Authentic-Statement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,539

lifetime

Volume

$99.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-07 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

72% 67% +$57

Other

26% 100% +$0

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	66	$3.8K	4,935	5,053	-119	open	—	04-23 05:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	35	$3.5K	2,960	2,960	+0	open	—	04-21 20:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$3.3K	2,406	2,406	+0	open	—	07-07 21:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$3.2K	1,947	1,947	+0	open	—	07-03 14:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	18	$2.7K	1,959	1,959	+0	open	—	04-21 08:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$2.6K	1,760	1,760	+0	open	—	05-24 06:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	35	$2.4K	2,494	2,494	+0	open	—	04-21 08:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	15	$2.3K	1,390	1,390	+0	open	—	06-18 19:40
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	17	$2.2K	2,199	2,199	+0	open	—	04-21 20:46
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	5	$1.8K	1,469	1,469	+0	open	—	06-11 12:35
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	5	$1.8K	1,166	1,166	+0	open	—	06-10 22:50
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	60	$1.7K	2,858	2,520	+338	open	—	03-08 23:43
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$1.7K	1,192	1,192	+0	open	—	06-08 15:47
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	43	$1.6K	1,765	1,722	+43	open	—	02-12 20:24
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	63	$1.5K	4,168	4,318	-150	open	—	04-08 16:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	27	$1.4K	2,209	3,566	-1,357	open	—	06-12 17:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$1.4K	2,678	2,921	-243	open	—	05-29 15:15
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	20	$1.3K	1,752	989	+763	open	—	04-16 18:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,117	1,117	+0	open	—	04-19 19:13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	10	$1.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	04-12 05:36
will israel strike lebanon on february 26 2026	24	$1.2K	1,211	1,511	-300	open	—	02-26 12:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	9	$1.2K	710	710	+0	open	—	04-19 16:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$1.1K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	04-21 08:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	10	$1.1K	3,674	0	+3,674	open	—	07-07 22:02
will israel strike gaza on january 15 2026	62	$1.0K	2,869	3,069	-200	open	—	01-16 06:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	16	$1.0K	1,994	1,994	+0	open	—	04-30 12:24
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	17	$985	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	04-02 15:38
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	10	$962	1,157	1,157	+0	open	—	02-27 10:44
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	3	$949	1,240	1,240	+0	open	—	02-28 06:51
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	45	$934	5,313	5,308	+5	open	—	04-13 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 22:02:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	426	17¢	$72	0x567678…
07-07 21:51:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x652878…
07-07 21:32:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	649	19¢	$123	0x8dcf43…
07-07 21:09:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0xbea1a3…
07-07 21:09:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	366	19¢	$70	0x9d99e9…
07-07 21:02:38	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	SELL	357	6¢	$21	0xc6ab9b…
07-07 21:02:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,308	94¢	$1,230	0x830888…
07-07 10:55:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	310	17¢	$53	0x5ff20d…
07-07 07:36:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	129	16¢	$21	0x879eba…
07-07 07:35:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x6c9c1b…
07-07 07:34:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	167	16¢	$27	0x80f127…
07-06 22:40:05	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x7c2911…
07-06 22:13:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	165	11¢	$18	0xa9cd58…
07-06 22:11:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	165	8¢	$13	0xf06de2…
07-06 21:42:08	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	SELL	340	3¢	$10	0xd02fa9…
07-06 21:20:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x2f1b87…
07-06 21:20:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb6ffd3…
07-06 21:07:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xd6a6fd…
07-06 21:06:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x801a3f…
07-06 21:02:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	50	67¢	$33	0x0acae4…
07-06 21:00:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc6cef2…
07-06 20:59:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x3dc54b…
07-06 20:59:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x2b7d2c…
07-06 20:54:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x2e4495…
07-06 20:54:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xfe8792…
07-06 20:54:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x4a6219…
07-06 19:39:46	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	SELL	340	3¢	$11	0x76d6eb…
07-06 19:35:11	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	310	2¢	$6	0x370614…
07-06 19:19:40	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	SELL	371	4¢	$13	0xc99d33…
07-06 19:09:37	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	400	1¢	$6	0x4766f7…
07-06 17:23:53	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	SELL	114	2¢	$3	0xdea29d…
07-06 17:17:47	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	SELL	96	3¢	$2	0x55b2ed…
07-06 17:17:40	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	SELL	79	3¢	$2	0x3dd6e2…
07-06 17:09:01	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	SELL	57	3¢	$1	0x59f75d…
