Authentic-Statement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,705

lifetime

Volume

$103.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-27 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

70% 67% +$57

Other

27% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	66	$3.8K	4,935	5,053	-119	open	—	04-23 05:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	35	$3.5K	2,960	2,960	+0	open	—	04-21 20:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$3.3K	2,406	2,406	+0	open	—	07-07 21:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$3.2K	1,947	1,947	+0	open	—	07-03 14:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	18	$2.7K	1,959	1,959	+0	open	—	04-21 08:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$2.6K	1,760	1,760	+0	open	—	05-24 06:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	35	$2.4K	2,494	2,494	+0	open	—	04-21 08:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	15	$2.3K	1,390	1,390	+0	open	—	06-18 19:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	40	$2.3K	4,463	4,463	+0	open	—	07-10 22:00
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	17	$2.2K	2,199	2,199	+0	open	—	04-21 20:46
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	5	$1.8K	1,469	1,469	+0	open	—	06-11 12:35
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	5	$1.8K	1,166	1,166	+0	open	—	06-10 22:50
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	60	$1.7K	2,858	2,520	+338	open	—	03-08 23:43
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$1.7K	1,192	1,192	+0	open	—	06-08 15:47
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	43	$1.6K	1,765	1,722	+43	open	—	02-12 20:24
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	63	$1.5K	4,168	4,318	-150	open	—	04-08 16:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	27	$1.4K	2,209	3,566	-1,357	open	—	06-12 17:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$1.4K	2,678	2,921	-243	open	—	05-29 15:15
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	20	$1.3K	1,752	989	+763	open	—	04-16 18:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,117	1,117	+0	open	—	04-19 19:13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	10	$1.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	04-12 05:36
will israel strike lebanon on february 26 2026	24	$1.2K	1,211	1,511	-300	open	—	02-26 12:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	9	$1.2K	710	710	+0	open	—	04-19 16:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$1.1K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	04-21 08:47
will israel strike gaza on january 15 2026	62	$1.0K	2,869	3,069	-200	open	—	01-16 06:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	16	$1.0K	1,994	1,994	+0	open	—	04-30 12:24
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	17	$985	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	04-02 15:38
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	10	$962	1,157	1,157	+0	open	—	02-27 10:44
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	3	$949	1,240	1,240	+0	open	—	02-28 06:51
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	45	$934	5,313	5,308	+5	open	—	04-13 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 16:41:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	934	3¢	$28	0xf19605…
07-27 16:33:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xf06296…
07-27 16:32:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x8d020a…
07-27 16:32:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	74	5¢	$3	0x6c09aa…
07-27 16:29:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xfff105…
07-27 16:28:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xada9ef…
07-27 16:27:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	133	9¢	$12	0x358c90…
07-27 16:27:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0xd0e7dd…
07-27 16:22:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	706	11¢	$78	0x35da43…
07-27 16:10:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xae1fa0…
07-27 16:03:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	85	8¢	$7	0x06c858…
07-27 15:55:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x4bd53b…
07-27 15:54:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x35b3a1…
07-27 15:52:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	150	11¢	$16	0x62ec23…
07-27 15:45:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x779912…
07-27 15:45:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x7339cd…
07-23 19:42:49	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0xe7be97…
07-23 18:53:40	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xa016da…
07-23 18:26:25	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	508	43¢	$218	0x59de8e…
07-23 15:46:06	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xdad471…
07-23 15:43:45	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	250	28¢	$70	0x832d2f…
07-23 06:19:01	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x8e785e…
07-23 06:11:57	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xb67d16…
07-21 23:08:04	btc updown 5m 1784675400	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xa70ed1…
07-21 23:08:04	btc updown 5m 1784675400	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x4bf593…
07-21 22:51:13	btc updown 5m 1784674500	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x5d22ce…
07-21 22:51:09	btc updown 5m 1784674500	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x52edf4…
07-21 22:51:06	btc updown 5m 1784674500	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xba0405…
07-21 22:42:46	btc updown 5m 1784673900	Up	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0xb3c3db…
07-21 22:42:46	btc updown 5m 1784673900	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x834d7a…
07-21 22:27:28	btc updown 5m 1784673000	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x1d4918…
07-21 22:23:54	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xc0e8cb…
07-21 22:23:01	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xa6ac70…
07-21 22:22:34	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x507765…
07-21 22:22:18	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x3e1f11…
07-21 22:22:15	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x075585…
07-21 22:22:10	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xad1afc…
07-21 22:18:33	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xde38e2…
07-21 17:43:36	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x5ef3b2…
07-21 17:43:18	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xad599f…
07-21 17:43:13	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x0c8316…
07-21 17:30:52	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xddfd5f…
07-21 17:28:28	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	148	21¢	$31	0x0605c4…
07-21 17:16:04	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	50	27¢	$13	0x86ccaf…
07-21 17:15:24	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x9437c1…
07-21 17:15:18	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x4634c2…
07-21 08:32:46	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	125	38¢	$47	0xc80e8c…
07-21 08:32:16	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x372c85…
07-20 21:55:03	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	500	6¢	$31	0x3c8c33…
07-20 20:43:30	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	500	5¢	$27	0x28449a…
07-20 18:41:37	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	25	10¢	$3	0x2975dc…
07-20 18:41:25	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x7c290e…
07-20 18:41:25	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x56798c…
07-20 18:41:25	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x55f1c8…
07-20 18:41:22	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	210	10¢	$21	0x156ef8…
07-20 18:41:21	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0x0648d7…
07-20 18:41:13	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xd7b669…
07-20 18:41:12	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0x7c05cc…
07-20 18:41:10	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xe2bec5…
07-20 18:41:10	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0x807b53…
07-20 18:39:43	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	210	10¢	$21	0x1880d9…
07-20 14:48:49	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	153	5¢	$8	0x4e8c1d…
07-20 14:45:52	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x39e2b4…
07-20 14:39:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	69¢	$37	0x07e550…
07-20 14:38:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	69¢	$37	0xbfd824…
07-20 13:52:36	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x245421…
07-20 13:50:58	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x08712f…
07-20 13:03:34	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfbaa3d…
07-20 13:01:49	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x4f9fcc…
07-20 13:00:19	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x589ff6…
07-20 12:56:24	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0x538478…
07-20 12:47:55	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xee3d50…
07-20 12:44:16	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbfb73e…
07-20 10:02:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	1,180	0¢	$6	0xeae117…
07-20 09:58:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1,180	1¢	$7	0xe291b4…
07-17 11:51:33	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x0694c6…
07-17 11:51:27	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	285	5¢	$14	0xab0551…
07-17 11:50:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	SELL	293	36¢	$106	0x74c41d…
07-17 09:56:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x620478…
07-17 09:41:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x53716c…
07-17 09:34:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xbc29de…
07-17 09:34:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x436098…
07-17 09:34:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x850b61…
07-17 09:27:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc15042…
07-17 09:25:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	SELL	140	32¢	$45	0x9252cc…
07-17 09:24:19	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x926998…
07-17 09:16:34	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$15	0x38d1cb…
07-17 08:53:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x21d8d1…
07-17 08:53:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xe8e631…
07-17 08:41:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xaeb26f…
07-17 08:41:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xa9d199…
07-17 08:41:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x4b2405…
07-17 08:38:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x17e6cb…
07-17 08:31:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xb08e71…
07-17 08:05:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xfa6b98…
07-17 08:05:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x01e180…
07-17 08:05:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x0af93f…
07-17 07:11:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xd6491d…
07-17 07:11:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xf54ef7…
07-17 06:39:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xb6ef04…