Courageous-Differential — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$941

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 06-09 20:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% — —

Other

11% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+7	$6	86¢	$6	$-0	06-09 20:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$100	101	+101	Yes	+$1	05-12 21:10
btc updown 15m 1772891100	4	$76	86	+86	open	—	03-07 13:59
btc updown 15m 1772979300	4	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-08 14:15
btc updown 15m 1772887500	2	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-07 12:46
btc updown 15m 1772983800	2	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-08 15:24
btc updown 15m 1772888400	2	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-07 13:01
btc updown 15m 1772976600	2	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-08 13:29
btc updown 15m 1772920800	2	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-07 21:58
btc updown 15m 1772975700	2	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-08 13:25
btc updown 15m 1772919000	5	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-07 21:34
btc updown 15m 1772919900	2	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-07 21:40
btc updown 15m 1772984700	3	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-08 15:45
btc updown 15m 1772982000	5	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-08 15:01
btc updown 15m 1772985600	4	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-08 16:00
btc updown 15m 1772901000	4	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-07 16:31
btc updown 15m 1772918100	6	$20	40	+40	open	—	03-07 21:15
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	06-09 15:59
btc updown 15m 1772978400	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-08 13:42
btc updown 15m 1772813700	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-06 16:16
btc updown 15m 1772846100	3	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-07 01:09
btc updown 15m 1772815500	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-06 16:44
btc updown 15m 1772840700	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-06 23:45
btc updown 15m 1772933400	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-08 01:30
btc updown 15m 1772910000	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-07 19:00
btc updown 15m 1772825400	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-06 19:25
btc updown 15m 1772909100	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-07 18:45
btc updown 15m 1772820900	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-06 18:08
btc updown 15m 1772847000	3	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-07 01:30
btc updown 15m 1772910900	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-07 19:18
btc updown 15m 1772890200	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	03-07 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:37:43	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6fcc40…
06-09 20:36:52	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa369fb…
06-09 20:36:48	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x439dfb…
06-09 20:36:46	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x207975…
06-09 15:59:25	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x814b0f…
06-09 15:59:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe8dc2a…
05-12 21:10:40	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x0be2d7…
05-12 20:56:47	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf02450…
05-08 11:48:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc8d667…
03-08 16:00:09	btc updown 15m 1772985600	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xab04ba…
03-08 16:00:07	btc updown 15m 1772985600	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xb74509…
03-08 16:00:07	btc updown 15m 1772985600	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7a3dbb…
03-08 15:46:41	btc updown 15m 1772985600	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe17c38…
03-08 15:45:11	btc updown 15m 1772984700	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x16cccd…
03-08 15:41:41	btc updown 15m 1772984700	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xbc5c06…
03-08 15:41:35	btc updown 15m 1772984700	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0xf345d0…
03-08 15:24:31	btc updown 15m 1772983800	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xedd2dc…
03-08 15:18:05	btc updown 15m 1772983800	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x790fa2…
03-08 15:11:11	btc updown 15m 1772982900	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb4db35…
03-08 15:11:11	btc updown 15m 1772982900	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6969b2…
03-08 15:11:09	btc updown 15m 1772982900	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x700ced…
03-08 15:07:57	btc updown 15m 1772982900	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x47feea…
03-08 15:04:05	btc updown 15m 1772982900	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf576f3…
03-08 15:01:11	btc updown 15m 1772982000	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x4c38ac…
03-08 15:00:01	btc updown 15m 1772982000	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7695eb…
03-08 14:59:57	btc updown 15m 1772982000	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc25104…
03-08 14:59:37	btc updown 15m 1772982000	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xa7de07…
03-08 14:59:09	btc updown 15m 1772982000	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdb49bc…
03-08 14:15:19	btc updown 15m 1772979300	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x32d90f…
03-08 14:15:19	btc updown 15m 1772979300	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1cd987…
03-08 14:03:59	btc updown 15m 1772979300	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x3d2d4f…
03-08 14:02:05	btc updown 15m 1772979300	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x33381c…
03-08 13:42:31	btc updown 15m 1772978400	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3be5b3…
03-08 13:42:27	btc updown 15m 1772978400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x54269b…
03-08 13:32:35	btc updown 15m 1772977500	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x318e61…
03-08 13:29:07	btc updown 15m 1772976600	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfb62e2…
03-08 13:25:09	btc updown 15m 1772975700	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x70f9fa…
