Fresh-Evaluation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-16 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 20% $-0

Sports

31% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	04-18 06:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-30 09:24
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	03-24 21:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	04-01 14:14
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	04-19 18:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	05-16 13:29
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$-0	03-24 11:56
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	04-06 22:52
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-26 07:56
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 19:45
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$-0	04-06 09:56
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-07 23:53
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$-0	04-20 12:13
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-05 06:45
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$-0	03-28 20:32
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-30 22:45
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-20 20:17
nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	1	$33	54	0	+54	open	—	03-04 21:26
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	03-25 05:16
nba bkn det 2026 03 07	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	03-07 22:54
nba orl cle 2026 03 24	1	$27	34	0	+34	open	—	03-24 21:33
nba was uta 2026 03 25	1	$27	44	0	+44	open	—	03-25 20:16
nba phx orl 2026 03 31	1	$24	45	0	+45	open	—	03-31 22:13
nba hou min 2026 03 25	1	$22	46	0	+46	open	—	03-25 20:17
nba tor det 2026 03 31	1	$21	51	0	+51	open	—	03-31 22:13
nba min dal 2026 03 30	1	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	03-30 22:45
nba orl mia 2026 03 14	1	$18	29	0	+29	open	—	03-14 16:30
nba phi uta 2026 03 21	1	$18	52	0	+52	open	—	03-21 22:22
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	03-23 12:50
nba phi atl 2026 03 07	1	$9	30	0	+30	open	—	03-07 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 13:29:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x9b4cc0…
05-16 07:47:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x6b3c30…
04-29 06:19:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2b4f6c…
04-27 19:45:44	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa71827…
04-27 11:10:44	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf8684c…
04-26 07:56:44	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xf3b528…
04-24 14:56:46	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x34462d…
04-21 15:47:22	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xef36a9…
04-20 12:13:12	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe384c6…
04-20 10:26:50	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x14513f…
04-19 18:01:54	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x2c68b1…
04-19 10:30:18	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xbc66ad…
04-18 06:13:02	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x5b6202…
04-18 00:56:14	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xe24232…
04-11 21:38:17	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x3b5c6b…
04-11 18:20:07	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xace826…
04-07 23:53:35	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x74c0be…
04-07 17:03:35	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcc86c6…
04-06 22:52:57	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x43e58b…
04-06 19:24:43	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2f8723…
04-06 09:56:39	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7fcfd2…
04-06 05:31:23	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x399b40…
04-05 06:45:31	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf19ed2…
04-05 05:36:59	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x51b121…
04-01 14:14:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xe1d245…
04-01 10:09:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xd30e41…
04-01 06:01:49	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfb584a…
03-31 22:13:47	nba tor det 2026 03 31	Raptors	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0xa1d356…
03-31 22:13:19	nba phx orl 2026 03 31	Magic	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0xd01c98…
03-31 22:12:47	nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	Nets	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0xe42194…
03-30 22:46:09	nba chi sas 2026 03 30	Bulls	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0xdd0950…
03-30 22:45:41	nba min dal 2026 03 30	Timberwolves	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xbc882e…
03-30 22:45:17	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4f26d8…
03-30 17:19:13	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xde058f…
03-30 09:24:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xbf1a99…
03-30 05:24:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7a9224…
03-28 20:32:22	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x68d978…
03-28 07:13:37	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6141fd…
03-27 06:58:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x90588d…
03-27 03:05:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7cf7fb…
03-25 20:17:55	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Timberwolves	BUY	46	47¢	$22	0x671adb…
03-25 20:17:27	nba mil por 2026 03 25	Bucks	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x059e97…
03-25 20:16:57	nba was uta 2026 03 25	Jazz	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0xd0e25e…
03-25 05:16:39	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xebff22…
03-24 23:49:53	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x49a0b3…
03-24 21:33:31	nba orl cle 2026 03 24	Cavaliers	BUY	34	81¢	$27	0x811762…
03-24 21:33:05	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x53c9a5…
03-24 17:28:25	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xc4be3f…
03-24 11:56:53	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x8b87a9…
03-24 06:21:37	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc7ef2c…
03-23 19:27:53	nba ind orl 2026 03 23	Pacers	BUY	48	14¢	$7	0xd64e33…
03-23 12:50:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2e9f05…
03-23 07:27:07	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x24d7d3…
03-21 22:22:15	nba phi uta 2026 03 21	Jazz	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0x8a1f37…
03-20 20:17:11	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe4e26a…
03-19 18:04:33	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa39cb4…
03-14 16:30:17	nba orl mia 2026 03 14	Heat	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0xd6fe14…
03-07 22:55:11	nba phi atl 2026 03 07	76ers	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x480469…
03-07 22:54:43	nba bkn det 2026 03 07	Pistons	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0x9c5dfb…
03-04 21:26:43	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Thunder	BUY	54	62¢	$33	0x9b4c53…
02-25 21:38:22	nba cle mil 2026 02 25	Cavaliers	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xe971e9…
02-25 21:37:58	nba sas tor 2026 02 25	Spurs	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbccd54…