Waterlogged-Yogurt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$2.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-06 07:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-28

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$200	519	142	+377	Down	$-33	05-05 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$146	183	183	+0	Down	+$50	05-06 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	4	$123	339	339	+0	Down	+$23	05-06 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$110	189	189	+0	Down	+$16	05-06 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$93	135	135	+0	Down	+$15	05-05 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	6	$88	80	80	+0	Down	+$18	05-06 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$85	83	83	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$80	786	0	+786	Down	$-80	05-06 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$76	113	113	+0	Up	+$10	05-05 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$70	217	92	+125	Up	+$22	05-06 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	5	$69	172	172	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$67	206	18	+189	Down	$-46	05-06 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$66	70	70	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$54	89	89	+0	open	—	05-03 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$53	41	41	+0	Down	+$11	05-05 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$52	82	82	+0	Down	+$14	05-06 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$48	47	47	+0	Down	+$8	05-06 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$40	86	53	+33	Down	+$18	05-06 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$37	47	32	+15	Up	$-3	05-06 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$36	123	123	+0	Down	$-4	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$35	382	0	+382	open	—	05-03 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	5	$33	48	22	+26	open	—	05-03 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$29	83	33	+50	Down	+$7	05-06 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$28	44	33	+11	Down	+$10	05-06 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$26	25	25	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$26	41	30	+11	Down	+$4	05-06 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	05-03 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	05-03 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$25	56	0	+56	open	—	05-03 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$25	40	32	+8	Down	+$3	05-06 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 07:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x0823b1…
05-06 07:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x698e8d…
05-06 07:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4ea059…
05-06 07:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	33	56¢	$19	0x11c422…
05-06 07:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x4b10c0…
05-06 07:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xecad21…
05-06 07:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc6e4ca…
05-06 07:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x6ff081…
05-06 07:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xef48b6…
05-06 06:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	84¢	$12	0x8adf77…
05-06 06:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc48eab…
05-06 06:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd2bbc7…
05-06 06:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x522a88…
05-06 05:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x9aab72…
05-06 05:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa139c7…
05-06 05:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7e3a5f…
05-06 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1db75a…
05-06 05:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xcaec10…
05-06 05:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5e6a7a…
05-06 05:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	32	43¢	$14	0x008123…
05-06 05:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x72558d…
05-06 05:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd726d8…
05-06 05:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	32	53¢	$17	0x5107fb…
05-06 05:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9376d3…
05-06 05:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x77b641…
05-06 05:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0xa42f79…
05-06 05:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x731384…
05-06 05:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa101bf…
05-06 05:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	30	48¢	$15	0x8bad80…
05-06 05:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x43be97…
05-06 05:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	123	13¢	$16	0x9bce62…
05-06 05:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xb5785a…
05-06 05:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xba9aa9…
05-06 05:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	76¢	$16	0x18f214…
05-06 05:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x228260…
05-06 05:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0x024fef…
05-06 05:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xd5c495…
05-06 04:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6bd1ad…
05-06 04:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	33	55¢	$18	0x5257ef…
05-06 04:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd7fc36…
05-06 04:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x3b56d3…
05-06 04:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x56509b…
05-06 04:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x83c17a…
05-06 04:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0x8ec70d…
05-06 04:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xef18cc…
05-06 04:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	139	17¢	$23	0xb687a4…
05-06 04:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x7d4c23…
05-06 04:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe8242c…
05-06 04:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc1e6c8…
05-06 04:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	53	56¢	$29	0x649345…
05-06 04:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x88bf6d…
05-06 04:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	189	26¢	$50	0x54486b…
05-06 04:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	18	59¢	$10	0x660882…
05-06 04:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x2ee010…
05-06 04:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	278	17¢	$47	0x4c41e1…
05-06 04:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x11382d…
05-06 04:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	61	43¢	$26	0x3055d5…
05-06 04:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x5400a5…
05-06 03:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8cefef…
05-06 03:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	99	36¢	$36	0xb8cac1…
05-06 03:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	99	24¢	$24	0x184ca7…
05-06 03:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	90	30¢	$27	0xe118e0…
05-06 03:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	90	26¢	$23	0xd8e0eb…
05-06 03:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0x3b19a5…
05-06 03:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x26a557…
05-06 03:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	29	53¢	$15	0x184652…
05-06 03:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x8ff592…
05-06 03:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0x37f98d…
05-06 03:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x503953…
05-06 03:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x72159d…
05-06 03:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xf094f6…
05-06 03:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x773381…
05-06 03:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x24f651…
05-06 03:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	183	53¢	$98	0xed41b6…
05-06 03:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	120	19¢	$23	0xdbadf3…
05-06 03:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xb09638…
05-06 03:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xdf47b2…
05-06 03:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	92	50¢	$46	0x8ba625…
05-06 03:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	78	18¢	$14	0x4c9309…
05-06 03:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3fed1b…
05-06 03:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	82	40¢	$33	0x594b5c…
05-06 03:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	82	23¢	$19	0x37af2e…
05-06 03:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2be408…
05-06 03:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xeefe33…
05-06 03:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x890c3e…
05-06 02:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	90	21¢	$19	0xc275c1…
05-06 02:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe9d0f1…
05-05 18:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	377	20¢	$76	0x16d023…
05-05 18:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	142	59¢	$84	0x00c7d2…
05-05 18:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	142	29¢	$41	0x4dfe6e…
05-05 18:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	83	54¢	$45	0x7ec079…
05-05 18:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	83	49¢	$41	0xd8160c…
05-05 18:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	135	40¢	$54	0xdc2c0c…
05-05 18:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	135	29¢	$39	0x078300…
05-05 18:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	113	38¢	$43	0xac9ba8…
05-05 18:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	113	29¢	$33	0xdccd59…
05-05 18:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	70	51¢	$36	0x40d3c0…
05-05 18:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xf115a9…
05-05 18:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0x08c811…
05-05 18:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x0cb869…