Apprehensive-Tiger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

Trades

518

lifetime

Volume

$670

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-01 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 58% +$8

Other

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will venezuela win the 2026 world baseball classic	2	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	03-18 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	7	$16	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$15	22	22	+0	open	—	05-04 01:14
btc updown 5m 1773964500	3	$11	16	11	+5	open	—	03-19 23:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	8	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	8	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	6	$9	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	8	$9	10	6	+4	open	—	05-04 03:59
btc updown 5m 1773875400	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	6	$7	8	3	+5	open	—	05-04 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	6	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 19:37
btc updown 5m 1773955200	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-19 21:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 01:33
btc updown 5m 1773964800	3	$6	54	4	+50	open	—	03-20 00:04
btc updown 5m 1773873000	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	6	$6	28	19	+9	open	—	05-04 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$6	9	4	+5	open	—	05-04 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 01:24
btc updown 5m 1773938400	6	$6	15	15	+0	open	—	03-19 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$5	14	3	+11	open	—	05-04 02:37
btc updown 5m 1773873300	2	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	03-18 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 16:28
btc updown 5m 1773874800	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	03-18 23:04
btc updown 5m 1773872700	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	03-18 22:26
btc updown 5m 1773875100	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-18 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 17:17:17	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x1dc553…
07-01 14:19:26	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x96f8e7…
06-30 03:55:05	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x357733…
06-30 01:44:56	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5f5e2a…
06-23 13:48:11	btc updown 5m 1782222300	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa8201e…
06-23 13:48:02	btc updown 5m 1782222300	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6c0f51…
06-15 01:56:13	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7b9953…
06-15 01:51:24	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbf071c…
06-15 01:31:06	btc updown 5m 1781487000	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x08f40b…
06-15 01:25:54	btc updown 5m 1781486700	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xba458c…
06-15 01:23:54	btc updown 5m 1781486400	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x362212…
06-15 01:23:34	btc updown 5m 1781486400	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6a092b…
06-15 01:17:01	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa01c62…
05-16 13:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x03042e…
05-16 13:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9cc5a1…
05-15 19:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc60497…
05-15 18:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x47ca01…
05-15 18:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8fbf4e…
05-14 18:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xb55f45…
05-14 18:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x82e73d…
05-13 21:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xd16b88…
05-13 21:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcc324a…
05-13 20:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xbba0e2…
05-13 20:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb11d61…
05-13 20:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x0fd376…
05-13 19:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5e6f86…
05-13 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x365c48…
05-13 17:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x540b4f…
05-13 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xfcf8a4…
05-13 16:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7d3843…
05-13 16:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xc1ef3d…
05-13 16:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa0e2fc…
05-13 16:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x06ce5b…
05-12 23:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x839aaa…
05-12 23:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x7646d3…
05-12 23:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xabb795…
05-12 23:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x479013…
05-12 23:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xab79a7…
05-12 23:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc847da…
05-12 23:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x1739c4…
05-12 23:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5075d0…
05-12 23:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x398751…
05-12 23:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x3e634a…
05-12 23:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x819c4a…
05-12 01:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x5a7c7d…
05-12 01:32:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x390212…
05-12 01:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xa08ace…
05-12 01:31:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3301f0…
05-12 01:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xf52055…
05-12 01:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x171896…
05-12 01:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xc9428c…
05-12 01:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x659df4…
05-12 01:25:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd78374…
05-12 01:20:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1f4afb…
05-12 01:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9e1aba…
05-12 01:17:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xe9edda…
05-12 01:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8e5460…
05-12 01:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xc6c8ce…
05-12 01:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x692dbd…
05-12 01:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x32a18d…
05-12 01:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7e3a97…
05-12 01:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xbe774d…
05-12 01:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0af5da…
05-11 20:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x7f399c…
05-11 20:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd6bd3f…
05-11 20:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x3d6aef…
05-11 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa83de4…
05-11 18:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xfc451f…
05-11 18:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe620c3…
05-11 17:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x5cf572…
05-11 17:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x737f11…
05-11 17:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x8cf7d1…
05-11 17:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x91c00b…
05-11 17:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xf9af1a…
05-11 17:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x82bf40…
05-11 17:54:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$0	0xc561c6…
05-11 13:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x770c5f…
05-10 16:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xc3de1e…
05-10 16:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x91adae…
05-10 16:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xa34995…
05-10 16:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x349f93…
05-10 16:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1a3a58…
05-10 16:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3508f3…
05-10 16:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x1deee1…
05-10 16:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9d7636…
05-10 16:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xf6f647…
05-10 16:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8dbb5e…
05-10 16:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x3cc829…
05-10 15:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf52f70…
05-10 01:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4a3442…
05-10 01:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3fe885…
05-10 01:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x9187a6…
05-10 01:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe4d2e1…
05-09 00:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x893ec4…
05-09 00:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb65442…
05-09 00:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc69768…
05-09 00:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x764d95…
05-09 00:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb24afd…
05-09 00:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xf81e4e…
05-09 00:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7009bd…