Reflecting-Scenario — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

909

Trades

1,948

lifetime

Volume

$4.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-17 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% $-117

Politics

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 432 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$25	76	0	+76	Up	$-25	05-11 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$21	46	0	+46	Down	$-5	05-11 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$14	162	0	+162	Down	$-14	05-10 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	6	$14	49	0	+49	open	—	05-15 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$14	14	9	+5	Up	+$4	05-09 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	5	$14	24	0	+24	Up	$-3	05-13 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$14	58	0	+58	Up	$-14	05-13 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	5	$13	20	0	+20	Down	+$7	05-13 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$13	23	0	+23	Down	$-3	05-13 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	5	$13	20	0	+20	Up	$-7	05-12 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$12	41	0	+41	Down	+$2	05-13 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	5	$11	46	0	+46	Down	$-8	05-12 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$11	50	0	+50	open	—	05-15 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$11	23	0	+23	Up	$-0	05-13 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$11	17	0	+17	Up	+$6	05-13 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$11	25	0	+25	Down	+$14	05-13 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-4	05-13 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$10	18	17	+1	Up	+$6	05-09 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$10	59	0	+59	Down	$-4	05-12 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$4	05-13 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-13 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$10	23	0	+23	Down	+$9	05-13 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$10	28	0	+28	Down	+$18	05-11 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-10	05-11 03:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	05-11 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	$-10	05-11 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$10	16	0	+16	Down	$-10	05-13 17:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$10	28	28	+0	No	$-0	05-05 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$10	21	0	+21	Down	$-10	05-13 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$9	14	0	+14	Down	+$1	05-13 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 17:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x9488b2…
05-17 17:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x868f1f…
05-17 15:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x0a196a…
05-17 15:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x815e66…
05-17 14:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3cef4a…
05-17 14:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdfe029…
05-17 14:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x3e8d96…
05-17 13:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xb2e3c9…
05-17 13:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x55a84b…
05-17 12:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x39b195…
05-17 12:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd77cdd…
05-17 12:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x224fb7…
05-17 11:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe31b87…
05-17 10:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x063bbf…
05-17 10:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x75b22e…
05-17 10:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x54a0c8…
05-17 10:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x3205c8…
05-17 10:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xd98771…
05-17 09:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x3f4442…
05-17 08:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb09df3…
05-17 08:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x0c7eee…
05-17 07:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9367ea…
05-17 07:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0x0d6286…
05-17 07:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x681fa0…
05-17 05:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe91276…
05-17 04:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xade0b8…
05-17 04:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf8063…
05-17 04:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xa65c23…
05-17 03:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xc6d79f…
05-17 03:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x7a63cb…
05-17 02:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xc594ed…
05-17 02:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd93b03…
05-17 02:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf92539…
05-17 01:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7b3cc4…
05-17 01:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xd9d86d…
05-17 01:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x4621ef…
05-17 01:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xbd71a2…
05-17 01:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0xaba85a…
05-17 01:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x0a2076…
05-17 00:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2e28cf…
05-16 23:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x91512b…
05-16 22:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcb0d9e…
05-16 21:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd3834c…
05-16 21:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29d54d…
05-16 20:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xaa9074…
05-16 19:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd7bed7…
05-16 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x38dc48…
05-16 19:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa5aa33…
05-16 19:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3793f1…
05-16 19:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2d8771…
05-16 19:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x834170…
05-16 19:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x612a53…
05-16 18:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa144ca…
05-16 17:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5124e7…
05-16 17:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x37a75b…
05-16 17:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x6677eb…
05-16 17:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0b03b9…
05-16 16:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x341833…
05-16 16:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xea8fb8…
05-16 16:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x489741…
05-16 15:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6eadec…
05-16 15:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe75825…
05-16 15:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x5d5d01…
05-16 14:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0b4422…
05-16 14:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x40a435…
05-16 14:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0e3e70…
05-16 13:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x705c99…
05-16 13:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf43431…
05-16 13:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x24da3e…
05-16 12:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xacc4cd…
05-16 12:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdcee7f…
05-16 12:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xfef28c…
05-16 12:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x9fec30…
05-16 12:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8cf3c7…
05-16 12:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb43061…
05-16 12:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xc8c695…
05-16 12:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x925709…
05-16 12:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xb13ac6…
05-16 12:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa67525…
05-16 12:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	9¢	$3	0xd6b8a7…
05-16 12:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe65025…
05-16 11:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xa98e55…
05-16 11:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x9b4231…
05-16 11:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x46bb17…
05-16 11:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x9bfb3e…
05-16 11:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x78d73f…
05-16 11:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb386d8…
05-16 10:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x6efc89…
05-16 10:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x23cae7…
05-16 10:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x575d41…
05-16 10:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa2c9c9…
05-16 10:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xe9f0a8…
05-16 10:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x21f333…
05-16 10:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3b4594…
05-16 10:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x540408…
05-16 10:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xc22719…
05-16 10:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x622d50…
05-16 10:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x47c96a…
05-16 10:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x430be6…
05-16 10:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x689f00…