd1ed33…
03-27 06:57:01	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x1bdd66…
03-26 13:29:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 26	Yes	SELL	93	18¢	$17	0xc99a65…
03-26 09:34:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 26	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xa6fe98…
03-26 09:32:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 26	Yes	SELL	106	51¢	$54	0x3f6bf6…
03-26 08:11:05	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 26	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xe943ea…
03-26 08:05:17	will trump say hormuz during cabinet meeting on march 26	Yes	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x147954…
03-25 18:22:19	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xba2fb7…
03-25 15:43:15	will trump say democrat 15 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	Yes	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xc1b2e2…
03-25 15:41:15	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	Yes	SELL	263	14¢	$37	0xb5a903…
03-25 15:19:39	bitcoin above 72k on march 25	No	SELL	72	100¢	$71	0xd06f02…
03-25 13:36:37	bitcoin above 72k on march 25	No	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x2d9787…
03-25 13:13:11	ethereum above 2100 on march 29	Yes	SELL	144	72¢	$104	0xb77438…
03-25 08:11:27	ethereum above 2100 on march 29	Yes	BUY	145	70¢	$101	0xb82954…
03-25 08:11:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	121	84¢	$101	0x19dc12…
03-24 15:52:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	121	80¢	$97	0x583ac4…
03-24 15:39:51	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xe7aa6e…
03-24 15:12:05	white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 180 199	Yes	SELL	149	99¢	$147	0xbab065…
03-24 13:50:31	white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 180 199	Yes	BUY	31	66¢	$21	0xb7ebf1…
03-24 13:50:01	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	SELL	257	8¢	$21	0x33e335…
03-24 12:58:41	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	257	32¢	$83	0xaa501f…
03-24 12:58:21	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	Yes	SELL	106	62¢	$66	0x2a29cd…
03-24 12:35:39	ethereum above 2200 on march 24	Yes	SELL	120	14¢	$17	0x4a468f…
03-23 22:42:49	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	106	39¢	$41	0xfa628b…
03-23 18:58:39	ethereum above 2200 on march 24	Yes	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0xfed9cd…
03-23 18:55:27	will ethereum reach 2200 on march 23	No	SELL	152	54¢	$83	0xfafeb6…
03-23 18:23:15	will ethereum reach 2200 on march 23	No	BUY	153	77¢	$118	0xe7feab…
03-23 18:22:53	will ethereum reach 2250 on march 23	No	SELL	128	92¢	$118	0x08c2a8…
03-23 15:23:45	will ethereum reach 2250 on march 23	No	BUY	129	79¢	$103	0x22cea2…
03-23 15:22:55	will trump say regime change this week march 29	Yes	SELL	103	99¢	$103	0xf1cd75…
03-23 13:58:29	will solana dip to 80 in march 2026	No	BUY	347	72¢	$249	0x2e95fd…
03-23 13:54:39	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	SELL	175	89¢	$155	0x28c2a0…
03-23 13:38:35	bitcoin above 68k on march 23	Yes	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x1e00e9…
03-23 12:05:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 24	Yes	SELL	221	14¢	$30	0x5690c7…
03-23 07:59:47	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	175	71¢	$124	0xa14795…
03-23 07:55:17	will trump say regime change this week march 29	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x13f117…
03-23 07:53:31	bitcoin above 68k on march 23	Yes	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x95aaf8…
03-23 07:51:35	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x5e33e5…
03-22 21:20:49	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 16 22	No	BUY	247	71¢	$176	0x3d583c…
03-22 20:05:17	will catherine trautmann be the next mayor of strasbourg	Yes	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0xd2f17a…
03-22 20:03:45	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 1520	Yes	BUY	183	16¢	$30	0x38780a…
03-22 19:56:37	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 510	Yes	SELL	436	1¢	$5	0x67ffa0…
03-22 19:49:51	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	201	99¢	$199	0x7eef76…
03-22 19:45:39	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 510	Yes	BUY	436	24¢	$103	0x9710d6…
03-22 19:45:09	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 5	Yes	SELL	158	65¢	$103	0x897afa…
03-22 17:55:03	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 5	Yes	BUY	158	55¢	$88	0x7365b1…
03-22 17:52:35	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 510	Yes	SELL	240	22¢	$53	0x0f9898…
03-22 17:22:33	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	Yes	SELL	150	23¢	$34	0x6e7423…
03-21 19:08:41	will catherine trautmann be the next mayor of strasbourg	Yes	BUY	133	61¢	$81	0x41d4f5…
03-20 21:03:39	white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 180 199	Yes	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0x4fe333…
03-20 20:57:51	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xbbe953…
03-20 15:43:21	bitcoin above 70k on march 20	Yes	SELL	66	39¢	$26	0x1bc998…
03-20 14:59:53	bitcoin above 70k on march 20	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x0cb82f…
03-20 14:57:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 20	Yes	SELL	187	69¢	$128	0x137915…
03-20 13:53:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 24	Yes	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0x503490…
03-20 12:43:23	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 510	Yes	BUY	240	17¢	$40	0xcdea9a…
03-20 12:35:27	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	838	9¢	$73	0xababdc…
03-20 08:50:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0xba0144…
03-20 08:32:35	will ethereum dip to 2100 on march 20	No	SELL	61	60¢	$37	0xf7a104…
03-20 08:31:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	192	26¢	$50	0x42b161…
03-20 08:12:59	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	838	11¢	$92	0x61fb3f…
03-20 08:06:27	will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x92ac84…
03-20 07:36:07	will ethereum dip to 2100 on march 20	No	BUY	62	50¢	$31	0xfd860a…
03-20 07:12:37	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 510	Yes	SELL	238	13¢	$31	0xd8e42b…
03-19 13:05:51	will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 19	No	BUY	76	54¢	$41	0x172222…
03-18 15:57:59	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 19	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x8e0a72…
03-18 15:54:27	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 510	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xaf4669…
03-18 15:38:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 18	Yes	SELL	134	86¢	$115	0x2b5254…
03-18 14:17:01	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 18	Yes	BUY	135	22¢	$30	0x89ca02…
03-18 14:14:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 18	Yes	SELL	32	53¢	$17	0x9dbbd0…
03-18 14:14:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 18	Yes	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x2c294c…
03-18 13:40:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0x7dfe6b…
03-18 13:39:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 18	Yes	SELL	42	61¢	$26	0x969215…
03-18 08:10:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x9a3ab4…
03-18 08:06:47	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	382	2¢	$7	0xa7293a…
03-18 08:06:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x90ae66…