Graceful-Alder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$705

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

514

Trades

4,035

lifetime

Volume

$58.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-07 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% +$705

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 868 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	10	$311	623	+623	open	—	05-03 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	8	$268	517	+517	open	—	05-04 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	8	$259	500	+500	open	—	05-04 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	8	$242	507	+507	open	—	05-03 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	19	$224	421	+421	open	—	04-29 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	16	$215	455	+455	Up	$-7	05-06 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	16	$207	420	+420	open	—	04-28 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	7	$207	414	+414	open	—	05-03 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	7	$201	391	+391	open	—	05-03 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	8	$196	371	+371	open	—	05-03 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	11	$182	356	+356	Up	$-25	05-06 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	12	$171	347	+347	Up	+$3	05-06 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$164	345	+345	open	—	05-03 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	14	$157	316	+316	open	—	04-28 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	12	$157	328	+328	open	—	05-01 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	10	$156	323	+323	Up	+$6	05-06 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	10	$149	252	+252	open	—	05-03 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	10	$147	314	+314	Up	+$10	05-06 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	8	$146	295	+295	open	—	05-04 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	8	$142	300	+300	open	—	05-04 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	10	$136	275	+275	open	—	05-01 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	10	$136	268	+268	open	—	05-01 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	10	$135	262	+262	open	—	04-28 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	10	$135	266	+266	open	—	05-01 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$134	252	+252	open	—	05-03 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	12	$133	259	+259	open	—	04-28 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	9	$133	277	+277	Down	$-8	05-06 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	10	$132	262	+262	open	—	04-28 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	10	$132	269	+269	open	—	04-29 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$132	252	+252	open	—	05-03 23:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 02:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0xd15d00…
05-07 02:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xf92852…
05-07 02:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xf6cdce…
05-07 02:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x4d00d8…
05-07 02:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x460034…
05-07 02:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xb1b4a2…
05-07 02:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x4b5db4…
05-07 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0xe6d70a…
05-07 01:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0x24a548…
05-07 01:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x977995…
05-07 01:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x90a96f…
05-07 01:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x3e338d…
05-07 01:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0x14b9a2…
05-07 01:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x6b2120…
05-07 01:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x3633bf…
05-07 01:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x6d9281…
05-07 01:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x0bdc79…
05-07 01:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x01a723…
05-07 01:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x07d57d…
05-07 01:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x85fd8e…
05-07 01:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x56ba26…
05-07 01:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	58¢	$15	0x53658c…
05-07 01:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x06bd1e…
05-07 01:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x8afbb4…
05-07 01:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0xb0ffaa…
05-07 01:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0x543df6…
05-07 01:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x95c5c3…
05-07 01:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0xa813d6…
05-07 01:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x1a4cc0…
05-07 01:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xe45dff…
05-07 01:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xeadb8d…
05-07 01:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xfb1638…
05-07 01:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x6c3c8a…
05-07 01:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xc88256…
05-07 01:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x713196…
05-07 01:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x22e201…
05-07 01:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	46¢	$13	0xe94608…
05-07 01:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x53c141…
05-07 01:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x158cf8…
05-07 01:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x514e44…
05-07 01:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	57¢	$15	0xeb9ef5…
05-07 01:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x30b0d7…
05-07 01:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x8f8eab…
05-07 01:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x80ce42…
05-07 01:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0x23880d…
05-07 01:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$13	0x1cd9fa…
05-07 01:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0xbb7a8c…
05-07 01:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	58¢	$15	0x63c724…
05-07 01:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x463ab5…
05-07 01:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x2b5e57…
05-07 01:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x70ff2a…
05-07 01:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	47¢	$12	0x30f5c6…
05-07 01:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xbce58b…
05-07 01:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0x3a6f5c…
05-07 01:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x3f185a…
05-07 01:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0xfb05a9…
05-07 01:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x531ac5…
05-07 01:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x54264d…
05-07 01:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x8475e7…
05-07 01:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xf5ce27…
05-07 01:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0x53bee6…
05-07 01:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xdb2bbc…
05-07 01:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xcb02dc…
05-07 01:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x11c934…
05-07 01:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0xbed2b1…
05-07 01:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	57¢	$15	0x09f499…
05-07 01:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0x4ccc5e…
05-07 01:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$15	0x7ed854…
05-07 00:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0xb7238a…
05-07 00:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0x655f19…
05-07 00:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	54¢	$14	0xb8842c…
05-07 00:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0x2357fc…
05-07 00:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xabf39b…
05-07 00:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x914bd9…
05-07 00:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xf86751…
05-07 00:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x881c78…
05-07 00:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xdcd2e5…
05-07 00:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0x630cfe…
05-07 00:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x882bf9…
05-07 00:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x98660f…
05-07 00:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xec4345…
05-07 00:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0x6b877f…
05-07 00:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x3e1c5b…
05-07 00:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xc0bfc4…
05-07 00:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x5ef22b…
05-07 00:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x8a35b6…
05-07 00:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xff4578…
05-07 00:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x76e7a9…
05-07 00:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	47¢	$12	0x8528bf…
05-07 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0xbba973…
05-07 00:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x747918…
05-07 00:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0xcce039…
05-07 00:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x9b86a2…
05-07 00:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x8de30e…
05-07 00:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xb2bfbe…
05-07 00:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xcd579b…
05-07 00:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x221bb3…
05-07 00:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0xaefa0a…
05-07 00:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	65¢	$17	0xa95d1c…
05-07 00:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xd73e9e…