Unacceptable-Wedge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$214

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-04 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 25% $-10

Other

27% — —

Politics

7% 100% +$9

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	1	$57	62	0	+62	open	—	03-23 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	4	$23	53	12	+41	open	—	05-02 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$18	39	21	+19	open	—	05-02 11:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-02 12:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	05-02 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$11	105	5	+100	Down	$-1	05-04 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$11	8	5	+3	Up	$-1	05-04 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$11	15	0	+15	Up	$-10	05-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$10	212	0	+212	open	—	05-02 11:58
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	1	$9	0	21	-21	Yes	+$9	05-04 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	05-02 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	05-02 11:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	05-02 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 12:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$4	92	0	+92	open	—	03-29 09:04
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$2	167	0	+167	open	—	03-26 18:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$1	143	0	+143	open	—	03-26 18:52
will movement for a better hungary jobbik win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-26 18:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	03-26 18:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 20:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x64df1f…
05-04 20:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xab578f…
05-04 20:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb72ee7…
05-04 20:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf3453b…
05-04 20:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x53d468…
05-04 20:51:14	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0xb3537e…
05-04 20:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbf02c6…
05-04 20:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbb0350…
05-04 20:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3861f8…
05-04 20:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xdd0931…
05-04 20:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xead2cc…
05-02 12:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe63bf9…
05-02 12:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xbaf307…
05-02 12:07:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb4a76c…
05-02 12:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x6be52e…
05-02 12:04:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xae8faa…
05-02 12:03:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x455c65…
05-02 12:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xc72d42…
05-02 12:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1ad92f…
05-02 12:02:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd2ba2a…
05-02 11:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x1f16c3…
05-02 11:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x9e822b…
05-02 11:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc6c0c3…
05-02 11:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x512162…
05-02 11:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0xdb01bf…
05-02 11:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1c8739…
05-02 11:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x183d83…
05-02 11:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x796200…
05-02 11:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x942b01…
05-02 11:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xb21f30…
05-02 11:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x23f6ec…
03-29 09:04:34	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xd7b939…
03-26 18:54:35	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x878cce…
03-26 18:53:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x720d07…
03-26 18:52:47	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xabd434…
03-26 18:52:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x960661…
03-26 18:51:39	will movement for a better hungary jobbik win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5702e8…
03-23 10:58:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0x04cffb…