Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$64

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

450

lifetime

Volume

$68.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$152

Open exposure

$71

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-16 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$58

Politics

26% 100% +$5

Pop-Culture

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New pandemic in 2026?	No		-77	$-69	92¢	$-71	$-3	06-16 05:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	6	$2.9K	1,694	1,694	+0	open	—	03-18 14:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	16	$2.7K	3,492	3,492	+0	open	—	02-05 22:48
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	2	$2.1K	1,205	1,151	+54	open	—	03-16 02:08
will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	5	$2.1K	1,857	1,857	+0	open	—	03-16 01:00
will trump post hillary or clinton on truth social this week	3	$2.0K	1,211	1,211	+0	open	—	03-22 01:53
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	8	$1.9K	1,719	2,048	-329	open	—	01-28 16:27
will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	7	$1.6K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	02-28 10:41
Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	7	$1.5K	844	844	+0	open	—	02-03 08:01
will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	4	$1.5K	994	994	+0	open	—	03-26 07:28
will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	6	$1.4K	806	806	+0	open	—	02-05 02:31
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	7	$1.4K	1,069	1,069	+0	open	—	02-18 18:17
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$1.3K	959	959	+0	open	—	03-18 16:26
will elon be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 982	4	$1.3K	823	823	+0	open	—	01-31 05:31
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	5	$1.3K	1,093	1,093	+0	open	—	01-28 23:57
will iran successfully target shipping on march 24 2026 936	3	$1.2K	633	633	+0	open	—	03-26 04:07
elc cha por 2025 12 06 por	14	$1.2K	1,365	1,365	+0	open	—	02-15 01:28
saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	4	$1.0K	781	781	+0	open	—	03-31 08:44
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	3	$1.0K	1,049	1,049	+0	open	—	04-10 00:02
bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 b04	7	$1.0K	936	936	+0	open	—	02-13 18:01
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	6	$974	665	663	+2	open	—	02-26 14:19
will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$903	610	610	+0	open	—	04-12 21:46
col1 mif dep 2026 02 05 dep	9	$855	900	900	+0	open	—	02-22 16:31
will kate hudson win best actress at the 98th academy awards	5	$840	425	424	+1	open	—	02-22 21:47
will maga be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 312	4	$823	458	458	+0	open	—	01-31 17:16
nipah virus in us by march 31	5	$821	464	464	+0	open	—	02-05 00:49
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	6	$816	849	849	+0	open	—	01-30 04:58
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	5	$788	469	469	+0	open	—	02-05 23:47
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	4	$785	868	868	+0	open	—	02-09 21:25
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	6	$745	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	01-29 18:00
will the us not strike iran by april 4 2026	2	$732	542	542	+0	open	—	02-25 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 05:37:10	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x1e85aa…
06-16 05:36:07	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	69	89¢	$61	0x34e170…
04-27 09:59:18	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	262	44¢	$115	0xf1f367…
04-12 21:46:51	will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event	No	SELL	610	60¢	$366	0x2c3899…
04-12 09:51:09	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	355	30¢	$106	0xe4f22e…
04-12 01:16:05	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0x4732f0…
04-12 01:15:51	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	11¢	$10	0xb86f02…
04-12 01:15:29	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x8f38ca…
04-12 01:03:59	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0x5e4172…
04-11 19:02:51	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	543	47¢	$255	0xa1fadf…