07-06 17:08:47	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	SELL	704	3¢	$18	0xff0158…
07-06 16:49:02	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	785	1¢	$8	0x2206dc…
07-06 16:48:41	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	354	0¢	$1	0x54a748…
07-06 15:25:37	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0xa124ef…
07-06 15:18:04	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	362	4¢	$15	0xf932e8…
07-06 14:27:20	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x819f52…
07-06 12:49:17	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xd375bb…
07-06 11:56:38	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x602dd9…
07-06 11:56:32	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	42	6¢	$2	0xa75194…
07-06 11:56:17	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	182	6¢	$11	0x5d3d7d…
07-05 18:53:19	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	Yes	SELL	85	46¢	$39	0x44a7c3…
07-05 18:53:17	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$3	0xcc77ad…
07-05 18:53:17	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	Yes	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x125f6b…
07-05 18:49:02	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x87a633…
07-05 18:48:02	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	Yes	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x401fa4…
07-05 18:47:31	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xc695ee…
07-05 18:42:07	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	SELL	98	43¢	$43	0x59085e…
07-05 18:36:16	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xf34ea3…
07-05 18:33:32	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x939bae…
07-05 18:33:26	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x1924c1…
07-04 20:09:14	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x18f98b…
07-04 20:01:46	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	No	SELL	408	11¢	$47	0x6b5d1e…
07-04 19:46:46	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	No	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x836f73…
07-04 19:14:28	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	No	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x3bba05…
07-04 19:13:40	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xe91c03…
07-04 19:13:28	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	No	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0xd0b1e5…
07-04 18:25:56	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x94c149…
07-04 18:24:47	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	No	BUY	85	9¢	$8	0xd8fc70…
07-04 18:24:38	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	No	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x3c3abd…
07-04 17:56:11	will austin swift be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118472	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe5ac1e…
07-04 17:46:28	will austin swift be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118472	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x48ac92…
07-04 17:45:23	will austin swift be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118472	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xa2c66f…
07-04 15:32:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	188	80¢	$150	0xc4918e…
07-04 15:31:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	137	37¢	$51	0x8a3e86…
07-04 14:58:52	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x230169…
07-04 07:45:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x7b434b…
07-04 07:32:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	195	77¢	$150	0x3e8868…
07-04 07:29:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xc3833e…
07-04 06:59:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xf91c9c…
07-04 06:58:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	259	77¢	$199	0xa34276…
07-03 23:00:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0xf9de81…
07-03 22:40:47	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	SELL	118	58¢	$69	0x671b1d…
07-03 22:34:04	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x412fdb…
07-03 22:26:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	400	10¢	$42	0xaa2fd0…
07-03 22:10:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x3091dc…
07-03 22:05:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xc6cb4a…
07-03 22:05:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	154	10¢	$16	0x66c222…
07-03 22:02:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xe98ed4…
07-03 22:00:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	95	15¢	$15	0x10778c…
07-03 21:56:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	52	13¢	$7	0x16cecb…
07-03 21:55:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	43	15¢	$6	0x28732d…
07-03 21:35:08	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x0b7dae…
07-03 21:24:01	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x927252…
07-03 20:55:05	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xe55d69…
07-03 20:46:43	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	SELL	74	62¢	$46	0x0b9f12…
07-03 19:38:17	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	SELL	25	61¢	$15	0x9462fa…
07-03 19:27:44	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x0019e1…
07-03 15:28:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	888	45¢	$400	0xa4ba81…
07-03 15:25:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	657	75¢	$493	0xbfd03a…
07-03 15:12:01	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0x2e402b…
07-03 14:42:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	820	93¢	$759	0xafec8c…
07-03 14:16:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	820	93¢	$763	0x07f7a1…
07-03 13:57:25	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0xced20c…
07-03 13:56:05	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	BUY	203	42¢	$85	0xad36fe…
07-02 13:29:35	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	262	19¢	$50	0x7dab87…
07-02 13:29:17	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	110	14¢	$16	0xc63daa…