Apt-Thought — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$770

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-12 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% +$15

Other

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	6	$55	83	83	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$33	45	45	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$29	33	33	+0	Up	+$27	05-06 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	6	$23	22	22	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$22	25	25	+0	Down	$-2	05-08 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$22	29	29	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$22	12	12	-0	Down	+$2	05-08 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$17	23	23	+0	Down	$-3	05-09 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$16	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$14	57	57	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	5	$14	12	12	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$13	13	11	+2	Down	+$1	05-09 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$13	14	8	+6	Up	+$1	05-08 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$12	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	$-10	05-08 08:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 04:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xb533de…
05-12 04:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xede5de…
05-12 04:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc0716f…
05-09 09:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x0683d0…
05-09 09:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd33e8e…
05-09 08:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0x77844a…
05-09 08:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfa571a…
05-09 08:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x9ffd9d…
05-09 08:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3a00d2…
05-09 08:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x203c5d…
05-09 08:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb0f79b…
05-09 05:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	76¢	$9	0x9c01f8…
05-09 05:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbd51ea…
05-09 05:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0x2ab61b…
05-09 05:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9b0330…
05-09 05:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x006a20…
05-09 05:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xce413c…
05-09 05:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6f39f2…
05-09 04:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7782cc…
05-09 03:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x9418c8…
05-09 03:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x13015c…
05-09 03:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4ac6b3…
05-09 03:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0x892790…
05-09 03:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x14eb8d…
05-08 13:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x47b256…
05-08 13:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x2b0ec2…
05-08 13:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc76966…
05-08 13:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xe8c286…
05-08 13:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x19bf83…
05-08 11:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x2778b7…
05-08 11:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7d28b3…
05-08 11:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x07400e…
05-08 11:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb8004a…
05-08 11:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x58e840…
05-08 11:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe33916…
05-08 11:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$10	0xb9fcea…
05-08 11:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf01003…
05-08 11:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0x1a2a73…
05-08 11:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf353d2…
05-08 08:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xfd8b05…
05-08 08:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xbb3d83…
05-08 08:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0xefc05d…
05-08 08:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x47ed10…
05-08 08:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcfd155…
05-08 08:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xbf365b…
05-08 08:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8c037c…
05-08 08:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa91bec…
05-08 08:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x41caf4…
05-08 08:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x03bb4a…
05-08 07:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$6	0x5ab77a…
05-08 06:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5cbf18…
05-08 06:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8cb6e0…
05-08 05:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x3ff032…
05-08 05:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbc2dd5…
05-08 05:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	56	13¢	$7	0xfc45b1…
05-08 05:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x008c52…
05-08 05:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0xa6b3dc…
05-08 05:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x046098…
05-08 05:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x27fa65…
05-08 05:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd2baed…
05-08 05:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x21795c…
05-08 05:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x00aeef…
05-08 05:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xab8562…
05-08 05:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xdb75c6…
05-08 05:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf1feb9…
05-08 05:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x6dee96…
05-08 05:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x60ea78…
05-08 04:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcf4b86…
05-08 04:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x57be35…
05-08 04:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9399b2…
05-08 04:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x67ec60…
05-08 04:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd6d293…
05-08 04:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb48887…
05-08 04:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc76b01…
05-07 08:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xff52db…
05-07 08:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x04bde8…
05-07 08:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe24c74…
05-07 08:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x50b8ab…
05-07 06:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x4eed4b…
05-07 06:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1e7893…
05-07 06:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x301312…
05-07 06:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x5f765a…
05-07 06:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe4782e…
05-07 06:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6da94f…
05-07 06:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2b5b01…
05-07 06:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6d2c5f…
05-07 05:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfae994…
05-06 19:25:36	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x8fffcd…
05-06 18:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf19983…
05-06 18:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	33	85¢	$28	0x2c35cc…
05-06 18:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfc4178…
05-06 18:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x86d4ee…
05-06 18:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf523a5…
05-06 18:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x92369f…
05-06 18:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x47d1dc…
05-06 17:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xff9ca8…
05-06 17:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x62c2ce…
05-06 17:16:53	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd4814d…
05-06 13:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	51¢	$7	0x8f0c3f…
05-06 13:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc423ac…