04-11 19:01:37	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0xd060cc…
04-11 18:10:55	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	No	SELL	298	94¢	$280	0x4213d6…
04-11 16:13:19	will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	610	88¢	$537	0xeafa13…
04-11 15:04:39	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	568	46¢	$261	0x4f6fc5…
04-11 13:10:41	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	No	BUY	309	84¢	$260	0x9dea84…
04-11 10:24:41	Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	18¢	$7	0x3bd641…
04-10 23:18:27	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	382	25¢	$96	0x69daf6…
04-10 22:31:53	Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	17¢	$6	0x32853a…
04-10 00:02:21	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	No	SELL	458	49¢	$224	0xde8f1e…
04-10 00:00:45	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	No	SELL	591	49¢	$290	0xe06e2b…
04-09 23:59:27	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	82	23¢	$19	0x8fd332…
04-09 12:09:49	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	SELL	952	33¢	$314	0x64d719…
04-09 11:55:37	bra2 ber fec 2026 04 12 ber	Yes	SELL	339	34¢	$115	0xef13dd…
04-09 11:55:17	bra2 ber fec 2026 04 12 ber	Yes	SELL	180	34¢	$61	0x0d40ee…
04-08 16:29:15	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	329	37¢	$122	0x313c2e…
04-08 16:16:39	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	No	BUY	1,049	48¢	$504	0xf2f9ef…
04-08 14:50:01	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	29¢	$37	0xc4fd56…
04-07 23:32:15	mex que jua 2026 02 22 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	562	26¢	$146	0x92c6d4…
04-07 21:24:15	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	BUY	952	34¢	$324	0x149190…
04-07 14:16:27	col1 gdr cab 2026 02 15 cab	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x28b63e…
04-07 12:26:55	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	344	22¢	$76	0xfaf126…
03-31 08:44:55	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	No	SELL	120	69¢	$83	0x2efd79…
03-31 03:44:57	col1 ad1 mif 2026 04 19 ad1	No	SELL	432	40¢	$173	0x3aefca…
03-30 15:51:51	col1 ad1 mif 2026 04 19 ad1	No	SELL	221	40¢	$88	0xd832bd…
03-30 14:43:31	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	No	SELL	322	63¢	$203	0x8c988e…
03-30 14:42:19	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	No	SELL	339	63¢	$214	0x341ee9…
03-29 23:12:20	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	No	BUY	781	67¢	$523	0xc97529…
03-29 20:57:12	col1 ad1 mif 2026 04 19 ad1	No	BUY	653	44¢	$287	0xc4b876…
03-29 19:50:14	bra2 ber fec 2026 04 12 ber	Yes	BUY	519	28¢	$145	0x3aea66…
03-26 07:28:31	will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	225	75¢	$169	0xbb02dc…
03-26 07:26:47	will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	559	75¢	$419	0xafce56…
03-26 07:25:51	will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	210	75¢	$158	0xc71a46…
03-26 04:07:09	will iran successfully target shipping on march 24 2026 936	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x2321fc…
03-26 04:05:57	will iran successfully target shipping on march 24 2026 936	No	SELL	586	97¢	$568	0x961069…
03-26 03:06:49	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	SELL	159	56¢	$89	0x839829…
03-26 03:05:37	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	SELL	226	56¢	$127	0xd7d08e…
03-24 13:05:17	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	BUY	385	59¢	$227	0x0ec281…
03-24 08:27:09	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	264	86¢	$227	0x622ef4…
03-23 16:49:19	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	264	84¢	$222	0xc35736…
03-23 15:47:21	will iran successfully target shipping on march 24 2026 936	No	BUY	633	89¢	$563	0x3bf242…
03-22 01:53:13	will trump post hillary or clinton on truth social this week	No	SELL	188	93¢	$175	0x0df0de…
03-22 01:52:07	will trump post hillary or clinton on truth social this week	No	SELL	1,023	93¢	$951	0x41f300…
03-21 20:15:03	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	325	18¢	$58	0xc3633e…
03-20 19:07:15	will trump post hillary or clinton on truth social this week	No	BUY	1,211	73¢	$884	0x719619…
03-20 17:22:15	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	325	19¢	$62	0xcd1711…
