Numb-Lute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 05-12 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 94% $-61

Other

29% — —

Politics

22% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$947	614	579	+35	open	—	02-25 15:22
will mrbeasts latest video get 1618 million views on day 1 432 313	3	$488	254	254	+0	open	—	02-22 12:52
highest temperature in paris on february 23 2026 13c	4	$472	245	245	+0	open	—	02-23 11:24
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 140 164	2	$212	237	0	+237	open	—	02-21 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$137	69	69	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$122	64	64	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$69	70	0	+70	Up	$-69	05-11 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$68	69	0	+69	Up	+$1	05-11 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$65	68	0	+68	Up	+$3	05-11 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$64	65	0	+65	Up	+$1	05-11 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$63	64	0	+64	Up	+$1	05-11 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$62	63	0	+63	Up	+$1	05-11 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$62	63	0	+63	Up	+$1	05-11 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	05-11 05:03
highest temperature in london on february 23 2026 14c	3	$57	32	32	+0	open	—	02-23 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$57	59	0	+59	Up	+$2	05-11 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$57	58	0	+58	Down	+$1	05-11 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$56	57	0	+57	Up	+$1	05-11 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$54	56	0	+56	Up	+$2	05-11 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$53	54	0	+54	Up	+$1	05-11 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$52	53	0	+53	Down	+$1	05-10 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$47	47	0	+47	Down	+$0	05-10 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$47	52	0	+52	Up	+$5	05-10 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$46	46	0	+46	Down	+$0	05-10 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$35	36	0	+36	Up	$-35	05-12 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$35	36	0	+36	Down	+$1	05-12 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$33	34	0	+34	Down	+$1	05-12 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$33	34	0	+34	Down	+$1	05-12 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$31	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	05-12 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	05-12 11:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 12:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x8d11f2…
05-12 12:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x03978b…
05-12 11:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x841e10…
05-12 11:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x236656…
05-12 11:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0xd7c38e…
05-12 11:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x51f6c4…
05-12 10:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x648656…
05-12 10:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9cc8d7…
05-12 10:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd81491…
05-12 10:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xe640fe…
05-12 10:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf0446c…
05-12 10:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x173b3f…
05-12 10:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x80bec7…
05-12 10:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xe7d288…
05-12 10:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x4d56e0…
05-12 10:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xdcbc42…
05-12 10:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x85b0e9…
05-12 09:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x0b335c…
05-12 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x90eac2…
05-12 09:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x8276d5…
05-12 09:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8e4fa6…
05-12 09:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x06b78a…
05-12 09:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x21a60e…
05-12 09:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x47deb4…
05-12 09:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xc6d99a…
05-12 09:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7b459d…
05-12 09:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x9a1a82…
05-12 08:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x7703cd…
05-12 08:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x590886…
05-12 08:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xcb4580…
05-12 08:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x205fa2…
05-12 07:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xabe487…
05-12 07:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa4cd5f…
05-12 07:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9b9b34…
05-12 07:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5c82d…
05-12 04:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4ff595…
05-11 05:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x681b53…
05-11 05:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x1a3f2f…
05-11 05:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0xfa1a5b…
05-11 05:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x3836a2…
05-11 05:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x6e94fc…
05-11 05:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x971dac…
05-11 05:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xafcf92…
05-11 05:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xd2664d…
05-11 05:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x1b1c5a…
05-11 05:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0x60dcfc…
05-11 05:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x11314d…
05-11 05:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x732f46…
05-11 04:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0xca4bd7…
05-11 04:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x564d86…
05-11 04:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x048808…
05-11 04:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x18c587…
05-11 04:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf87851…
05-11 04:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x595b0b…
05-10 15:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x392e80…
05-10 15:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x8a892a…
05-10 14:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xd08dad…
05-10 14:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xb4f524…
04-16 08:23:30	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x586b33…
04-15 13:16:48	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xe9f161…
04-15 06:27:14	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x3fd0f9…
04-12 00:03:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 13	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xee3f64…
04-11 07:59:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x28eca3…
04-10 14:31:45	bitcoin above 74k on april 11	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xc866a0…
04-10 10:57:43	bitcoin above 74k on april 11	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xfa962f…
02-25 15:22:48	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf57c61…
02-25 15:21:46	will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x9c388d…
02-25 04:35:54	will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x47bd82…
02-25 04:28:56	will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x68a20b…
02-25 04:28:20	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	24	86¢	$20	0xcba752…
02-24 06:29:52	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	340	81¢	$275	0xe2626f…
02-23 15:26:40	highest temperature in london on february 23 2026 14c	No	SELL	32	96¢	$30	0x6898ec…
02-23 11:24:32	highest temperature in paris on february 23 2026 13c	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0x8a1d1e…
02-23 05:22:10	highest temperature in london on february 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xff48f2…
02-23 05:21:36	highest temperature in london on february 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x20383b…
02-23 05:10:00	highest temperature in paris on february 23 2026 13c	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x220580…
02-23 04:26:00	highest temperature in paris on february 23 2026 13c	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x7571fa…
02-23 04:17:28	highest temperature in paris on february 23 2026 13c	No	BUY	104	92¢	$96	0xb01c91…
02-22 12:52:12	will mrbeasts latest video get 1618 million views on day 1 432 313	No	SELL	254	100¢	$253	0x382354…
02-22 03:14:26	will mrbeasts latest video get 1618 million views on day 1 432 313	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x0ef7f7…
02-22 03:13:22	will mrbeasts latest video get 1618 million views on day 1 432 313	No	BUY	189	92¢	$174	0xe703c8…
02-22 03:12:58	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	286	82¢	$235	0x489336…
02-21 08:38:14	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 140 164	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xb0aba5…
02-21 07:59:02	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 140 164	No	BUY	210	89¢	$188	0x3c0fc1…
02-21 07:48:22	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	269	79¢	$213	0x1d3f50…
02-20 11:58:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	269	74¢	$199	0x2ecb14…