Puzzling-Tobacco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$221

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$242

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-24 04:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 25% $-146

Politics

30% 0% $-75

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$3.4K	1,944	1,944	+0	open	—	05-06 11:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$2.1K	1,074	1,074	+0	open	—	05-24 04:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$1.9K	1,070	1,070	+0	No	$-75	05-07 18:54
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	5	$1.7K	1,066	1,066	+0	open	—	04-28 04:57
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$1.7K	1,141	1,141	+0	open	—	04-28 06:57
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	6	$1.2K	786	786	+0	open	—	04-28 12:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$1.1K	788	788	+0	open	—	05-06 08:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$1.0K	562	562	+0	open	—	05-24 04:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$970	634	634	+0	open	—	04-30 11:49
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$878	455	455	+0	open	—	04-30 12:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$792	421	421	+0	open	—	05-04 02:25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$663	614	614	+0	open	—	04-30 07:11
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$565	349	349	+0	open	—	04-29 10:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$535	275	275	+0	open	—	05-24 04:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$520	857	857	+0	open	—	04-29 11:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$500	526	0	+526	open	—	05-04 01:53
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$333	300	300	+0	open	—	04-28 13:46
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$231	300	300	+0	open	—	04-28 13:10
Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li	10	$207	436	436	+0	Lizette Cabrera	+$7	05-06 05:45
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	16	$202	241	241	+0	Under	$-0	05-06 09:50
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	2	$152	163	163	+0	Team WE	$-50	05-06 09:40
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	5	$103	645	0	+645	Gen.G	$-103	05-06 09:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 04:33:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	304	99¢	$299	0xf39ca8…
05-24 04:33:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	346	99¢	$341	0x1684bd…
05-24 04:24:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	423	99¢	$419	0x49276e…
05-24 04:20:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	268	98¢	$262	0x1717e4…
05-24 04:20:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$274	0xdc982c…
05-24 04:20:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	294	98¢	$288	0x85a318…
05-13 18:35:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	1,074	93¢	$1,001	0x0e8e94…
05-07 18:54:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1,070	87¢	$930	0xf259f9…
05-07 18:46:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1,070	94¢	$1,005	0x3d5354…
05-06 11:04:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	588	85¢	$500	0xfc4224…
05-06 09:50:24	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	241	42¢	$101	0xd99953…
05-06 09:40:04	LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	SELL	163	31¢	$51	0xc3037f…
05-06 09:38:22	LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	163	62¢	$101	0xd07553…
05-06 09:18:50	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x310c8e…
05-06 09:18:38	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x546324…
05-06 09:18:26	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0x6258a1…
05-06 09:18:24	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x7b2ea9…
05-06 09:18:02	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	600	16¢	$96	0x3c6973…
05-06 08:52:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	121	77¢	$93	0x2e11e6…
05-06 08:04:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0xd9acb7…
05-06 07:48:58	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	176	42¢	$74	0x686049…
05-06 07:45:06	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7d01fb…
05-06 07:42:42	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x06c0c2…
05-06 07:35:58	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfbcc4d…
05-06 07:21:14	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0x28312b…
05-06 07:20:12	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xf56e89…
05-06 07:17:18	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x64b275…
05-06 07:17:14	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc1deec…
05-06 07:17:08	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xccf9dd…
05-06 07:17:08	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc58db1…
05-06 07:16:48	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x09504f…
05-06 07:16:46	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe3d131…
05-06 07:16:46	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa41c92…
05-06 07:16:46	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7bafa5…
05-06 07:16:32	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa941ab…
05-06 05:45:34	Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	SELL	172	27¢	$47	0x435bfc…
05-06 05:38:46	Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xcca368…
05-06 05:38:46	Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	BUY	54	29¢	$16	0x6b233f…
05-06 05:38:46	Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x3b5954…
05-06 05:38:44	Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0xe63d80…
05-06 05:38:44	Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0x283f29…
05-06 05:38:40	Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x8ca011…
05-06 05:16:02	Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	SELL	263	23¢	$61	0x5c5436…
05-06 05:08:12	Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	BUY	261	19¢	$50	0xa71dd1…
05-06 05:08:00	Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li	Zongyu Li	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x755c05…
05-04 02:25:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	421	93¢	$392	0x8efdd8…
05-04 02:18:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0xe15c2b…
05-04 01:53:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x96ef67…
05-01 13:28:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	523	90¢	$471	0x34cab4…
05-01 13:28:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x844943…
05-01 03:44:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x1c2ac8…
05-01 03:41:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	251	95¢	$239	0x3c99ff…
04-30 12:46:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	455	99¢	$451	0x892a7d…
04-30 11:49:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	634	82¢	$520	0x3f0051…
04-30 07:11:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	614	51¢	$313	0x0cbb3d…
04-29 23:26:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	667	72¢	$480	0x80b60c…
04-29 11:46:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	857	26¢	$220	0xf2b80c…
04-29 10:49:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	196	57¢	$112	0xdde23a…
04-29 10:46:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	418	57¢	$238	0xd42a10…
04-29 10:39:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	349	76¢	$265	0xfeb55e…
04-29 03:37:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x974d67…
04-29 03:37:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	348	86¢	$300	0x21bb11…
04-29 02:27:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	833	84¢	$700	0xe1ec84…
04-28 14:53:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	667	60¢	$400	0x3c46c7…
04-28 14:53:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x1a6fcc…
04-28 13:46:42	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	300	57¢	$171	0xf75086…
04-28 13:28:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	634	71¢	$450	0x7471be…
04-28 13:21:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	857	35¢	$300	0xf84bbe…
04-28 13:10:46	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	300	37¢	$111	0xb191c6…
04-28 12:55:00	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	455	94¢	$428	0xf380ef…
04-28 12:48:20	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x2cf0ca…
04-28 12:48:18	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x27bdc9…
04-28 12:47:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	833	84¢	$700	0x2c9cea…
04-28 12:27:30	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	486	50¢	$244	0xf15cc1…
04-28 12:27:24	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	50¢	$150	0x5b708e…
04-28 06:57:08	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	1,141	78¢	$891	0x5e145a…
04-28 05:53:30	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	1,141	74¢	$845	0xb0a4f1…
04-28 05:27:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	377	97¢	$367	0x357e09…
04-28 05:27:30	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xb25d94…
04-28 05:27:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	97¢	$302	0x6afd05…
04-28 05:27:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x4473fa…
04-28 04:57:08	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	SELL	187	79¢	$148	0xc12674…
04-28 04:57:08	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	SELL	61	79¢	$49	0x78ae7c…
04-28 04:57:06	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	SELL	210	79¢	$166	0x035424…
04-28 04:57:06	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	SELL	608	79¢	$480	0x00a387…
04-28 04:51:38	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	BUY	1,066	84¢	$896	0xe5fe28…