Leading-Prevalence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.8%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$907

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-29 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 38% $-30

Other

20% — —

Politics

7% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776293400	2	$66	85	81	+5	open	—	04-15 22:51
btc updown 5m 1776293100	2	$54	45	44	+1	open	—	04-15 22:48
btc updown 5m 1776293700	1	$46	238	0	+238	open	—	04-15 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$43	37	37	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 21:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$42	200	200	+0	open	—	04-25 17:57
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	10	$40	285	285	+0	open	—	04-24 15:23
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$34	126	126	+0	open	—	04-26 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$33	50	50	+0	open	—	05-29 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$31	39	39	+0	Down	$-9	05-10 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$29	30	30	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$28	28	28	+0	open	—	05-25 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$24	36	36	+0	open	—	05-29 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$24	24	24	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$22	54	54	+0	open	—	05-29 21:08
mlb pit chc 2026 04 10	5	$21	23	23	+0	open	—	04-10 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$20	44	0	+44	Down	$-20	05-10 21:09
val gm kc3 2026 04 10	4	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	04-10 19:01
dota2 gl ngx 2026 04 10	3	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	04-10 19:01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	4	$18	67	67	+0	open	—	04-24 15:46
will jeremiyah love be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	04-24 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 13:10
mlb chc tb 2026 04 06 total 11pt5	7	$13	40	40	+0	open	—	04-06 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$11	26	0	+26	open	—	05-29 21:11
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs	2	$11	44	44	+0	open	—	04-25 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	44¢	$11	0x5065cf…
05-29 21:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0xe229ab…
05-29 21:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x02d77e…
05-29 21:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x4fcf08…
05-29 21:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xfaca6f…
05-29 21:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x6ed958…
05-29 21:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x24aad1…
05-29 21:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x245487…
05-29 21:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x4adc02…
05-29 20:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	36	26¢	$9	0x1ca702…
05-29 20:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0x803d84…
05-25 00:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	28	56¢	$15	0x7ba670…
05-25 00:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x45a3b6…
05-10 21:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0x59f80f…
05-10 21:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4bffee…
05-10 21:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xb08fe1…
05-10 21:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	39	29¢	$11	0x1bca3e…
05-10 21:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc03cb5…
05-10 21:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	37	63¢	$23	0x97a5a8…
05-10 21:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x110b2d…
05-10 21:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x401a93…
05-10 14:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xe3f9f1…
05-10 14:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xe3373b…
05-10 01:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xcb9e7a…
05-10 01:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x6b67c3…
05-09 17:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xa9b7a5…
05-09 17:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xbe510b…
05-09 17:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x7b333d…
05-09 17:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xaf1067…
05-09 17:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$4	0xa2f341…
05-09 17:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x2d1a54…
05-09 17:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xd1a515…
05-09 15:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xc18381…
05-09 15:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xa3fa72…
05-09 15:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x695fc1…
05-09 13:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0xdedb61…
05-09 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xf165d7…
05-09 13:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x6d755d…
05-09 13:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x87761e…
05-09 13:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x02238c…
05-09 12:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x66d507…
05-09 12:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xfa9ea8…
05-09 12:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xd2d8ae…
05-09 12:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0xee3bf4…
05-09 12:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xf5d74f…
05-09 12:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8b6269…
05-09 12:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x3e79a7…
05-09 12:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xda04dc…
05-09 00:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xdb1a33…
05-09 00:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x97acea…
05-01 21:34:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x21bd78…
05-01 21:33:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x393554…
04-28 22:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x81bafc…
04-28 22:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa61181…
04-28 22:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x34c6b8…
04-28 22:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x456dc6…
04-28 21:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0xbbaebe…
04-28 21:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x42d3e6…
04-26 14:03:48	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	126	3¢	$4	0x95037d…
04-26 14:02:32	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	126	24¢	$30	0x0cfec7…
04-25 22:38:22	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	FURIA Esports	BUY	250	3¢	$8	0xe60dd2…
04-25 17:57:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x3e3861…
04-25 17:57:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x725f14…
04-25 17:56:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x3031da…
04-25 17:55:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x3b93d9…
04-25 17:55:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x1fe47e…
04-25 17:48:56	Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x6c540d…
04-25 17:48:48	Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x7c2a90…
04-25 17:36:00	Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs	METANOIA WOLVES	SELL	44	9¢	$4	0x2f086d…
04-25 17:35:52	Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs	METANOIA WOLVES	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0x99c0f8…
04-25 17:29:36	Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x5a2872…
04-25 17:28:48	Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x9552e9…
04-24 15:46:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x864bac…
04-24 15:46:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x2442da…
04-24 15:23:30	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	BIG	SELL	250	7¢	$17	0xb36bcc…
04-24 15:23:10	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	BIG	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xebbbf6…
04-24 15:23:10	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	BIG	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x551012…
04-24 15:23:10	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	BIG	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x083a9e…
04-24 15:23:06	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	BIG	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x8c5259…
04-24 15:22:50	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	BIG	SELL	35	7¢	$2	0x129e65…
04-24 15:22:32	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	BIG	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc8b91a…
04-24 15:22:32	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	BIG	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x5e1b4e…
04-24 15:22:32	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	BIG	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x3e2ab9…
04-24 15:22:32	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	BIG	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x381727…
04-24 15:13:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	SELL	44	16¢	$7	0x9fb52a…
04-24 15:11:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0x6cc057…
04-24 00:50:24	will arvell reese be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdea6cf…
04-24 00:50:02	will arvell reese be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x3a958f…
04-24 00:22:56	will jeremiyah love be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xce013d…
04-24 00:22:04	will jeremiyah love be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x4001e9…
04-23 23:26:16	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x0861c8…
04-23 23:25:32	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x49f7a3…
04-15 22:55:42	btc updown 5m 1776293700	Up	BUY	238	19¢	$46	0x79562b…
04-15 22:51:38	btc updown 5m 1776293400	Down	SELL	81	59¢	$48	0x0f6a7f…
04-15 22:50:28	btc updown 5m 1776293400	Down	BUY	85	22¢	$19	0x36839a…
04-15 22:48:02	btc updown 5m 1776293100	Up	SELL	44	44¢	$20	0xe7e9a5…
04-15 22:46:08	btc updown 5m 1776293100	Up	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0xca9031…
04-13 22:20:31	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd69be1…
04-13 21:45:03	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x714f86…
04-10 20:00:43	mlb pit chc 2026 04 10	Chicago Cubs	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x52ed4c…