Fortunate-Livestock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$173

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-18 19:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-1

Crypto

18% — —

Sports

16% 0% $-0

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	4	$810	406	406	+0	open	—	04-17 23:02
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$778	391	391	+0	open	—	04-02 18:41
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$770	386	386	+0	open	—	04-04 21:01
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$534	267	267	+0	open	—	03-17 21:28
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$532	267	267	+0	open	—	03-24 14:08
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$530	265	265	+0	open	—	03-13 18:17
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$528	264	264	+0	open	—	03-16 12:07
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$514	257	257	+0	open	—	03-14 07:15
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$506	254	254	+0	open	—	03-22 08:47
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$500	250	250	+0	open	—	03-29 05:04
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$488	244	244	+0	open	—	03-12 11:59
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$488	244	244	+0	open	—	04-12 20:19
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$486	243	243	+0	open	—	04-13 12:43
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$482	241	241	+0	open	—	04-12 09:02
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$466	233	233	+0	open	—	03-02 05:50
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$458	229	229	+0	open	—	03-16 05:29
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	5	$455	228	228	-0	open	—	03-25 10:26
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$454	228	228	+0	No	$-0	04-01 16:14
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$442	221	221	+0	open	—	04-18 19:09
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$432	216	216	+0	open	—	02-24 17:02
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$426	213	213	+0	open	—	04-14 21:20
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$424	212	212	+0	No	$-0	04-12 06:38
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$420	210	210	+0	No	$-0	04-15 14:06
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$406	203	203	+0	open	—	04-17 20:37
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$404	202	202	+0	No	$-0	04-04 23:23
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	03-25 03:46
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$394	197	197	+0	open	—	03-22 22:07
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$388	194	194	+0	open	—	04-15 22:44
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$382	191	191	+0	No	$-0	03-24 00:48
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$364	183	183	+0	open	—	03-04 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-18 19:09:46	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0x54630d…
04-18 10:56:10	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x730c46…
04-17 23:02:58	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0xa60048…
04-17 20:37:28	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0xcb7e55…
04-17 20:37:10	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x240432…
04-17 17:01:40	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x95dfec…
04-17 11:12:58	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0xd9708c…
04-17 05:10:10	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$178	0xc55622…
04-15 22:44:16	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x60c7d9…
04-15 19:14:04	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0xc9d530…
04-15 14:06:34	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x323ff8…
04-14 23:47:38	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x80c64f…
04-14 21:20:50	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0xe56e60…
04-14 13:11:59	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x1f16a2…
04-13 12:43:01	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0x1c2e80…
04-13 09:24:21	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0xfbc7d0…
04-12 20:19:09	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0xe6ba4e…
04-12 17:06:41	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xc1720e…
04-12 09:02:31	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$241	0x006d86…
04-12 06:38:55	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x434d82…
04-12 06:38:39	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0x51fa14…
04-12 03:38:11	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0xb9d886…
04-04 23:23:37	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x80079e…
04-04 21:02:15	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x80e15d…
04-04 21:01:59	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	199	100¢	$198	0xca9370…
04-04 12:59:21	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0xe881e4…
04-02 18:41:01	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	235	100¢	$234	0x02157a…
04-02 14:59:13	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0x6b8fab…
04-02 03:34:03	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	181	99¢	$180	0x0066ab…
04-01 20:23:41	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0xf1aa9e…
04-01 16:14:11	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	228	100¢	$227	0x0d9bbe…
04-01 12:13:31	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	228	100¢	$227	0x4b72f7…
04-01 01:03:19	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	156	100¢	$155	0x881c8a…
03-31 21:04:49	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$155	0xae6071…
03-31 12:49:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xc41725…
03-31 08:36:23	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x21622c…
03-29 05:04:18	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x21587e…
03-29 02:33:46	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x7ac398…
03-29 02:33:28	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$187	0xf5dc12…
03-28 21:23:20	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$187	0xba6dc3…
03-25 10:26:25	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0x48a13a…
03-25 09:50:29	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06dc9b…
03-25 09:48:15	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xf8681c…
03-25 09:33:15	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x641ccc…
03-25 09:33:05	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd12cf3…
03-25 03:46:35	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x1dd05f…
03-24 20:54:47	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x479ebd…
03-24 14:08:19	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0xf47b20…
03-24 07:28:51	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0xd4443b…
03-24 00:48:55	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0x7dafe2…
03-23 18:08:05	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x2ea589…
03-22 22:07:51	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0x4aac74…
03-22 15:26:05	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x087802…
03-22 08:47:39	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	254	100¢	$253	0x040468…
03-22 02:11:43	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0x97164c…
03-17 21:28:31	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	267	100¢	$267	0x308496…
03-17 08:04:43	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0xee7478…
03-16 12:07:39	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	264	100¢	$264	0x4e9054…
03-16 05:29:51	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0xeaec94…
03-16 05:29:31	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0x682df1…
03-15 22:49:57	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x9e6435…
03-14 07:15:43	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	257	100¢	$257	0xf85f51…
03-14 00:46:07	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0x7ec8b0…
03-13 18:17:19	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	265	100¢	$265	0xfcb7e5…
03-13 09:48:05	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x7f6895…
03-13 00:12:17	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Celtics	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x04e0eb…
03-13 00:11:47	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Nuggets	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x42543c…
03-13 00:11:17	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Lakers	BUY	31	83¢	$26	0x1d5843…
03-12 11:59:35	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0x23c427…
03-12 04:48:53	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xffaf4f…
03-10 20:12:29	nba was mia 2026 03 10	Wizards	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x4f3649…
03-10 20:11:57	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	51	11¢	$6	0xf7fc42…
03-08 19:33:31	will bitcoin dip to 61500 on march 8	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7c97b3…
03-04 23:14:59	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x0edebd…
03-04 16:05:01	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0xb31178…
03-04 08:02:07	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x1e5daf…
03-03 21:03:55	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x211816…
03-03 11:41:19	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x4d58bd…
03-03 11:40:51	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	76ers	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x9261d0…
03-03 11:40:17	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Suns	BUY	34	80¢	$27	0xe4d55c…
03-02 05:50:45	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x8741e0…
03-01 22:51:07	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0xac6258…
02-28 10:26:35	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x65a7f8…
02-24 17:02:04	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0x6a1a75…
02-24 05:35:26	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0xaa1475…
02-21 22:05:18	nba orl phx 2026 02 21	Suns	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x187388…
02-17 21:35:53	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x97c98e…
02-09 08:51:53	Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x19cb59…
02-09 08:51:33	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x935f15…
02-09 08:51:05	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x49da0e…