Rapid-Risk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$103

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 05-13 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 42% $-28

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$15	13	6	+6	Up	$-4	05-13 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$13	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-13 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-13 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-13 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-13 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-13 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-13 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-13 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 09:23
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-04 14:15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-05 09:34
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	1	$1	68	0	+68	open	—	04-05 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 12:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x04b425…
05-13 12:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x10d4bd…
05-13 12:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3e90d4…
05-13 12:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x163ccb…
05-13 12:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3c61dd…
05-13 09:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xdec78a…
05-13 09:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x58c593…
05-13 09:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc78b58…
05-13 09:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xeb2a6f…
05-13 09:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x178486…
05-13 08:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb7129a…
05-13 08:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x24b56b…
05-13 08:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7f1f2b…
05-13 08:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1ab6f0…
05-13 08:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x968b3e…
05-13 08:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaf93a7…
05-12 12:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x98d243…
05-12 12:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5fa61e…
04-05 09:34:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x23ef31…
04-05 09:33:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xe516c5…
04-04 14:15:35	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe22c58…