Authentic-Statement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,768

lifetime

Volume

$110.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-18 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

69% 67% +$57

Other

28% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	66	$3.8K	4,935	5,053	-119	open	—	04-23 05:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	35	$3.5K	2,960	2,960	+0	open	—	04-21 20:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$3.3K	2,406	2,406	+0	open	—	07-07 21:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$3.2K	1,947	1,947	+0	open	—	07-03 14:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	10	$2.9K	1,775	1,775	+0	open	—	08-09 05:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	18	$2.7K	1,959	1,959	+0	open	—	04-21 08:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$2.6K	1,760	1,760	+0	open	—	05-24 06:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	35	$2.4K	2,494	2,494	+0	open	—	04-21 08:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	15	$2.3K	1,390	1,390	+0	open	—	06-18 19:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	40	$2.3K	4,463	4,463	+0	open	—	07-10 22:00
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	17	$2.2K	2,199	2,199	+0	open	—	04-21 20:46
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	5	$1.8K	1,469	1,469	+0	open	—	06-11 12:35
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	5	$1.8K	1,166	1,166	+0	open	—	06-10 22:50
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	60	$1.7K	2,858	2,520	+338	open	—	03-08 23:43
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$1.7K	1,192	1,192	+0	open	—	06-08 15:47
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	43	$1.6K	1,765	1,722	+43	open	—	02-12 20:24
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	63	$1.5K	4,168	4,318	-150	open	—	04-08 16:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	27	$1.4K	2,209	3,566	-1,357	open	—	06-12 17:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$1.4K	2,678	2,921	-243	open	—	05-29 15:15
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	20	$1.3K	1,752	989	+763	open	—	04-16 18:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,117	1,117	+0	open	—	04-19 19:13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	10	$1.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	04-12 05:36
will israel strike lebanon on february 26 2026	24	$1.2K	1,211	1,511	-300	open	—	02-26 12:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	9	$1.2K	710	710	+0	open	—	04-19 16:38
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	3	$1.1K	910	910	+0	open	—	08-07 05:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$1.1K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	04-21 08:47
will israel strike gaza on january 15 2026	62	$1.0K	2,869	3,069	-200	open	—	01-16 06:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	5	$1.0K	550	550	+0	open	—	08-09 06:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	16	$1.0K	1,994	1,994	+0	open	—	04-30 12:24
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	17	$985	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	04-02 15:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 17:20:15	will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	No	SELL	93	25¢	$23	0xae8d4b…
08-18 17:19:45	will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xb51b4d…
08-18 17:00:00	will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x815e8f…
08-11 15:25:09	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x933791…
08-09 11:47:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	253	31¢	$79	0x207838…
08-09 11:33:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	76	38¢	$29	0x13591d…
08-09 11:29:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0x461a4c…
08-09 11:28:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	116	40¢	$47	0xc1a8a2…
08-09 11:28:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0x7c9e82…
08-09 06:28:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	550	95¢	$522	0x8ef754…
08-09 06:28:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	700	8¢	$56	0xd51495…
08-09 05:17:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	SELL	604	13¢	$80	0xa4791c…
08-09 05:08:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	529	92¢	$486	0xcc98a8…
08-09 05:04:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	975	85¢	$829	0xadc672…
08-09 05:02:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	1,300	1¢	$10	0x89e4f1…
08-08 21:20:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	BUY	604	9¢	$54	0x335d2b…
08-08 19:20:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	107	12¢	$13	0x72152b…
08-08 19:20:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	114	12¢	$14	0xdb89a4…
08-08 19:18:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x8ce9f0…
08-08 19:00:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	275	80¢	$220	0x96b671…
08-08 19:00:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9cb78a…
08-08 19:00:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xf798d6…
08-08 19:00:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	286	80¢	$229	0xc898d3…
08-08 19:00:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xbb3e39…
08-08 18:48:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$21	0x2510e6…
08-08 17:17:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	267	88¢	$235	0xd698e1…
08-08 17:17:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	262	87¢	$228	0x206308…
08-08 17:07:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	115	79¢	$91	0xd8def4…
08-08 17:07:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	260	80¢	$208	0x6c8a76…
08-08 16:55:00	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	SELL	111	6¢	$7	0x1c721c…
08-08 16:49:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x9329de…
