Incredible-Beach — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

Trades

326

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-15 22:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 61% $-2

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$28	22	22	+0	open	—	05-15 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	6	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	05-03 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$20	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$20	22	22	+0	open	—	05-03 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$19	22	22	+0	open	—	05-04 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	05-03 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	6	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	5	$14	22	13	+9	open	—	05-03 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$12	15	9	+6	open	—	05-03 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 22:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x922670…
05-15 22:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2dd2bf…
05-15 20:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x31f554…
05-15 20:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x511fd7…
05-15 20:47:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xbf3e74…
05-15 20:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xa1887b…
05-15 20:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6c64d3…
05-15 20:24:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x630695…
05-15 20:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x989c72…
05-15 20:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x0cc4fd…
05-15 20:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf0b323…
05-15 20:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x79635e…
05-15 20:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcb3fa8…
05-15 20:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x3f3cfe…
05-15 20:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x66815f…
05-15 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x46ebb3…
05-15 19:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xf43397…
05-15 19:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2a32ae…
05-15 19:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x6e085c…
05-15 19:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb02ecb…
05-15 19:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xc252a8…
05-15 19:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x214341…
05-15 18:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x474f29…
05-15 18:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x845342…
05-15 17:01:39	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x83d68e…
05-15 16:25:07	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x1637ee…
05-15 16:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x00fece…
05-15 16:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x76cede…
05-15 16:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x402736…
05-15 16:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x645b52…
05-15 16:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbef4ef…
05-15 16:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xc1a30a…
05-15 16:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3dc89c…
05-08 03:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x535924…
05-08 03:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe93708…
05-07 16:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x92439b…
05-06 21:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0xf52293…
05-06 21:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xee1384…
05-06 21:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xee0bf5…
05-06 21:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x1a751d…
05-06 21:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x36d69d…
05-06 21:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x7658eb…
05-06 21:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x596a13…
05-06 21:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x78978c…
05-06 20:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xc7b2fe…
05-06 20:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb89d71…
05-06 20:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x0e1201…
05-06 20:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xab898f…
05-06 20:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xeca5ec…
05-06 20:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x871db5…
05-06 19:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x128d99…
05-06 19:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc5cafd…
05-06 19:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xbea3ee…
05-06 19:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x20d9b8…
05-06 16:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x789f04…
05-06 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0b9985…
05-06 16:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x2b3938…
05-06 16:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xc84b4a…
05-06 15:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xb75c6b…
05-06 15:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x13d018…
05-06 15:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x0c6dbe…
05-06 15:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x0bab08…
05-06 15:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xba8945…
05-06 15:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xff6fad…
05-06 15:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xa70c61…
05-06 15:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x6dc0f5…
05-06 15:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xa9081e…
05-06 15:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x567a3f…
05-05 15:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x5e440f…
05-05 15:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x539f59…
05-05 14:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x3dca33…
05-05 14:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x02a9a4…
05-04 17:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x029dcc…
05-04 17:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x18a832…
05-04 17:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x7300e9…
05-04 17:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x31732c…
05-04 14:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xfe59f2…
05-04 14:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x8281dc…
05-04 14:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xa1666c…
05-04 14:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x0d7bb5…
05-04 14:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x8bb506…
05-04 14:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2f96b7…
05-04 14:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xdc28b6…
05-04 14:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb7d0da…
05-04 14:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x6ec9d4…
05-04 14:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc28a0c…
05-04 14:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x57a792…
05-04 14:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x8fc536…
05-04 14:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x698cfa…
05-04 14:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcaad1d…
05-04 14:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x07ce8f…
05-04 14:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4a564d…
05-04 14:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0xb30055…
05-04 14:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x121890…
05-04 14:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x393c47…
05-04 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x789b6c…
05-04 13:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xadbce6…
05-04 13:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x27d2e8…
05-04 13:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0xbae738…
05-04 13:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x69f8cd…