Grandiose-Screenwriting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-16 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Crypto

34% 54% $-47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$218	137	137	+0	open	—	05-24 07:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	07-02 07:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$104	178	0	+178	open	—	06-12 07:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$100	170	100	+70	open	—	07-16 15:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	05-06 17:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	3	$65	100	0	+100	open	—	07-07 08:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$35	40	0	+40	open	—	07-14 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$30	57	0	+57	Up	$-30	05-10 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	Up	+$5	05-11 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-16 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$20	35	0	+35	Down	$-8	05-11 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$20	28	0	+28	Up	+$8	05-10 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-13 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$15	22	0	+22	Down	$-15	05-12 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$15	23	0	+23	Down	$-2	05-12 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Down	$-9	05-07 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-16 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-16 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-16 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-07 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	$-10	05-10 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-10 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	Down	$-10	05-10 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	$-10	05-07 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$10	167	0	+167	Up	$-10	05-10 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-10 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$10	35	0	+35	Down	$-10	05-12 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	+$8	05-07 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	+$8	05-11 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 15:25:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x64fb29…
07-14 06:54:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x074049…
07-11 00:21:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x9bb235…
07-07 08:05:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x13f2ab…
07-07 07:37:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0xcc19eb…
07-07 07:27:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x632bcd…
07-02 07:59:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x43a48c…
06-12 07:25:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	78	56¢	$44	0x142e71…
06-08 09:52:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xb62ce6…
06-02 06:46:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x0ce3ef…
05-31 18:04:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x1e04fc…
05-24 07:27:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	137	86¢	$118	0x113aa0…
05-16 16:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0ff1d7…
05-16 16:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x2e6fc5…
05-16 16:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x22b795…
05-16 16:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xda2631…
05-16 16:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdd0337…
05-16 16:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfd3aab…
05-16 16:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x649727…
05-16 16:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc1400e…
05-16 16:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8cb028…
05-16 16:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x6f711d…
05-16 16:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb491e3…
05-16 16:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x51fa11…
05-16 16:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x059168…
05-16 15:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe5fef9…
05-16 15:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1b2ada…
05-16 15:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x44db96…
05-16 15:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfc4fb2…
05-16 15:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x807a90…
05-16 15:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa625fe…
05-16 15:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xae7dd7…
05-16 14:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc8611d…
05-16 14:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc3aac1…
05-13 16:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf55228…
05-13 16:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xceb9d7…
05-13 16:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1869f8…
05-12 16:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xdd1f94…
05-12 16:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xde24a8…
05-12 16:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf18bd9…
05-12 16:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb5f05c…
05-12 16:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xcb8d2c…
05-12 16:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf59197…
05-12 16:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb4fd3b…
05-12 00:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbacd9f…
05-12 00:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4b6989…
05-11 14:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x426f43…
05-11 14:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x46b887…
05-11 14:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x517ebf…
05-11 14:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x40858d…
05-11 14:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb0aaea…
05-10 14:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x1f8701…
05-10 14:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x762b4f…
05-10 14:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x4b5f50…
05-10 14:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5016b5…
05-10 14:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xaed093…
05-10 13:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x4f63f0…
05-10 13:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x160802…
05-10 06:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x88dd68…
05-10 06:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x6598c7…
05-07 17:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xf7a640…
05-07 17:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x1cf12c…
05-07 17:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xea1b12…
05-07 17:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb3e722…
05-07 17:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5d3992…
05-07 17:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc5f643…
05-07 16:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x30325a…
05-06 17:21:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x905fc7…
05-06 16:55:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x5ec539…