08-08 16:49:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0xe2718f…
08-08 16:35:21	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x2636ce…
08-08 16:31:57	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x9aa734…
08-08 16:31:46	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe25927…
08-08 16:30:36	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xdb91a6…
08-08 16:12:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	179	12¢	$22	0x721614…
08-08 16:09:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	263	90¢	$236	0x0ec923…
08-08 16:09:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	17	90¢	$16	0x35baf8…
08-08 14:04:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0xac6934…
08-08 13:48:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	800	84¢	$672	0x9c7963…
08-07 13:12:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xf202f9…
08-07 12:25:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	800	80¢	$637	0x3100de…
08-07 05:41:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	557	86¢	$481	0xe152ef…
08-07 05:40:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	910	58¢	$528	0xba5c55…
08-06 06:10:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0x32db41…
08-05 13:15:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	854	66¢	$564	0x36176a…
08-05 11:59:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	286	54¢	$154	0xdb2919…
08-05 11:57:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	201	54¢	$108	0x3a5a52…
08-05 11:57:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	70	54¢	$37	0x848938…
08-04 19:37:53	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	1,168	4¢	$51	0x9255ed…
08-04 19:29:38	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x802639…
08-04 19:00:03	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x434fc9…
08-04 18:59:23	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	267	15¢	$40	0xf63e38…
08-04 17:40:35	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	109	2¢	$3	0xe47c26…
08-04 17:23:35	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x781913…
08-04 17:10:42	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x95e200…
08-04 17:10:35	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5e7209…
08-04 17:01:59	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	693	5¢	$35	0x00d292…
08-04 17:01:09	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	258	8¢	$21	0xc88152…
08-04 17:00:11	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x9a5458…
08-04 16:59:59	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x0aad57…
07-27 16:41:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	934	3¢	$28	0xf19605…
07-27 16:33:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xf06296…
07-27 16:32:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x8d020a…
07-27 16:32:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	74	5¢	$3	0x6c09aa…
07-27 16:29:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xfff105…
07-27 16:28:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xada9ef…
07-27 16:27:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	133	9¢	$12	0x358c90…
07-27 16:27:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0xd0e7dd…
07-27 16:22:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	706	11¢	$78	0x35da43…
07-27 16:10:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xae1fa0…
07-27 16:03:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	85	8¢	$7	0x06c858…
07-27 15:55:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x4bd53b…
07-27 15:54:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x35b3a1…
07-27 15:52:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	150	11¢	$16	0x62ec23…
07-27 15:45:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x779912…
07-27 15:45:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x7339cd…
07-23 19:42:49	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0xe7be97…
07-23 18:53:40	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xa016da…
07-23 18:26:25	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	508	43¢	$218	0x59de8e…
07-23 15:46:06	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xdad471…
07-23 15:43:45	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	250	28¢	$70	0x832d2f…
07-23 06:19:01	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x8e785e…
07-23 06:11:57	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xb67d16…
07-21 23:08:04	btc updown 5m 1784675400	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xa70ed1…
07-21 23:08:04	btc updown 5m 1784675400	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x4bf593…
07-21 22:51:13	btc updown 5m 1784674500	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x5d22ce…
07-21 22:51:09	btc updown 5m 1784674500	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x52edf4…
07-21 22:51:06	btc updown 5m 1784674500	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xba0405…
07-21 22:42:46	btc updown 5m 1784673900	Up	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0xb3c3db…
07-21 22:42:46	btc updown 5m 1784673900	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x834d7a…
07-21 22:27:28	btc updown 5m 1784673000	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x1d4918…
07-21 22:23:54	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xc0e8cb…
07-21 22:23:01	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xa6ac70…
07-21 22:22:34	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x507765…
07-21 22:22:18	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x3e1f11…
07-21 22:22:15	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x075585…
07-21 22:22:10	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xad1afc…
07-21 22:18:33	btc updown 5m 1784672400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xde38e2…