03-08 13:13:41	btc updown 15m 1772976600	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd0db35…
03-08 12:59:09	btc updown 15m 1772975700	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x384e18…
03-08 02:14:57	btc updown 15m 1772935200	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc24c8b…
03-08 01:55:09	btc updown 15m 1772935200	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xd72409…
03-08 01:55:05	btc updown 15m 1772935200	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf5f53c…
03-08 01:30:47	btc updown 15m 1772934300	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4cb73c…
03-08 01:30:35	btc updown 15m 1772934300	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x029c31…
03-08 01:30:25	btc updown 15m 1772933400	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd99f34…
03-08 01:25:11	btc updown 15m 1772933400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd28880…
03-08 01:15:33	btc updown 15m 1772932500	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x443573…
03-08 01:00:37	btc updown 15m 1772932500	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb60cc4…
03-08 00:55:03	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xf49795…
03-07 21:58:35	btc updown 15m 1772920800	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x29d24c…
03-07 21:48:23	btc updown 15m 1772920800	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x36ac86…
03-07 21:40:09	btc updown 15m 1772919900	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0b1a75…
03-07 21:34:29	btc updown 15m 1772919000	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf906ec…
03-07 21:34:29	btc updown 15m 1772919000	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc2f675…
03-07 21:34:29	btc updown 15m 1772919000	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x298a25…
03-07 21:34:27	btc updown 15m 1772919000	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xa6a161…
03-07 21:29:09	btc updown 15m 1772919900	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6dce08…
03-07 21:17:35	btc updown 15m 1772919000	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0605b5…
03-07 21:15:07	btc updown 15m 1772918100	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe0c69a…
03-07 21:15:07	btc updown 15m 1772918100	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xcd6909…
03-07 21:15:07	btc updown 15m 1772918100	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xca0dbf…
03-07 21:15:07	btc updown 15m 1772918100	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xa4093d…
03-07 21:15:07	btc updown 15m 1772918100	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x394ebc…
03-07 21:00:43	btc updown 15m 1772918100	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc43dcd…
03-07 19:44:37	btc updown 15m 1772911800	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x06b1de…
03-07 19:43:03	btc updown 15m 1772912700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb64394…
03-07 19:43:01	btc updown 15m 1772912700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6a6076…
03-07 19:30:03	btc updown 15m 1772912700	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9d80b9…
03-07 19:18:57	btc updown 15m 1772910900	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf6530e…
03-07 19:14:07	btc updown 15m 1772911800	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9415bd…
03-07 19:00:55	btc updown 15m 1772910000	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc7076a…
03-07 18:56:31	btc updown 15m 1772910900	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xab1703…
03-07 18:45:11	btc updown 15m 1772909100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x008083…
03-07 18:44:13	btc updown 15m 1772910000	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x27f809…
03-07 18:30:19	btc updown 15m 1772908200	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xead2c2…
03-07 18:29:07	btc updown 15m 1772909100	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb13542…
03-07 18:19:51	btc updown 15m 1772907300	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x91230b…
03-07 18:19:51	btc updown 15m 1772907300	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8337b0…
03-07 18:14:07	btc updown 15m 1772908200	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x81ad83…
03-07 18:02:17	btc updown 15m 1772907300	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x7cf899…
03-07 18:02:11	btc updown 15m 1772907300	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xed024a…
03-07 18:02:11	btc updown 15m 1772907300	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x66ae47…
03-07 18:02:11	btc updown 15m 1772907300	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x23fbe1…
03-07 16:31:59	btc updown 15m 1772901000	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xe378cc…
03-07 16:31:55	btc updown 15m 1772901000	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8e91f6…
03-07 16:31:51	btc updown 15m 1772901000	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x4c6345…
03-07 16:17:13	btc updown 15m 1772901000	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd5c90c…
03-07 14:15:15	btc updown 15m 1772892900	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc3952b…
03-07 14:15:15	btc updown 15m 1772892900	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x18099c…
03-07 14:01:53	btc updown 15m 1772892900	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x957e45…
03-07 14:01:53	btc updown 15m 1772892900	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x0fd887…
03-07 13:59:09	btc updown 15m 1772891100	Up	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x5134bc…
03-07 13:58:21	btc updown 15m 1772892000	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x119587…
03-07 13:57:01	btc updown 15m 1772892000	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xab88fe…
03-07 13:56:43	btc updown 15m 1772891100	Up	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0xbce934…
03-07 13:49:19	btc updown 15m 1772892000	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xefe588…
03-07 13:38:45	btc updown 15m 1772891100	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xb2a143…
03-07 13:38:43	btc updown 15m 1772891100	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x33d308…
03-07 13:14:33	btc updown 15m 1772890200	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8b41af…
03-07 13:14:15	btc updown 15m 1772890200	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x938b62…