03-20 14:33:59	will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	994	71¢	$706	0x55e967…
03-18 16:55:43	will iran strike abqaiq oil processing facility by march 31	Yes	SELL	534	32¢	$171	0xbe469e…
03-18 16:26:57	Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	959	72¢	$690	0x13e4df…
03-18 14:07:25	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	438	84¢	$368	0x89adc9…
03-18 14:07:07	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	578	84¢	$486	0xccab9e…
03-18 14:06:51	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	678	84¢	$570	0x48d2b7…
03-18 13:43:03	Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	SELL	201	71¢	$143	0x4d4c74…
03-18 13:42:53	Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	SELL	264	71¢	$187	0x67bf7f…
03-18 13:42:35	Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	SELL	336	71¢	$239	0xf0aa00…
03-16 21:31:09	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	253	86¢	$218	0xa7001a…
03-16 21:30:49	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	734	86¢	$631	0xa09952…
03-16 21:30:29	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	707	86¢	$608	0x30f4d3…
03-16 18:43:25	Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	BUY	535	14¢	$75	0xb0524c…
03-16 18:43:11	Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	BUY	266	14¢	$37	0x7b1c86…
03-16 16:24:49	will iran strike abqaiq oil processing facility by march 31	Yes	BUY	534	17¢	$91	0x9e278f…
03-16 14:50:05	Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	959	66¢	$633	0x8fcb4f…
03-16 02:08:43	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	No	SELL	1,151	91¢	$1,047	0xe0a9b6…
03-16 01:00:37	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	Yes	SELL	911	53¢	$483	0xa1efcb…
03-16 01:00:23	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	Yes	SELL	946	53¢	$501	0x67dbdc…
03-16 00:52:49	mex que jua 2026 02 22 draw	No	SELL	209	59¢	$123	0x2bb982…
03-15 13:00:47	mex que jua 2026 02 22 draw	No	BUY	213	68¢	$145	0x09ec51…
03-14 13:50:23	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	Yes	BUY	360	59¢	$212	0x19ec17…
03-14 13:49:59	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	Yes	BUY	946	59¢	$558	0xea0a57…
03-14 13:49:43	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	Yes	BUY	551	59¢	$325	0xa9edcc…
03-14 12:08:03	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	No	BUY	1,205	87¢	$1,048	0xce0bf7…
03-13 08:15:51	will ukraine be said at the oscars	Yes	SELL	449	49¢	$220	0xffae2c…
03-12 21:13:29	mex que jua 2026 02 22 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	229	47¢	$108	0xd55899…
03-12 19:31:23	will ukraine be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	449	52¢	$233	0xdae282…
03-10 13:13:17	will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	334	98¢	$328	0xb3c384…
03-06 13:10:17	will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	334	83¢	$277	0x365898…
03-06 12:33:03	Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	444	83¢	$369	0xe1e544…
02-28 10:41:05	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0xceccce…
02-28 00:42:51	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	No	SELL	101	39¢	$39	0x9c324b…
02-27 23:34:25	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	No	BUY	524	100¢	$523	0x8ac3d0…
02-27 23:28:11	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	No	BUY	101	44¢	$44	0x2608ba…
02-27 22:40:51	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	412	35¢	$144	0xbca610…
02-27 20:57:09	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	412	38¢	$157	0xcef134…
02-27 19:32:39	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	151	100¢	$150	0x38ca64…
02-26 21:03:38	will donald trump say scale on truth social this week	Yes	SELL	400	42¢	$168	0x52dbd7…
02-26 15:50:56	will donald trump say scale on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x32acb6…
02-26 14:19:34	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	145	78¢	$113	0x1a185c…
02-26 13:05:58	will jd vance say state of the union in wisconsin on thursday	No	BUY	416	27¢	$112	0x0ef862…
02-26 12:59:48	xrp up or down february 26 8am et	Up	BUY	72	51¢	$37	0x6f62cf…
02-26 12:59:44	xrp up or down february 26 8am et	Up	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x642080…
02-26 12:59:34	xrp up or down february 26 8am et	Up	BUY	923	51¢	$471	0x007fdb…