Classic-Marketing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$145

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-16 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 58% +$2

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$19	21	21	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 22:47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$4	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$4	22	22	+0	open	—	05-03 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 21:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-27 15:29
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	2	$2	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$1	12	0	+12	Down	$-1	05-10 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-09 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$1	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-25 08:27
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-25?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-25 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-05 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 18:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 13:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9e6905…
05-15 21:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xb1f6f2…
05-15 21:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8b7f4c…
05-15 21:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x59bcae…
05-10 22:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xdbb482…
05-10 22:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x65173b…
05-10 22:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1f8682…
05-10 22:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x79cd6b…
05-10 22:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xfce328…
05-10 22:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x478fde…
05-10 22:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x4402b2…
05-09 18:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x0e6f5e…
05-09 18:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2276e9…
05-09 18:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x6411d7…
05-09 18:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x71075c…
05-09 18:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xb34e67…
05-09 18:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa5ec36…
05-09 18:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x07820d…
05-09 18:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5fde31…
05-09 18:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x9ecc2d…
05-09 18:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x46b91d…
05-09 18:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x16b40b…
05-09 18:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0x905a3f…
05-09 18:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x53442c…
05-05 19:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x93190d…
05-05 19:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xaa48bc…
05-05 19:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x55af47…
05-05 19:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x073d5c…
05-05 19:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x4f5e35…
05-05 19:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x557664…
05-05 19:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5e506d…
05-03 21:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa0f03d…
05-03 21:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x30c3b6…
05-03 21:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x5de9a7…
05-03 21:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdd68b1…
05-03 21:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x566186…
05-03 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1e075d…
05-03 21:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x3025c0…
05-03 21:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x106ee3…
05-03 21:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x124bff…
05-03 21:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf6e514…
05-03 21:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ac20d…
05-03 21:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x00115c…
05-01 06:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x66e552…
05-01 06:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7ca42f…
05-01 06:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x6a0ccb…
05-01 06:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc50cb3…
05-01 06:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4bb347…
05-01 06:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x23d851…
05-01 00:03:06	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xc042b5…
04-30 23:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x52234d…
04-30 23:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x28f0c4…
04-30 23:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb6916b…
04-30 19:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0794b1…
04-30 19:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9e5a7a…
04-30 18:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0x9a8b05…
04-30 18:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x994a89…
04-30 18:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x48b3b1…
04-30 18:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1c7e08…
04-30 18:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xee0a03…
04-30 18:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x84a8d7…
04-30 18:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb5b00e…
04-30 18:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf14f97…
04-30 18:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6e3046…
04-29 21:09:36	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7359aa…
04-27 15:29:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe5c26c…
04-25 16:19:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xde1006…
04-25 16:10:02	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x188910…
04-25 14:02:32	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x98f9ab…
04-25 08:43:36	Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x04a6ad…
04-25 08:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe0bbda…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	34	$25.6K	1,215	05-16 13:55
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	34	$9.48K	1,494	05-16 13:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	33	$73.3K	2,546	05-16 13:54
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	33	$26.2K	3,891	05-16 13:54
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	33	$7.98K	2,381	05-16 13:54
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	33	$7.71K	1,295	05-16 13:54
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	33	$7.71K	2,287	05-16 13:54
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	33	$7.52K	311	05-16 13:51