Cautious-Hobbit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$970

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-06 01:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

59% 33% $-28

Other

34% — —

Crypto

7% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Canadiens vs. Lightning	3	$172	122	122	+0	open	—	05-04 01:05
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	5	$140	120	120	+0	open	—	06-11 03:37
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$63	43	43	+0	Canadiens	+$23	05-09 02:18
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$60	176	0	+176	open	—	07-01 19:58
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$35	83	0	+83	open	—	06-30 00:58
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	2	$33	104	0	+104	open	—	05-26 00:51
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 2pt5	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	07-01 23:22
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$30	220	0	+220	open	—	07-06 01:40
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$30	454	0	+454	Sabres	$-30	05-07 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$25	58	0	+58	open	—	05-01 02:50
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$25	112	0	+112	open	—	07-04 00:00
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$22	76	0	+76	open	—	06-29 22:56
cfl tor mtl 2026 06 12	1	$21	0	125	-125	open	—	06-13 01:44
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 01:05
Sabres vs. Canadiens	4	$21	63	0	+63	Sabres	$-21	05-13 02:01
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	1	$20	100	0	+100	open	—	07-04 01:33
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	06-30 17:40
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$20	333	0	+333	open	—	05-28 01:14
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	05-18 19:52
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	06-13 22:15
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$15	48	0	+48	open	—	07-05 19:50
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$15	56	0	+56	open	—	07-02 23:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 1?	2	$11	911	0	+911	open	—	05-01 03:08
Lightning vs. Canadiens	2	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	04-26 20:18
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	1	$10	125	0	+125	open	—	05-04 22:27
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	06-21 15:30
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	07-01 00:07
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$10	59	0	+59	open	—	07-01 23:20
Oilers vs. Ducks	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-01 02:42
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-24 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 01:40:01	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xdd5a7b…
07-06 01:27:07	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x52283e…
07-05 19:50:47	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xcdc626…
07-04 01:33:05	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Ghana	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xeaa6d6…
07-04 00:00:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0x72755c…
07-03 23:40:49	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfc79ca…
07-02 23:57:26	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xb46df6…
07-01 23:22:16	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 2pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x54fcaf…
07-01 23:20:37	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc77596…
07-01 19:58:46	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	176	34¢	$60	0xfe6c49…
07-01 00:07:28	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x76c535…
06-30 17:40:43	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x0c5bd2…
06-30 00:58:32	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	83	42¢	$35	0xbcf513…
06-29 22:56:05	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xafed2c…
06-29 22:55:52	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x527a76…
06-29 22:31:28	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xda3120…
06-21 15:30:02	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf78302…
06-13 22:15:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xee9e7d…
06-13 01:44:42	cfl tor mtl 2026 06 12	Toronto Argonauts	SELL	125	17¢	$21	0x125ccf…
06-11 03:37:37	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x75b3be…
06-11 02:40:04	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x961717…
06-11 02:39:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x1615e5…
06-11 01:54:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0xfd2c24…
06-11 00:40:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xcf67a1…
05-28 01:14:54	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x6def38…
05-26 00:51:19	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x5b8f21…
05-25 20:26:50	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x6c113f…
05-18 19:52:50	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xeb24f4…
05-13 02:01:15	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb2ef9b…
05-13 01:42:23	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8e8b31…
05-12 23:35:37	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6c0cae…
05-12 22:48:59	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbd1079…
05-09 02:18:29	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xa0be41…
05-08 22:36:17	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x71a86a…
05-07 01:13:06	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0x1748ca…
05-07 01:12:10	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	293	7¢	$20	0xf8dad9…
05-04 22:27:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x522b79…
05-04 20:59:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfb0384…
05-04 20:58:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc275fe…
05-04 20:58:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x44a403…
05-04 01:05:44	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xd573b7…
05-04 01:05:06	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa7304f…
05-04 00:00:40	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xecc40b…
05-03 22:08:34	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x804155…
05-01 03:09:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x909dba…
05-01 03:09:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	151	1¢	$1	0xb723d4…
05-01 03:08:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	656	2¢	$10	0x917eaa…
05-01 03:08:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	255	0¢	$1	0x9978fb…
05-01 02:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x11c77e…
05-01 02:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x6e3ed4…
05-01 02:42:18	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf7120c…
04-26 20:18:12	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeb384d…
04-26 17:15:12	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xdc55a8…
04-24 19:24:38	eth updown 15m 1777058100	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfbd212…
04-24 19:22:32	eth updown 15m 1777058100	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4144e8…
04-24 19:08:54	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x75429a…
04-24 19:08:42	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x67adc3…
04-24 19:08:18	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x756d33…
04-24 19:08:02	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd3c709…
04-24 01:20:30	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x7e558f…
04-24 01:19:20	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xdad15e…
04-24 00:30:46	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1a2994…
04-24 00:24:36	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb2d716…
04-24 00:17:18	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 23	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x6b9b38…
04-23 23:22:44	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x799408…
04-23 23:22:30	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xa787e3…
04-23 23:10:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf06d0a…